Fed Waller Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

Fed Goolsbee Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

Full Time Employment Chg

-62000

In Canada, full-time employment consists of persons who usually work 30 hours or more per week at their main or only job.

Employment Change

-32600

In Canada, employment change refers to the change in the number of persons who work for pay or profit, or perform unpaid family work. Estimates include both full-time and part-time employment.

Unemployment Rate

6.7%

In Canada, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Labor Participation Rate

65.2%

The labour force participation rates is the number of persons who are employed and unemployed but looking for a job divided by the total working-age population.

Average Hourly Wages YoY

3.5%

Average Hourly Wages of Permanent Employees in Canada refers to the usual wages or salary of permanent employees at their main job. Respondents are asked to report their wage/salary before taxes and other deductions, and include tips and commissions. Weekly and hourly wages/salary are calculated in conjunction with usual paid work hours per week.

Part Time Employment Chg

29500

In Canada, part-time employment consists of persons who usually work less than 30 hours per week at their main or only job.

Fed Kugler Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

Auto Exports YoY

3.8%

In Mexico, auto exports refers to total exports of vehicles.

Auto Production YoY

12.1%

In Mexico, Car Production refers to total production of vehicles.

Inflation Rate MoM

0.56%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Inflation Rate YoY

5.48%

In Brazil, the inflation rate measures a broad rise or fall in prices that consumers pay for a standard basket of goods. The most important categories of the index are: Transport (20 percent); Food and beverages (19 percent of the total weight) ; housing (15 percent); health care (13 percent); and personal expenses (11 percent). Also, Communication accounts for 4 percent; education for 6 percent; clothing for 5 percent; household goods for 4 percent. Data is collected in the Metropolitan Areas of São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, Belo Horizonte, Porto Alegre, Belém, Fortaleza, Recife, Salvador and Curitiba and in the cities of Goiânia and Brasília.

NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker

0.6%

Consumer Confidence

46

In Mexico, the Consumer Confidence Index (ICC) measures the current perception and future expectations that people have about their economic situation, their family and the country in general, in respect to the purchase of consumption durables and non-durables, as well as employment, inflation and savings. The index is based on a sample of 2336 households located in the 32 major cities of the country. The ICC has a base of 100 as of January of 2003, levels above 100 indicate optimism, 100 neutrality and below 100 pessimism.

Foreign Exchange Reserves

688130000000

In India, Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans.

Deposit Growth YoY

10.1%

In India, deposit growth refers to the year-over-year change of the commercial banks deposits.

Bank Loan Growth YoY

11%

In India, bank loan growth refers to the year-over-year change of the overall commercial banks credit to the economy, including food credit, non-food credit and loans, cash credit and overdrafts.

Fed Barr Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

Current Account

-29600000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Industrial Production YoY

34.9%

In Ireland, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and its biggest segments are: Basic pharmaceutical products and preparations (37 percent of total production); food products (18 percent); chemicals and chemical products (15 percent); computer,electronic,optical and electrical equipment (11 percent); other manufacturing, repair and installation of machinery and equipment (7 percent); and basic metals and fabricated metal products,machinery and equipment (5 percent).

Balance of Trade

-1952000000

Portugal runs regular trade deficits. Machinery and mechanical appliances are the main group of products exported and imported, and also the group with the largest trade deficit. On the other hand, the largest commercial surpluses are in the transactions of Mineral products, Cellulose pulp and paper, Clothing and Footwear. In terms of traded goods, Industrial supplies is the main traded category. Spain, France and Germany are the main external customers and suppliers of goods to Portugal, accounting for 50.9% of total exports and 52% of imports. Spain is Portugal's largest partner (weight of 26.7% in exports and 32.8% in imports). Transactions with Spain record the largest trade deficit, while the largest surplus is with France. Outside the EU, the United States is the main customer while China is the main Extra-EU supplier of goods.

12-Month BOT Auction

2.12%

Budget Balance

-831200000000

The government budget balance is the difference between government revenues and expenses. The budget is balanced when outlays equal to receipts, the country reports budget surplus when revenues are higher than expenses and deficit when expenses exceed the revenues.

