BoC Business Outlook Survey

In Canada, benchmark interest rate is set by the Bank of Canada's (BoC) Governing Council. The official interest rate is the Overnight Rate. Since 1996 the Bank Rate is set at the upper limit of an operating band for the money market overnight rate. Previously, from March 1980 until February 1996 the Bank Rate was set at 25 basis points above the weekly average tender rate for 3-month Treasury bills.

Balance of Trade

2049100000

Foreign trade accounts for approximately 70 percent of the Belgium's economy. About 80% of Belgium's trade is with fellow EU member states. The major export commodity in Belgium is the automobile, medicament mixtures put in dosage, not mounted or set diamonds. Belgium imports mainly machinery and equipment, chemicals, diamonds, pharmaceuticals, foodstuffs, transportation equipment and oil products.

Business Confidence

51

In Brazil, the Industrial Entrepreneur Confidence Index (ICEI) measures the current situation of businesses and their future prospects. The survey covers about 2,500 companies in the construction, mining, and manufacturing industries. The questionnaire is made by phone and focuses on: production trends in recent months, order books, export order books, stocks and production expectations. The indicator varies on a scale of 0 to 100 where 50 indicates neutrality, 0 indicates extreme lack of confidence and 100 extreme confidence.

3-Month BTF Auction

12-Month BTF Auction

6-Month BTF Auction

Manufacturing Sales MoM Final

-2.8%

In Canada, Manufacturing Sales provides a current 'snapshot' of sales of goods manufactured values by the Canadian manufacturing sector, enabling analysis of the state of the Canadian economy, as well as the health of specific industries in the short- to medium-term.

Wholesale Sales MoM Final

-0.5%

The Monthly Wholesale Trade Survey presents estimates of monthly sales for wholesale merchants in Canada, providing information on the performance of the wholesale trade sector as an important indicator of the health of the Canadian economy. In addition, the business community uses the data to analyse market performance.

Foreign Exchange Reserves

592000000000

In Russia, Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans. After the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the Western countries have frozen about USD 300 billion of Russian reserves. Despite the prohibition of using assets, the central bank includes frozen assets in its data.

BCB Focus Market Readout

In Brazil, interest rate decisions are taken by The Central Bank of Brazil's Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM). The official interest rate is the Special System of Clearance and Custody rate (SELIC) which is the overnight lending rate.

Balance of Trade

6800000000

Ireland posts regular trade surpluses since 1985. Its main exports are chemicals and related products, machinery, and food and live animals. In the meantime, its main imports are machinery, transport equipment, and fuel. Ireland's main exporting partners are the United States, other EU member-states, and Great Britain. On the other hand, the majority of imports are from the rest of the world, mainly due to energy purchases, followed by other EU states.

Construction Output YoY

-3.4%

The production index in construction measures the evolution of output within the construction sector, including building construction and civil engineering.

12-Month Bubill Auction

3.565%

Industrial Production MoM

-0.7%

In Euro Area, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy such as manufacturing, mining, and utilities.

Balance of Trade

11100000000

The Euro Area is one of the world’s biggest players in global trade. The bloc runs regular trade surpluses primarily due to the high export of manufactured goods such as machinery and vehicles. However, it is a net importer of energy and raw materials. Germany by far contributes the most to surplus followed by Netherlands, Ireland, and Italy. On the other hand, the deficits are constantly recorded in France and Spain. Still, in 2022, the block run the biggest trade deficit on record as the energy imports surged after the war in Ukraine forced the members to reduce energy imports from Russia and destabilized the energy markets. .

Industrial Production YoY

-6.6%

In Euro Area, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy such as manufacturing, mining, and utilities.

Balance of Trade

-20580000000

India has been recording sustained trade deficits since 1980 mainly due to the strong imports growth, particularly of mineral fuels, oils and waxes and bituminous substances and pearls, precious and semi-precious stones and jewelry. In recent years, the biggest trade deficits were recorded with China, Switzerland, Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Indonesia. India records trade surpluses with the US, United Arab Emirates, Hong Kong, United Kingdom and Vietnam.

