ECB McCaul Speech

In the Euro Area, benchmark interest rate is set by the Governing Council of the European Central Bank. The primary objective of the ECB’s monetary policy is to maintain price stability which is to keep inflation below, but close to 2 percent over the medium term. In times of prolonged low inflation and low interest rates, ECB may also adopt non-standard monetary policy measures, such as asset purchase programmes. The official interest rate is the Main refinancing operations rate.

Global Dairy Trade Price Index

Measures the weighted-average price of 9 dairy products sold at auction every two weeks.

Central Government Debt

3621000000000

In Turkey, Government Debt refers to the central government gross debt stock in local and foreign currencies.

Redbook YoY

The Johnson Redbook Index is a sales-weighted of year-over-year same-store sales growth in a sample of large US general merchandise retailers representing about 9,000 stores. Same-store sales are sales in stores continuously open for 12 months or longer. By dollar value, the Index represents over 80% of the equivalent 'official' retail sales series collected and published by the US Department of Commerce. Redbook compiles the Index by collecting and interpreting performance estimates from retailers. The Index and its sub-groups are sales-weighted aggregates of these estimates. Weeks are retail weeks (Sunday to Saturday), and equally weighted within the month.

Inflation Rate MoM

0.1%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Inflation Rate YoY

7.6%

In Canada, the most important categories in the CPI basket are Shelter (27.5 percent of the total weight) and Transportation (19.3 percent). Food accounts for 16.1 percent; Household Operations, Furnishings and Equipment for 11.8 percent; Recreation, Education and Reading for 11.8 percent; Clothing and Footwear for 5.7 percent; Health and Personal Care for 5 percent; Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco Products for the remaining 3 percent. The CPI basket is reviewed every four years on the basis of household surveys. The current weights are based on spending patterns in 2009.

Core Inflation Rate MoM

0.5%

Core Inflation Rate YoY

6.1%

In Canada, the core inflation rate tracks changes in prices that consumers pay for a basket of goods which excludes some volatile price items.

CPI Trimmed-Mean YoY

5.4%

CPI Trimmed is a measure of core inflation that excludes CPI components whose rates of change in a given month are located in the tails of the distribution of price changes. This measure helps filter out extreme price movements that might be caused by factors specific to certain components. In particular, CPI-trim excludes 20 percent of the weighted monthly price variations at both the bottom and top of the distribution of price changes, and thus it always removes 40 percent of the total CPI basket.

CPI Median YoY

5%

CPI median is a measure of core inflation corresponding to the price change located at the 50th percentile (in terms of the CPI basket weights) of the distribution of price changes in a given month. This measure helps filter out extreme price movements specific to certain components. This approach is similar to CPI-trim as it eliminates all the weighted monthly price variations at both the bottom and top of the distribution of price changes in any given month, except the price change for the component that is the midpoint of that distribution.

Housing Starts

1446000

Housing Starts refer to the number of new residential construction projects that have begun during any particular month. Estimates of housing starts include units in structures being totally rebuilt on an existing foundation.

Building Permits

1685000

Building Permits refer to the approvals given by a local jurisdictions before the construction of a new or existing building can legally occur. Not all areas of the United States require a permit for construction.

Building Permits MoM

-0.6%

Building Permits refer to the approvals given by a local jurisdictions before the construction of a new or existing building can legally occur. Not all areas of the United States require a permit for construction.

Housing Starts MoM

-9.6%

Housing Starts refer to the number of new residential construction projects that have begun during any particular month. Estimates of housing starts include units in structures being totally rebuilt on an existing foundation.

Private Spending YoY

7.2%

In Mexico, Consumer Spending refers to purchase of consumer goods and services by resident households. It is a component of GDP.

Private Spending QoQ

2.4%

In Mexico, Consumer Spending refers to purchase of consumer goods and services by resident households. It is a component of GDP.

Aggregate Demand YoY

2.9%

Aggregate Demand QoQ

1.2%

Current Account

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Balance of Trade

4800000000

Ireland posts regular trade surpluses since 1985. The biggest trade surpluses were recorded with the United States, Belgium, Switzerland, the Netherlands and Germany; and the largest deficits were recorded with France and the United Kingdom.

Current Account

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Unemployment Rate

4.7%

In Luxembourg, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

External Debt

191300000000

In Czech Republic, external debt is a part of the total debt that is owed to creditors outside the country.

Current Account

3240000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Balance of Trade

Spain runs systemic trade deficits due to high imports of fuel and high added value goods. Spain’s main exporting sectors are capital goods; food, beverages and tobacco; chemical products and vehicles. The largest shares by sector of Spain’s imports are those of capital goods, chemical products; energy and food, beverages and tobacco. Exports to the European Union represent more than 60% of total exports and those to the rest of the world amount almost 40% of total exports. Imports from the European Union account for over 50% of total imports, only slightly more than purchases from the rest of the world. Spain’s trade surplus with the European Union has been widening while the trade deficit with the rest of the world has been expanding.

