Fed Musalem Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

Unemployment Rate

6.9%

In Canada, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Employment Change

83100

In Canada, employment change refers to the change in the number of persons who work for pay or profit, or perform unpaid family work. Estimates include both full-time and part-time employment.

Full Time Employment Chg

13500

In Canada, full-time employment consists of persons who usually work 30 hours or more per week at their main or only job.

Labor Participation Rate

65.4%

The labour force participation rates is the number of persons who are employed and unemployed but looking for a job divided by the total working-age population.

Average Hourly Wages YoY

3.2%

Average Hourly Wages of Permanent Employees in Canada refers to the usual wages or salary of permanent employees at their main job. Respondents are asked to report their wage/salary before taxes and other deductions, and include tips and commissions. Weekly and hourly wages/salary are calculated in conjunction with usual paid work hours per week.

Part Time Employment Chg

69500

In Canada, part-time employment consists of persons who usually work less than 30 hours per week at their main or only job.

Interest Rate Decision

6.5%

In Romania, interest rates decisions are taken by the Board of the National Bank of Romania (Banca Nationala a Romaniei). The official interest rate is the Policy Rate.

Foreign Exchange Reserves

698190000000

In India, Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans.

Industrial Production YoY

34.4%

In Ireland, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and its biggest segments are: Basic pharmaceutical products and preparations (37 percent of total production); food products (18 percent); chemicals and chemical products (15 percent); computer,electronic,optical and electrical equipment (11 percent); other manufacturing, repair and installation of machinery and equipment (7 percent); and basic metals and fabricated metal products,machinery and equipment (5 percent).

Balance of Trade

-3234000000

Portugal runs regular trade deficits. Machinery and mechanical appliances are the main group of products exported and imported, and also the group with the largest trade deficit. On the other hand, the largest commercial surpluses are in the transactions of Mineral products, Cellulose pulp and paper, Clothing and Footwear. In terms of traded goods, Industrial supplies is the main traded category. Spain, France and Germany are the main external customers and suppliers of goods to Portugal, accounting for 50.9% of total exports and 52% of imports. Spain is Portugal's largest partner (weight of 26.7% in exports and 32.8% in imports). Transactions with Spain record the largest trade deficit, while the largest surplus is with France. Outside the EU, the United States is the main customer while China is the main Extra-EU supplier of goods.

Current Account Prel

165400000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Inflation Rate YoY

2.8%

In Greece, the most important categories in the consumer price index are: food and non-alcoholic beverages (21 percent of total weight); housing (16 percent); and transport (14 percent). The index also includes: hotels, cafés and restaurants (10 percent); health (8 percent); miscellaneous goods and services (7 percent); and clothing and footwear (6 percent). Household equipment, alcoholic beverages, tobacco, communication, recreation and culture, and education account for the remaining 19 percent of total weight.

Inflation Rate MoM

0.8%

In Greece, the most important categories in the consumer price index are: food and non-alcoholic beverages (17 percent of total weight); transport (13 percent); housing (12 percent) and hotels, cafés and restaurants (11 percent). The index also includes: clothing and footwear (9 percent); health (7 percent); furnishing and household equipment (7 percent); recreation and culture (5 percent); communication (5 percent). Education, alcoholic beverages, tobacco and other goods and services account for the remaining 14 percent of total weight.

Industrial Production YoY

-2%

In Greece, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy such as manufacturing, mining, and utilities.

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY

3.6%

The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is an indicator of inflation and price stability for the European Central Bank (ECB). The HICP is compiled by Eurostat and the national statistical institutes in accordance with harmonised statistical methods. The ECB aims to maintain annual inflation rates as measured by the HICP below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.

Budget Balance

27400000000

The government budget balance is the difference between government revenues and expenses. The budget is balanced when outlays equal to receipts, the country reports budget surplus when revenues are higher than expenses and deficit when expenses exceed the revenues.

Unemployment Rate

4.2%

In Czech Republic, the unemployment rate shows the share of unemployed people between the ages of 15 and 64 immediately able to start work versus all working people in the same demographic group.