Exports

33900000000

In recent years, India exported mostly: pearls, precious and semi-precious stones and jewelry (16 percent of total shipments); mineral fuels, oils and waxes and bituminous substances (12 percent); vehicles, parts and accessories (5 percent); nuclear reactors, boilers, machinery and mechanical appliances (5 percent); pharmaceutical products (5 percent); and organic chemicals (4 percent). India’s main export partners are: United States (15 percent of the total exports), United Arab Emirates (11 percent), Hong Kong (5 percent), China (4 percent), Singapore (4 percent) and United Kingdom (3 percent).

Imports

54480000000

India main imports are: mineral fuels, oils and waxes and bituminous substances (27 percent of total imports); pearls, precious and semi-precious stones and jewelry (14 percent); electrical machinery and equipment (10 percent); nuclear reactors, boilers, machinery and mechanical appliances (8 percent); and organic chemicals (4 percent). India’s major import partners are: China (16 percent of total imports), the United States (6 percent), United Arab Emirates (6 percent), Saudi Arabia (5 percent) and Switzerland (5 percent).

Balance of Trade

4699000000

Italy has consistently recorded trade surpluses since 2013 until soaring energy costs in 2022 inflated the price of purchases and drove the Italian economy to import more than it exports. Italy’s main exports include base metals, chemicals, transportation equipment, and pharmaceutical goods, while the main imports are machinery and energy. The largest exporting partners are France, Germany, and the United States, while the main importing partners are Germany, France, China, and OPEC nations.

Full Year GDP Growth

1.9%

The German economy - the fifth largest economy in the world and Europe's largest - is a leading exporter of machinery, vehicles, chemicals, and household equipment and benefits from a highly skilled labor force. Composition of the GDP on the expenditure side: household consumption (55 percent), gross capital formation (20 percent, of which 10 percent in construction, 6 percent in machinery and equipment and 4 percent in other products) and government expenditure (19 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 46 percent of GDP while imports account for 39 percent, adding 7 percent to total GDP.

Inflation Rate MoM Final

0.7%

In Poland, the most important categories in the consumer price index are: Food and non-alcoholic beverages (25 percent of the total weight); Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels (19 percent); Transport (10 percent); Recreation and Culture (6 percent); Alcoholic beverages and tobacco (6 percent), Restaurants and hotels (6 percent); Furnishings, household equipment, routine household maintenance (6 percent); and Miscellaneous goods and services (6 percent). Health, Clothing and footwear, Communication and Education account for the remaining 15 percent of total weight.

Inflation Rate YoY Final

6.6%

In Poland, the most important categories in the consumer price index are: Food and non-alcoholic beverages (24 percent of the total weight); Housing energy/maintenance (21 percent); Transport (9 percent); Recreation and Culture (7 percent). Alcohol and tobacco, Health, Other goods and services, and Clothing account for 6 percent each. Communication, Restaurants and Hotels, Household Equipment and Education account for the remaining 17 percent of total weight.

Budget Balance

75630000000

The government budget balance is the difference between government revenues and expenses. The budget is balanced when outlays equal to receipts, the country reports budget surplus when revenues are higher than expenses and deficit when expenses exceed the revenues.

Construction Output YoY

0.1%

The production index in construction measures the evolution of output within the construction sector, including building construction and civil engineering.

Wholesale Prices MoM

-0.2%

The index of wholesale prices measures the development of prices of goods sold by wholesalers within Germany to the extent that such sales are included under wholesale, such as contracts concluded with resellers, processors or other bulk purchasers. This may refer to goods produced in Germany or to imported goods. Excluded are sales from producers direct to retailers or final consumers.

Wholesale Prices YoY

-3.6%

The index of wholesale prices measures the development of prices of goods sold by wholesalers within Germany to the extent that such sales are included under wholesale, such as contracts concluded with resellers, processors or other bulk purchasers. This may refer to goods produced in Germany or to imported goods. Excluded are sales from producers direct to retailers or final consumers.

Balance of Trade

80100000000

The Norwegian trade balance has been in surplus since 1989 and hit NOK 531 billion in 2021, the highest trade surplus ever, mainly due to a much higher price growth on average of goods exported than those imported. Exports increased by 77% to NOK 1,377.8 billion, strongly driven by high prices for energy products, metals and fish. Export income from oil and gas accounted for more than 60% of all merchandise exports in 2021. Imports rose by NOK 82.1 billion from a year earlier to NOK 846.8 billion in 2021. Around a quarter of this increase is due to high imports of passenger cars, which increased by 36.5% and amounted to NOK 72.1 billion. The EU countries, Great Britain, China and the United States are the most important trading partners for Norway.

