Business Confidence

48.6

In Brazil, the Industrial Entrepreneur Confidence Index (ICEI) measures the current situation of businesses and their future prospects. The survey covers about 2,500 companies in the construction, mining, and manufacturing industries. The questionnaire is made by phone and focuses on: production trends in recent months, order books, export order books, stocks and production expectations. The indicator varies on a scale of 0 to 100 where 50 indicates neutrality, 0 indicates extreme lack of confidence and 100 extreme confidence.

Balance of Trade

9040000000

Russia has been running regular trade surpluses since 1998 primarily due to high exports of commodities like crude oil and natural gas. The biggest trade surpluses were recorded with: Netherlands, Turkey, Italy and Japan. The biggest trade deficits were recorded with: China, the United States and France.

Current Account

18900000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Full Time Employment Chg

57700

In Canada, full-time employment consists of persons who usually work 30 hours or more per week at their main or only job.

Employment Change

8800

In Canada, employment change refers to the change in the number of persons who work for pay or profit, or perform unpaid family work. Estimates include both full-time and part-time employment.

Unemployment Rate

7%

In Canada, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Building Permits MoM

-6.8%

In Canada, building permits refer to the value of permits issued for new buildings, alterations, additions, and renovations that includes expenditures on materials, labor, profit, and overheads. The value is based on a survey of 2,400 municipalities, representing 95% of the country's population. Building permits provide an early indication of construction activity in Canada but the issuance of a permit doesn't guarantee that construction is imminent.

Labor Participation Rate

65.3%

The labour force participation rates is the number of persons who are employed and unemployed but looking for a job divided by the total working-age population.

Average Hourly Wages YoY

3.5%

Average Hourly Wages of Permanent Employees in Canada refers to the usual wages or salary of permanent employees at their main job. Respondents are asked to report their wage/salary before taxes and other deductions, and include tips and commissions. Weekly and hourly wages/salary are calculated in conjunction with usual paid work hours per week.

Part Time Employment Chg

-48800

In Canada, part-time employment consists of persons who usually work less than 30 hours per week at their main or only job.

NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker

0.5%

Industrial Production MoM

0.2%

In Mexico, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy such as manufacturing, mining, and utilities.

Industrial Production YoY

-4%

In Mexico, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy such as manufacturing, mining, and utilities.

Foreign Exchange Reserves

702780000000

In India, Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans.

ECB Cipollone Speech

In the Euro Area, benchmark interest rate is set by the Governing Council of the European Central Bank. The primary objective of the ECB’s monetary policy is to maintain price stability which is to keep inflation below, but close to 2 percent over the medium term. In times of prolonged low inflation and low interest rates, ECB may also adopt non-standard monetary policy measures, such as asset purchase programmes. The official interest rate is the Main refinancing operations rate.

3-Year BTP Auction

2.24%

7-Year BTP Auction

3.02%

15-Year BTP Auction

4.06%

BTP Auction

IEA Oil Market Report

Consumer Confidence

-37

In Switzerland, the consumer confidence survey is conducted every year, in the months of January, April, July and October. Around 1000 households are questioned for State Secretariat for Economic Affairs regarding their subjective evaluation of the economic situation, financial situation of the household in question, inflation, job security etc. Generally consumer confidence is high when the unemployment rate is low and GDP growth is high. Measures of average consumer confidence can be useful indicators of how much consumers are likely to spend.

Retail Sales MoM

2.9%

In Turkey, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Turkey, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Retail Sales YoY

11.7%

In Turkey, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Current Account

-7864000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Inflation Rate MoM Final

-0.1%

In France, the most important category in the consumer price index is services (48 percent of total weight), in particular actual rentals and services for dwellings (7 percent), health services (6 percent), transport (3 percent), and communication (2 percent). The index also includes: manufactured products (26 percent) such as medical products (4 percent) and clothing and footwear (4 percent); food (16 percent); energy (8 percent) such as petroleum products (4 percent); and tobacco (2 percent).