Current Account

-723000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Employment Growth YoY

In Poland, employment growth refers to the annual change of employment in the enterprise sector, which concerns units employing more than 9 persons and conducting economic activity within the scope of the following areas: forestry and logging; marine fishing; mining and quarrying; manufacturing; electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply; water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation activities; construction; wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles; transportation and storage; accommodation and food service activities; information and communication; real estate activities; legal and accounting activities; activities of head offices; management consultancy activities; architectural and engineering activities; technical testing and analysis; advertising and market research; other professional, scientific and technical activities; administrative and support service activities; arts, entertainment and recreation; repair of computers and personal and household goods; other personal service activities.

Corporate Sector Wages YoY

15.8%

In Poland, Corporate Sector Wages measures year over year change in average monthly gross wage in the enterprise sector.

Industrial Production YoY

In Poland, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 86 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: food products (16 percent of total production); motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (10 percent); metal products (7 percent), rubber and plastic products (6 percent), electrical equipment (5 percent), coke and refined petroleum products (5 percent), chemicals and chemical products (4 percent), other non-metallic mineral products (4 percent), and basic metals (4 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply accounts for 8 percent of total output; Mining and quarrying for 3 percent; and Water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation activities for 2 percent.

PPI YoY

Producer prices change refers to year over year change in price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market during a given period.

Riksbank Rate Decision

0.75%

In Sweden, benchmark interest rate is set by the Executive Board of the Central Bank of Sweden (The Riksbank). The main interest rate is the repo rate which is the rate of interest at which banks can borrow or deposit funds at the Riksbank for a period of seven days. The Riksbank's target is to hold inflation in terms of the CPIF (the CPI with a fixed interest rate) around 2 percent a year.

Monetary Policy Report

In Sweden, benchmark interest rate is set by the Executive Board of the Central Bank of Sweden (The Riksbank). The main interest rate is the repo rate which is the rate of interest at which banks can borrow or deposit funds at the Riksbank for a period of seven days. The Riksbank's target is to hold inflation in terms of the CPIF (the CPI with a fixed interest rate) around 2 percent a year.

SECO Economic Forecasts

Leading Business Cycle Indicator MoM

0.4%

In South Africa, the Composite Leading Business Cycle Indicator examines the direction in which real economic activity is moving, in real time. It is calculated on the basis of the following components: building plans approved, new passenger vehicles sold, commodity price index for main export commodities, index of prices of all classes of shares traded on the JSE, job advertisements, volume of orders in manufacturing, real M1, average hours worked per factory worker in manufacturing, interest rate spread, composite leading business cycle indicator of the major trading-partner countries, business confidence index, gross operating surplus as a percentage of GDP. The index has a base value of 100 as of 2010.

Balance of Trade

2420000000

In 2019, the Swiss trade surplus widened 19 percent from the previous year to CHF 37 billion, as both imports and exports reached new records despite global trade tensions, Brexit uncertainty and Hong Kong protests. The biggest trade surpluses were recorded with the US, India, the UK, China, Hong Kong, Japan and Singapore; and the largest deficits were recorded with the UAE, Germany, Ireland, Italy and Thailand.

PPI MoM

In Germany, the Producer Price Inflation MoM measures a month-over-month change in the price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market.

PPI YoY

37.2%

Producer prices change refers to year over year change in price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market during a given period.

RBA Meeting Minutes

In Australia, interest rates decisions are taken by the Reserve Bank of Australia's Board. The official interest rate is the cash rate. The cash rate is the rate charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries, is determined in the money market as a result of the interaction of demand for and supply of overnight funds.

Loan Prime Rate 1Y

3.65%

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) on August 17th, 2019, designated the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) the new lending benchmark for new bank loans to households and businesses, replacing the central bank’s benchmark one-year lending rate. The rate is based on a weighted average of lending rates from 18 commercial banks, which will submit their LPR quotations, based on what they have bid for PBOC liquidity in open market operations, to the national interbank funding center before 9am CST on the 20th of every month.

Loan Prime Rate 5Y

4.3%

Inflation Rate MoM

0.5%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Inflation Rate YoY

2.6%

In Japan, the most important categories in the consumer price index are Food (25 percent of total weight) and Housing (21 percent). Transportation and communications accounts for 14 percent; Culture and recreation for 11.5 percent; Fuel, light and water charges for 7 percent; Medical care for 4.3 percent; Clothes and footwear for 4 percent. Furniture and household utensils, Education and Miscellaneous goods and services account for the remaining.

Core Inflation Rate YoY

2.4%

In Japan, the core inflation rate tracks changes in prices that consumers pay for a basket of goods which excludes prices of fresh food.

Inflation Rate Ex-Food and Energy YoY

In Japan, the "core core" inflation rate tracks changes in prices that consumers pay for a basket of goods which excludes prices of fresh food and energy.

10-Year Bond Auction

Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.