Inflation Rate YoY

5.8%

In Sweden, the most important categories in the Consumer Price Index is Housing & Utilities (24% of the total weight). Food & Non-alcoholic Beverages account for 14%; Transport for 13%; Recreation & Culture for 13%; Miscellaneous Goods & Services for 8%; and Furniture, Household Goods & Maintenance (7%). Others also includes: Restaurant & Hotels (6%), Clothing & Footwear (4%), Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (4%), Health (4%), Communications (3%), and Education (0.30%).

Inflation Rate MoM

0.3%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

CPI

410.35

In Sweden, the Consumer Price Index or CPI measures changes in the prices paid by consumers for a basket of goods and services.

CPIF MoM

0.1%

As of September 2017, the Riksbank uses the CPIF, the consumer price index with a fixed interest rate, as target variable for the inflation target. According to the central bank, "From a monetary policy perspective, one disadvantage of the CPI is that it is directly affected by changes in the policy rate. These adjustments have, through their impact on mortgage rates, large and direct effects on the CPI which are not connected to underlying inflationary pressures".

CPIF YoY

3.6%

As of September 2017, the Riksbank uses the CPIF, the consumer price index with a fixed interest rate, as target variable for the inflation target. According to the central bank, "From a monetary policy perspective, one disadvantage of the CPI is that it is directly affected by changes in the policy rate. These adjustments have, through their impact on mortgage rates, large and direct effects on the CPI which are not connected to underlying inflationary pressures".

WPI Manufacturing YoY

-0.64%

In India, the wholesale price index (WPI) is the main measure of inflation. The WPI measures the price of a representative basket of wholesale goods. In India, wholesale price index is divided into three groups: Primary Articles (22.6 percent of total weight); Fuel and Power (13.2 percent); and Manufactured Products (64.2 percent). The Food Index from the Primary Articles and Manufactured Products groups accounts for 24.4 percent of the total weight. The most important components of the Manufactured Products group are Basic Metals (9.7 percent of total weight); Food products (9.1 percent); Chemicals and Chemical products (6.5 percent) and Textiles (4.9 percent). Within the Primary Articles group, the most important component is Food Articles (15.3 percent), while within Fuel and Power, the most important category is HSD (3.1 percent).

WPI Fuel YoY

-4.61%

In India, the wholesale price index (WPI) is the main measure of inflation. The WPI measures the price of a representative basket of wholesale goods. In India, wholesale price index is divided into three groups: Primary Articles (22.6 percent of total weight); Fuel and Power (13.2 percent); and Manufactured Products (64.2 percent). The Food Index from the Primary Articles and Manufactured Products groups accounts for 24.4 percent of the total weight. The most important components of the Manufactured Products group are Basic Metals (9.7 percent of total weight); Food products (9.1 percent); Chemicals and Chemical products (6.5 percent) and Textiles (4.9 percent). Within the Primary Articles group, the most important component is Food Articles (15.3 percent), while within Fuel and Power, the most important category is HSD (3.1 percent).

WPI Inflation YoY

0.26%

In India, the wholesale price index (WPI) is the main measure of inflation. The WPI measures the price of a representative basket of wholesale goods. In India, wholesale price index is divided into three groups: Primary Articles (22.6 percent of total weight); Fuel and Power (13.2 percent); and Manufactured Products (64.2 percent). The Food Index from the Primary Articles and Manufactured Products groups accounts for 24.4 percent of the total weight. The most important components of the Manufactured Products group are Basic Metals (9.7 percent of total weight); Food products (9.1 percent); Chemicals and Chemical products (6.5 percent) and Textiles (4.9 percent). Within the Primary Articles group, the most important component is Food Articles (15.3 percent), while within Fuel and Power, the most important category is HSD (3.1 percent).

