Market Analysis of XAUUSD on Thursday 16 May 2024

2024-05-16 13:51Source:BtcDana

Technical Analysis: 

GOLD is trading around 2393 near ath already an gold gave a huge move already to the upside buying from here will not be good idea, we are looking for retracement to the downside and in small dip we can look for buying opportunity if gold don't clear ATH liquidity first. If price directly head towards 2431 then we will just look for selling from ATH zone or avoid.

Fundamentals:

The dollar DXY fell 0.2% against a basket of other major currencies, making the greenback-priced bullion less expensive for other currency holders. The benchmark 10-year US10Y Treasury yield hit its lowest in more than one month.

"Following the April consumer price index data, the odds for a potential September rate cut have firmed, which suits the gold price from a yield perspective," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.

"With inflation coming off the boil, gold is effectively making hay while the sun is shining and looks poised to capture the $2,400 level. However, a potential bounce in the dollar or treasury yields could be the biggest hurdle for gold price in the remainder of the week."

Cooling U.S. consumer prices along with last week's lacklustre jobs report and a softer-than-expected U.S. payrolls report for April comes as good news to Fed policymakers waiting to see renewed progress on inflation before reducing borrowing costs. (FEDWATCH)

Bullion is known as an inflation hedge, but higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.

Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Austan Goolsbee said he was optimistic inflation would continue to come down, echoing Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments earlier in the week when he noted that it was unlikely the central bank would have to raise interest rates again.

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