Current Account Prel

163800000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Inflation Rate YoY

2.4%

In Greece, the most important categories in the consumer price index are: food and non-alcoholic beverages (21 percent of total weight); housing (16 percent); and transport (14 percent). The index also includes: hotels, cafés and restaurants (10 percent); health (8 percent); miscellaneous goods and services (7 percent); and clothing and footwear (6 percent). Household equipment, alcoholic beverages, tobacco, communication, recreation and culture, and education account for the remaining 19 percent of total weight.

Inflation Rate MoM

1.4%

In Greece, the most important categories in the consumer price index are: food and non-alcoholic beverages (17 percent of total weight); transport (13 percent); housing (12 percent) and hotels, cafés and restaurants (11 percent). The index also includes: clothing and footwear (9 percent); health (7 percent); furnishing and household equipment (7 percent); recreation and culture (5 percent); communication (5 percent). Education, alcoholic beverages, tobacco and other goods and services account for the remaining 14 percent of total weight.

Industrial Production YoY

-0.1%

In Greece, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy such as manufacturing, mining, and utilities.

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY

3.1%

The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is an indicator of inflation and price stability for the European Central Bank (ECB). The HICP is compiled by Eurostat and the national statistical institutes in accordance with harmonised statistical methods. The ECB aims to maintain annual inflation rates as measured by the HICP below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.

BoE Bailey Speech

In the United Kingdom, benchmark interest rate is set by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The Bank of England official interest rate is the repo rate. This repo rate applies to open market operations of the Bank of England with a group of counterparties (banks, building societies, securities firms).

Industrial Production MoM

-0.9%

In Italy, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 88 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Metallurgy and fabricated metal products (14 percent of total production); machinery and equipment (12 percent); food, drink and tobacco (10 percent); rubber and plastics products and non-metallic mineral products (9 percent); textile, clothing and leather (8 percent); transport equipment (7 percent); and other manufacturing, repair and installation of machinery and equipment (7 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning account for 10 percent of total output and Mining and quarrying account for 1 percent.

Industrial Production YoY

-2.7%

In Italy, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 88 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Metallurgy and fabricated metal products (14 percent of total production); machinery and equipment (12 percent); food, drink and tobacco (10 percent); rubber and plastics products and non-metallic mineral products (9 percent); textile, clothing and leather (8 percent); transport equipment (7 percent); and other manufacturing, repair and installation of machinery and equipment (7 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning account for 10 percent of total output and Mining and quarrying account for 1 percent.

Vehicle Sales YoY

8.2%

In China, Total Vehicle Sales refers to the number of automobiles sold in a given month.

Industrial Production YoY

1.8%

In Austria, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector (69 percent of total production) including: machinery and equipment (9 percent); basic metals (6 percent); food products (6 percent); motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (6 percent); fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment (6 percent); and electrical equipment (5 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply account for 15 percent of total output followed by construction (13 percent), water supply, sewerage and waste management (2 percent) and mining and quarrying (1 percent).

Consumer Confidence

-35

In Switzerland, the consumer confidence survey is conducted every year, in the months of January, April, July and October. Around 1000 households are questioned for State Secretariat for Economic Affairs regarding their subjective evaluation of the economic situation, financial situation of the household in question, inflation, job security etc. Generally consumer confidence is high when the unemployment rate is low and GDP growth is high. Measures of average consumer confidence can be useful indicators of how much consumers are likely to spend.

Retail Sales MoM

0.4%

In Czech Republic, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Czech Republic, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Retail Sales YoY

3.8%

In Czech Republic, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Unemployment Rate

4.3%

In Czech Republic, the unemployment rate shows the share of unemployed people between the ages of 15 and 64 immediately able to start work versus all working people in the same demographic group.

Industrial Production MoM

-1.6%

In Turkey, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 84 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Food products (16 percent of total production); basic metals (11 percent); motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (9 percent); textile (8 percent); other non-metallic mineral products (6 percent); rubber and plastic products (5 percent); chemicals and chemical products (5 percent); electrical equipment (5 percent); wearing apparel (5 percent); and fabricated metal products (5 percent).