Inflation Rate YoY Final

0.7%

In France, the most important category in the consumer price index is services (48 percent of total weight), in particular rents, water and garbage collection (8 percent), health services (7 percent), transport (2 percent), and communication (2 percent). The index also includes: manufactured products (24 percent) such as medical products (4 percent) and clothing and footwear (3 percent); food (16 percent); energy (9 percent) such as petroleum products (4 percent); and tobacco (2 percent).

Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Final

-0.2%

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Final

0.6%

The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is an indicator of inflation and price stability for the European Central Bank (ECB). The HICP is compiled by Eurostat and the national statistical institutes in accordance with harmonised statistical methods. The ECB aims to maintain annual inflation rates as measured by the HICP below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.

Wholesale Prices MoM

-0.3%

The index of wholesale prices measures the development of prices of goods sold by wholesalers within Germany to the extent that such sales are included under wholesale, such as contracts concluded with resellers, processors or other bulk purchasers. This may refer to goods produced in Germany or to imported goods. Excluded are sales from producers direct to retailers or final consumers.

Wholesale Prices YoY

0.4%

The index of wholesale prices measures the development of prices of goods sold by wholesalers within Germany to the extent that such sales are included under wholesale, such as contracts concluded with resellers, processors or other bulk purchasers. This may refer to goods produced in Germany or to imported goods. Excluded are sales from producers direct to retailers or final consumers.

GDP MoM

-0.3%

GDP measures the value of goods and services produced in the UK. The reading refers to a month-over-month growth rate.

Industrial Production MoM

-0.6%

In the United Kingdom, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 70 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Food, drink and tobacco (11 percent of total production); transport equipment (9 percent); basic metals (8 percent); other manufacturing and repair (6 percent); pharmaceutical products and preparations (6 percent); and rubber and plastic products and non-metallic mineral products (6 percent). Mining and quarrying account for 12 percent of production, as oil and gas extraction accounts for 10 percent. Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning account for 11 percent of total output and water supply, sewerage and waste management account for 8 percent.

GDP 3-Month Avg

0.7%

GDP measures the value of goods and services produced in the UK. The reading refers to a three-month growth rate, which is a better indicator of the underlying growth in GDP as the monthly figure is likely to be more volatile. In this sense, the monthly release can be thought of as a monthly update on three months’ worth of data on the economy, rather than a figure representing the economy in just one month. Rolling three-month data is calculated by comparing growth in a three-month period with growth in the previous three-month period, for example growth in March to May compared with the previous December to February.

Manufacturing Production MoM

-0.7%

Manufacturing production measures the output of businesses operating in the manufacturing sector. It is the most important sector in the UK and accounts for 70 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Food, drink and tobacco (11 percent of total production); transport equipment (9 percent); basic metals (8 percent); other manufacturing and repair (6 percent); pharmaceutical products and preparations (6 percent); and rubber and plastic products and non-metallic mineral products (6 percent).

Goods Trade Balance

-22424000000

In the UK, goods trade balance is equal to goods exports less goods imports.

Goods Trade Balance Non-EU

-9963000000

GDP YoY

1.1%

GDP measures the value of goods and services produced in the UK. The reading refers to a year-on-year growth rate.

Industrial Production YoY

0.3%

In the United Kingdom, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 70 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Food, drink and tobacco (11 percent of total production); transport equipment (9 percent); basic metals (8 percent); other manufacturing and repair (6 percent); pharmaceutical products and preparations (6 percent); and rubber and plastic products and non-metallic mineral products (6 percent). Mining and quarrying account for 12 percent of production, as oil and gas extraction accounts for 10 percent. Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning account for 11 percent of total output and water supply, sewerage and waste management account for 8 percent.

Manufacturing Production YoY

1.3%

Manufacturing production measures the output of businesses operating in the manufacturing sector. It is the most important sector in the UK and accounts for 70 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Food, drink and tobacco (11 percent of total production); transport equipment (9 percent); basic metals (8 percent); other manufacturing and repair (6 percent); pharmaceutical products and preparations (6 percent); and rubber and plastic products and non-metallic mineral products (6 percent).