Industrial Production YoY

1.1%

In Austria, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector (69 percent of total production) including: machinery and equipment (9 percent); basic metals (6 percent); food products (6 percent); motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (6 percent); fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment (6 percent); and electrical equipment (5 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply account for 15 percent of total output followed by construction (13 percent), water supply, sewerage and waste management (2 percent) and mining and quarrying (1 percent).

Consumer Confidence

-32

In Switzerland, the consumer confidence survey is conducted every year, in the months of January, April, July and October. Around 1000 households are questioned for State Secretariat for Economic Affairs regarding their subjective evaluation of the economic situation, financial situation of the household in question, inflation, job security etc. Generally consumer confidence is high when the unemployment rate is low and GDP growth is high. Measures of average consumer confidence can be useful indicators of how much consumers are likely to spend.

Inflation Rate MoM Final

0.3%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Inflation Rate YoY Final

2.9%

In Czech Republic, the most important category in the consumer price index is Housing and Utilities (27 percent of total weight). Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages accounts for 18 percent; Transport for 10 percent; Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco for 9 percent; Recreation and Culture for 8 percent and Miscellaneous Goods and Services for 6 percent. Furniture, Household Goods and Maintenance; Restaurants and Hotels; Clothing and Footwear; Communication; Health and Education account for the remaining 27 percent of total weight.

Core Inflation Rate YoY

4.4%

In Hungary, the core inflation rate tracks changes in prices that consumers pay for a basket of goods which excludes some volatile price items.

Inflation Rate YoY

4.6%

In Hungary, the most important category in the consumer price index is Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages (23 percent of total weight). Transport accounts for 15 percent; Housing and Utilities for 12 percent; Alcoholic beverages, Tobacco and Narcotics for 9 percent; Recreation and Culture for 7 percent; Miscellaneous Goods and Services for 7 percent; and Furniture, Household Equipment and Maintenance for 7 percent. Health; Restaurants and Hotels; Communication; Clothing and Footwear; and Education account for the remaining 20 percent of total weight.

Inflation Rate MoM

0.1%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Industrial Production MoM

-0.6%

In Sweden, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy such as manufacturing and mining.

Household Consumption MoM

-0.9%

Household consumption is an important indicator for the business cycle because it accounts for 47 percent of the total Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Sweden.

Construction Output YoY

0.3%

The production index in construction measures the evolution of output within the construction sector, including building construction and civil engineering.

Household Consumption YoY

0.8%

From 2013 onwards Statistics Sweden produces new monthly statistics over household consumption. The statistics are an important indicator for the business cycle because household consumption accounts for 47 percent of the total Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

Industrial Production YoY

3%

In Sweden, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy such as manufacturing and mining.

New Orders YoY

-4.1%

In Sweden, because new orders heavily affect business confidence they are a leading indicator for growth in gross domestic product. The statistics is sample- and register-based and aims to measure short-term changes in new orders and turnover in industry on a monthly basis, in total and by industry, as well as domestic and export market. The survey is coordinated with other economy-based surveys.

Unemployment Rate

7.5%

In France, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Industrial Production YoY

5.2%

In Finland, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 87 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: chemicals (16 percent); electrical and electronics (13 percent); machinery and equipment (11 percent); paper and paper products (9 percent); fabricated metal products (8 percent); and food products (7 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply accounts for 11 percent of total output; and Mining and quarrying account for 2 percent.

Eco Watchers Survey Current

45

The Economy Watchers Current Index measures the current mood of businesses that directly service consumers, such as barbers, taxi drivers, and waiters. The survey covers eleven regions across the country including Hokkaido, Tohoku, Northern Kanto, Southern Kanto, Tokai, Hokuriku, Kinki, Chugoku, Shikoku, Kyushu, and Okinawa. There were 2,050 people selected among those engaged in jobs in industries. This enabled them to observe any developments that accurately reflect economic activities such as household activity, corporate activity, and employment. A reading above 50.0 indicates optimism; below indicates pessimism.

Eco Watchers Survey Outlook

45.9

The Economy Watchers Survey Outlook measures the expected mood of businesses that directly service consumers, such as barbers, taxi drivers, and waiters. The survey covers eleven regions across the country including Hokkaido, Tohoku, Northern Kanto, Southern Kanto, Tokai, Hokuriku, Kinki, Chugoku, Shikoku, Kyushu, and Okinawa. There were 2,050 people selected among those engaged in jobs in industries. This enabled them to observe any developments that accurately reflect economic activities such as household activity, corporate activity, and employment. A reading above 50.0 indicates optimism; below indicates pessimism.