Industrial Production YoY

-1.9%

In Turkey, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 84 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Food products (16 percent of total production); basic metals (11 percent); motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (9 percent); textile (8 percent); other non-metallic mineral products (6 percent); rubber and plastic products (5 percent); chemicals and chemical products (5 percent); electrical equipment (5 percent); wearing apparel (5 percent); and fabricated metal products (5 percent).

Foreign Exchange Reserves

305120000000

In France, the international reserves include external assets that are directly and effectively controlled by the Banque de France, readily available, denominated in foreign currency and meeting the criterion of residency. Only claims on nonresident of the Euro-area are considered as reserve assets. The international reserve assets are recorded on the basis of gross reserve asset concept.

Inflation Rate YoY

4.7%

In Hungary, the most important category in the consumer price index is Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages (23 percent of total weight). Transport accounts for 15 percent; Housing and Utilities for 12 percent; Alcoholic beverages, Tobacco and Narcotics for 9 percent; Recreation and Culture for 7 percent; Miscellaneous Goods and Services for 7 percent; and Furniture, Household Equipment and Maintenance for 7 percent. Health; Restaurants and Hotels; Communication; Clothing and Footwear; and Education account for the remaining 20 percent of total weight.

Core Inflation Rate YoY

5.7%

In Hungary, the core inflation rate tracks changes in prices that consumers pay for a basket of goods which excludes some volatile price items.

Inflation Rate MoM

0%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Current Account

30600000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Balance of Trade

25700000000

Denmark has been reporting consistent trade surpluses since 1988. Denmark is self-sufficient in energy producing oil, natural gas, wind and bio energy. Its principal exports are machinery, chemicals and food products. Denmark imports mainly machinery and equipment, raw materials and semi manufactures for industry, foodstuffs and chemicals. In 2017, the largest trade surpluses were recorded with the US, the UK, Norway, France and Russia, while the biggest trade deficits were recorded with Germany, the Netherlands, China and Sweden.

Core Inflation Rate MoM

0.2%

In Norway, the core inflation rate, which is adjusted for taxes and energy prices, is the measure used by the central bank in setting interest rates.

Core Inflation Rate YoY

3.4%

In Norway, the core inflation, which is adjusted for taxes and energy prices, is the measure used by the central bank in setting interest rates. It targets inflation at around 2 percent over the long term.

Inflation Rate MoM

-0.7%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

PPI YoY

11.5%

In Norway, the Producer Price Index measures the price development of first hand sales of products to the Norwegian market, from Norwegian production and export. Manufacturing prices account for 54 percent of the total index. The biggest segments within Manufacturing prices are: Food, beverages and tobacco (12 percent), refined petroleum products (8 percent) machinery and equipment (6 percent) and basic metals (5 percent). Extraction and related services account for 41 percent, Electricity, gas and steam account for 4 percent and Mining and quarrying account for 1 percent.

Inflation Rate YoY

2.6%

In Norway, the most important category in the Consumer Price Index is Housing & Utilities (24.62% of the total weight). Transport accounts for 14.97%, Food & Non-alcoholic Beverages for 12.86%, Recreation & Culture for 10.79%, and Miscellaneous Goods & Services for 8.72%. The index also includes: Furnishings, Household Equipment & Routine Maintenance (6.89%), Clothing & Footwear (5.09%), Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (4.2%), Health (3.39%), Communication (2.37%), and Education (0.49%).

Industrial Production MoM

0.4%

In Sweden, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy such as manufacturing and mining.

Construction Output YoY

-1.2%

The production index in construction measures the evolution of output within the construction sector, including building construction and civil engineering.

Household Consumption MoM

1.1%

Household consumption is an important indicator for the business cycle because it accounts for 47 percent of the total Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Sweden.

Industrial Production YoY

-0.7%

In Sweden, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy such as manufacturing and mining.

New Orders YoY

2.5%

In Sweden, because new orders heavily affect business confidence they are a leading indicator for growth in gross domestic product. The statistics is sample- and register-based and aims to measure short-term changes in new orders and turnover in industry on a monthly basis, in total and by industry, as well as domestic and export market. The survey is coordinated with other economy-based surveys.