Construction Output YoY

3.6%

In the United Kingdom, construction output measures the yearly change in the amount charged by construction companies to customers for value of work. The value is based on the sample of 8,000 businesses, employing over 100 people or with an annual turnover of more than £60 million. Construction estimates are a component of GDP from the production approach, contributing approximately 6.4% of GDP.

Balance of Trade

-6502000000

The UK's trade balance has been in deficit since 1998, due to deficits in trade in goods which are partly offset by surpluses in trade in services. The level of total UK trade in goods as a proportion of total trade in goods and services has been gradually declining since 1986 after peaking at 75 percent in 1985. This is consistent with the rising share of UK trade in services (about 38 percent as of 2021). The UK has trade deficits with China, Norway, Germany, Spain, Poland, Russia, Italy and India; and surpluses with the United States, Ireland, the Netherlands, Switzerland, Singapore and the United Arab Emirates.

Balance of Trade

46100000000

The Norwegian trade balance has been in surplus since 1989 and hit NOK 531 billion in 2021, the highest trade surplus ever, mainly due to a much higher price growth on average of goods exported than those imported. Exports increased by 77% to NOK 1,377.8 billion, strongly driven by high prices for energy products, metals and fish. Export income from oil and gas accounted for more than 60% of all merchandise exports in 2021. Imports rose by NOK 82.1 billion from a year earlier to NOK 846.8 billion in 2021. Around a quarter of this increase is due to high imports of passenger cars, which increased by 36.5% and amounted to NOK 72.1 billion. The EU countries, Great Britain, China and the United States are the most important trading partners for Norway.

Inflation Rate YoY

5.45%

In Romania, the main components of the Consumer Price Index are: Non-food Products (49% of the total weight), Food Products (33%), and Services (18%).

Inflation Rate MoM

0.46%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Current Account

-200000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

50-Year KTB Auction

2.645%

Balance of Trade

9290000000

The Netherlands is an export-oriented economy and derives more than two-thirds of its GDP from the merchandise trade. Main exports are: machinery and transport equipment (28 percent of total exports), mineral fuels (23 percent), food (11 percent), clothing and footwear (10 percent) and pharmaceuticals (5 percent). Netherlands main imports are: fuel (29 percent of total imports), machinery (26 percent) and food and live animals (8.6 percent). Main trading partners are Germany (24 percent of total exports and 17 percent of imports) and Belgium (12 percent of exports and 10 percent imports). Others include: China, France, United Kingdom and United States.

3-Month Bill Auction

0.4264%

BoJ JGB Purchases

In Japan, the "core core" inflation rate tracks changes in prices that consumers pay for a basket of goods which excludes prices of fresh food and energy.

Business NZ PMI

47.5

The Business NZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) is a composite index based on the diffusion indexes for production, new orders, delivered, inventories and employment. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

Fed Balance Sheet

6660000000000

The Central Bank Balance Sheet represents the total assets held by a central bank. It reflects the scale of monetary policy actions, including holdings like government securities, foreign reserves, and loans to banks. Changes in the balance sheet indicate shifts in policy, such as easing or tightening financial conditions.

Fed Daly Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

BOE Breeden Speech

In the United Kingdom, benchmark interest rate is set by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The Bank of England official interest rate is the repo rate. This repo rate applies to open market operations of the Bank of England with a group of counterparties (banks, building societies, securities firms).

Fed Waller Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

30-Year Bond Auction

4.844%

5-Year Bond Auction

2.907%

15-Year Mortgage Rate

5.8%

30-Year Mortgage Rate

6.67%

The Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) is focused on conventional, conforming, fully amortizing home purchase loans for borrowers who put 20 percent down and have excellent credit. Average commitment rates should be reported along with average fees and points to reflect the total upfront cost of obtaining the mortgage. The interest rate a lender would charge to lend mortgage money to a qualified borrower exclusive of the fees and points required by the lender. This commitment rate applies only to conventional financing on conforming mortgages with loan-to-value rates of 80 percent or less.