Household Consumption YoY

2.6%

In the Netherlands, Household Consumption YoY measures the year-on-year change of consumption expenditure by households. Consumption expenditure includes all voluntary expenditure on goods and services by private individuals and households. It does not include compulsory expenditure such as taxes. Services is the most important sector and accounts for 58 percent of total consumption. The biggest segments within Services are housing; financial and business services; transport, communication services; and medical services and welfare. Consumption of goods account for the remaining 42 percent, in particular durable consumer goods (15 percent) and food, beverages and tobacco (15 percent).

Manufacturing Production MoM

0.4%

3-Month Bill Auction

0.4321%

Consumer Confidence

117.8

In Indonesia, the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) measures consumer’s expectations about current income and job availability against those 6 months ago, appropriate time to buy durable goods, and general economic conditions and job availability expectations in the next 6 months. The index is based on a survey of around 4600 middle up class households in major cities (those cities cover about 78 percent of GDP). Data is collected through phone interviews and direct visits. The two main components of the Index are the current economic condition index and the consumer expectation index. The CCI is computed as a net balance obtained from the difference between percentage on ’increase’ answer and percentage on ’decrease’ answer. An index above 100 indicates an improving outlook and below 100 a deteriorating outlook.

KTBi Auction

0.61%

Motorbike Sales YoY

-0.3%

Current Account

3436000000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

BoJ Summary of Opinions

In Japan, interest rates are set by the Bank of Japan's Policy Board in its Monetary Policy Meetings. The BoJ's official interest rate is the discount rate. Monetary Policy Meetings produce a guideline for money market operations in inter-meeting periods and this guideline is written in terms of a target for the uncollateralized overnight call rate.

Bank Lending YoY

2.7%

In Japan, bank lending refers to the year-on-year change of all outstanding loans and discounts with banks and shinkin banks. Lending increases with increased business confidence and investment and it is an important indicator for the Japanese economy because of the weakness that has plagued the Japanese banking sector.

Household Spending YoY

4.7%

In Japan, Household Spending YoY refers to the annual change of consumption expenditures (on food, housing, utilities, furniture, clothing, health, education, transport, communication, leisure activities, etc.) in real terms for two-or-more-person households including agricultural, forestry and fisheries households.

Household Spending MoM

4.6%

In Japan, Household Spending MoM refers to the monthly change of consumption expenditures (on food, housing, utilities, furniture, clothing, health, education, transport, communication, leisure activities, etc.) in real terms for two-or-more-person households including agricultural, forestry and fisheries households.

Fed Balance Sheet

6640000000000

The Central Bank Balance Sheet represents the total assets held by a central bank. It reflects the scale of monetary policy actions, including holdings like government securities, foreign reserves, and loans to banks. Changes in the balance sheet indicate shifts in policy, such as easing or tightening financial conditions.

Interest Rate Decision

8%

In Mexico, interest rate decisions are taken by the Bank of Mexico (Banco de México). Starting January of 2008, Banco de México has adopted as an operating target the overnight interbank rate (tasa de fondeo bancario) instead of the level of commercial banks’ current account balances at the central bank (corto).

Consumer Credit Change

5130000000

In the United States, Consumer Credit refers to outstanding credit flows extended to individuals for household, family, and other personal expenditures, excluding loans secured by real estate.

30-Year Bond Auction

4.889%

10-Year Bond Auction

3.623%

Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.

30-Year Mortgage Rate

6.72%

The Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) is focused on conventional, conforming, fully amortizing home purchase loans for borrowers who put 20 percent down and have excellent credit. Average commitment rates should be reported along with average fees and points to reflect the total upfront cost of obtaining the mortgage. The interest rate a lender would charge to lend mortgage money to a qualified borrower exclusive of the fees and points required by the lender. This commitment rate applies only to conventional financing on conforming mortgages with loan-to-value rates of 80 percent or less.

15-Year Mortgage Rate

5.85%