Household Consumption YoY

2.3%

From 2013 onwards Statistics Sweden produces new monthly statistics over household consumption. The statistics are an important indicator for the business cycle because household consumption accounts for 47 percent of the total Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

Industrial Production YoY

-2.4%

In Finland, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 87 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: chemicals (16 percent); electrical and electronics (13 percent); machinery and equipment (11 percent); paper and paper products (9 percent); fabricated metal products (8 percent); and food products (7 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply accounts for 11 percent of total output; and Mining and quarrying account for 2 percent.

Coincident Index Prel

117.3

Coincident Index correlates with the business cycle, and is used to identify the current state of the economy. In general, increasing coincident index shows that the economy is in an expansion phase, and decreasing coincident index reflects that the economy is in a contraction phase. The index is calculated using month-over-month percentage changes in 11 leading indicators, 11 coincident indicators, and 6 lagging indicators.

Leading Economic Index Prel

107.9

In Japan, the Leading Composite Index consists of 12 indexes such as account inventory ratios, machinery orders, stock prices and other leading economic indicators. The index anticipates changes in the direction of the Japanese economy in the coming months. In general, increase in the index reflects that the economy is in an expansion phase, and decreasing coincident index reflects that the economy is in a contraction phase. The index is used to make official judgement on when the business cycle begins and ends.

Manufacturing Production MoM

1.2%

3-Month Bill Auction

0.4051%

Exports YoY

12.4%

Balance of Trade

102640000000

Since 1995, China has been recording consistent trade surpluses. In 2022, the trade surplus surged 31% to USD 876.91 billion, the highest since records started in 1950, with exports rising 7% and imports up 1%.

Imports YoY

-4.3%

Consumer Confidence

121.1

In Indonesia, the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) measures consumer’s expectations about current income and job availability against those 6 months ago, appropriate time to buy durable goods, and general economic conditions and job availability expectations in the next 6 months. The index is based on a survey of around 4600 middle up class households in major cities (those cities cover about 78 percent of GDP). Data is collected through phone interviews and direct visits. The two main components of the Index are the current economic condition index and the consumer expectation index. The CCI is computed as a net balance obtained from the difference between percentage on ’increase’ answer and percentage on ’decrease’ answer. An index above 100 indicates an improving outlook and below 100 a deteriorating outlook.

Europe Day

Victory Day

Foreign Exchange Reserves

1272500000000

In Japan, Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans.

Household Spending YoY

-0.5%

In Japan, Household Spending YoY refers to the annual change of consumption expenditures (on food, housing, utilities, furniture, clothing, health, education, transport, communication, leisure activities, etc.) in real terms for two-or-more-person households including agricultural, forestry and fisheries households.

Average Cash Earnings YoY

2.7%

In Japan, wage growth refers to changes in average cash earnings, including contractual and special cash earnings, in companies with five or more employees.

Household Spending MoM

3.5%

In Japan, Household Spending MoM refers to the monthly change of consumption expenditures (on food, housing, utilities, furniture, clothing, health, education, transport, communication, leisure activities, etc.) in real terms for two-or-more-person households including agricultural, forestry and fisheries households.

Overtime Pay YoY

2.4%

In Japan, non-scheduled cash earnings are the wages paid for work performed outside scheduled working hours, and on days off or night work, that is allowances for working outside work hours, night work, early morning work, and overnight duty.

Current Account

7180000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Fed Balance Sheet

6710000000000

30-Year Bond Auction

4.813%

5-Year Bond Auction

2.898%

15-Year Mortgage Rate

5.92%

30-Year Mortgage Rate

6.76%

The Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) is focused on conventional, conforming, fully amortizing home purchase loans for borrowers who put 20 percent down and have excellent credit. Average commitment rates should be reported along with average fees and points to reflect the total upfront cost of obtaining the mortgage. The interest rate a lender would charge to lend mortgage money to a qualified borrower exclusive of the fees and points required by the lender. This commitment rate applies only to conventional financing on conforming mortgages with loan-to-value rates of 80 percent or less.