WPI Food Index YoY

4.69%

In India, the wholesale price index (WPI) is the main measure of inflation. The WPI measures the price of a representative basket of wholesale goods. In India, wholesale price index is divided into three groups: Primary Articles (22.6 percent of total weight); Fuel and Power (13.2 percent); and Manufactured Products (64.2 percent). The Food Index from the Primary Articles and Manufactured Products groups accounts for 24.4 percent of the total weight. The most important components of the Manufactured Products group are Basic Metals (9.7 percent of total weight); Food products (9.1 percent); Chemicals and Chemical products (6.5 percent) and Textiles (4.9 percent). Within the Primary Articles group, the most important component is Food Articles (15.3 percent), while within Fuel and Power, the most important category is HSD (3.1 percent).

Inflation Rate YoY

3.3%

In Finland, the most important category in the consumer price index is housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels (25 percent of total weight). Food and non-alcoholic beverages accounts for 14 percent; transport for 13 percent and recreation and culture for 12 percent. Consumer price index in Finland also includes miscellaneous goods and services (7 percent); restaurants and hotels (7 percent) and furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance (5 percent). Health; alcoholic beverages and tobacco; clothing and footwear; communication and education account for remaining 17 percent of total weight.

Inflation Rate MoM

-0.3%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

CPI

121.2

In Finland, the Consumer Price Index or CPI measures changes in the prices paid by consumers for a basket of goods and services.

Passenger Vehicles Sales YoY

4.3%

Machine Tool Orders YoY

-13.6%

Machine Tool Orders in Japan measure the change in the total value of new orders placed with machine tool manufacturers.

Imports YoY

3.29%

From 2004 to 2012, imports to Indonesia tripled, as large portion of the population entered middle-class and propelled higher purchases of oil and consumption goods. However, starting in mid-2013, imports have been declining due to low commodity prices and weak domestic consumption and investment. Main imports products are: oil and gas (around 17 percent of total imports), nuclear reactions, boilers, mechanical appliances (19 percent); iron and steel (5.4 percent), organic chemical materials (4.8 percent) and vehicles (4.5 percent). Main import partners are: China (25 percent of the total imports), Japan (11 percent), Singapore (7.6 percent), Thailand (6.8 percent) and the United States (6.4 percent).

Exports YoY

-8.56%

Exports have been an engine of economic growth in Indonesia. However, after reaching a peak in 2012, it have been in a steady decline due to lower commodity prices and dwindling global demand. Major exports are: oil and gas (12.4 percent of the total exports, of those gas 6.9 percent, crude oil 4.3 percent and oil products 1.2 percent); animal and vegetable fats and oils (14 percent); and electrical equipment and machinery (10.45 percent). Other exports include: footwear, part of such articles (3.4 percent); garments not knitted (3 percent) and ores, slag and ash (2.5 percent). Major export partners are: the United States (11.6 percent), China (10 percent of the total exports), Japan (9.9 percent), India (8.8 percent) and Singapore (7 percent).

Balance of Trade

2410000000

Since the 1970’s Indonesia has been recording consistent trade surpluses due to robust exports growth. However, from 2012 to 2014 the country started recording trade deficits, as exports shrank due to slowdown in the global economy and fall in commodity prices. In 2015, trade balance swang again to surplus due to almost 20 percent fall in imports. In recent years, the biggest trade deficits were recorded with China, Thailand, Japan, Germany and South Korea. Indonesia records trade surpluses mainly with India, United States, and Malaysia. .

PBoC 1-Year MLF Announcement

2.5%

In China, the One-Year Medium-Term Lending Facility Rate is the main rate at which the central bank lends to big commercial banks. The MLF rate acts as a guide for the PBOC’s new lending benchmark, the Loan Prime Rate (LPR).

Construction PMI

44.5

The Ulster Bank Construction Purchasing Managers’ Index® is a seasonally adjusted index designed to track changes in total construction activity in Ireland. Data are collected at mid-month, asking respondents to compare a variety of business conditions with the situation one month ago. A reading of below 50.0 indicates that the economy is generally declining, above 50.0 that it is generally expanding and exactly 50.0 indicates no change on the level recorded the previous month.

ANZ-Indeed Job Ads MoM

-4.6%

In Australia, job advertisements measure the number of jobs advertised in the major daily newspapers and internet sites covering the capital cities.

Eurogroup Meeting

Martin Luther King, Jr. Day