Fed Barr Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

Redbook YoY

The Johnson Redbook Index is a sales-weighted of year-over-year same-store sales growth in a sample of large US general merchandise retailers representing about 9,000 stores. Same-store sales are sales in stores continuously open for 12 months or longer. By dollar value, the Index represents over 80% of the equivalent 'official' retail sales series collected and published by the US Department of Commerce. Redbook compiles the Index by collecting and interpreting performance estimates from retailers. The Index and its sub-groups are sales-weighted aggregates of these estimates. Weeks are retail weeks (Sunday to Saturday), and equally weighted within the month.

Inflation Rate MoM

0.4%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Core Inflation Rate MoM

Inflation Rate YoY

3.7%

In the United States, unadjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers is based on the prices of a market basket of: Food (14% of total weight); Energy (8%); Commodities Less Food & Energy Commodities (21%) and Services Less Energy Services (57%). The last category is divided by: Shelter (32%), Medical Care Services (7%) and Transportation Services (6%).

Core Inflation Rate YoY

4.1%

In the United States, the core inflation rate tracks changes in prices that consumers pay for a basket of goods which excludes volatile food and fuel costs.

CPI

307.789

In the United States, the Consumer Price Index or CPI measures changes in the prices paid by consumers for a basket of goods and services.

CPI s.a

307.481

In the United States, the Consumer Price Index or CPI measures changes in the prices paid by consumers for a basket of goods and services.

ECB Elderson Speech

In the Euro Area, benchmark interest rate is set by the Governing Council of the European Central Bank. The primary objective of the ECB’s monetary policy is to maintain price stability which is to keep inflation below, but close to 2 percent over the medium term. In times of prolonged low inflation and low interest rates, ECB may also adopt non-standard monetary policy measures, such as asset purchase programmes. The official interest rate is the Main refinancing operations rate.

Current Account

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Balance of Trade

491000000

From the beginning of the past decade, Poland’s foreign trade turnover increased almost ten-fold. Poland exports processed fruit and vegetables, meat, dairy products, electromechanical products, vehicles, aircraft and vessels. Most of Poland's imports are capital goods needed for industrial retooling and for manufacturing inputs like machinery and transport equipment, chemicals, minerals, fuels and lubricants. European Union is by far its largest trading partner accounting for about 79% of exports and 64% of imports.

NFIB Business Optimism Index

90.8

NFIB Small Business Optimism Index is a composite of ten seasonally adjusted components calculated based on the answers of around 620 NFIB members. This questions include: plans to increase employment, plans to make capital outlays, plans to increase inventories, expect economy to improve, expect real sales higher, current inventory, current job openings, expected credit conditions, now a good time to expand, and earnings trend.

2-Year Schatz Auction

Fed Jefferson Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

Employment Change YoY Prel

1.3%

In Euro Area, employment change refers to the quarterly change in the number of persons who work for pay or profit, or perform unpaid family work. Estimates include both full-time and part-time employment.

Employment Change QoQ Prel

0.2%

In Euro Area, employment change refers to the quarterly change in the number of persons who work for pay or profit, or perform unpaid family work. Estimates include both full-time and part-time employment.

GDP Growth Rate YoY 2nd Est

0.5%

The Euro Area is the second largest economy in the world. Of the 19 member states it includes, the biggest are: Germany (29 percent of total GDP), France (20 percent), Italy (15 percent) and Spain (10 percent). On the expenditure side, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 54 percent of its total use, followed by gross fixed capital formation (21 percent) and government expenditure (20 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 47 percent of GDP while imports account for 43 percent, adding 4 percent of total GDP.

ZEW Economic Sentiment Index

2.3

In the Euro Area, the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index measures the level of optimism that analysts have about the expected economic developments over the next 6 months. The survey covers up to 350 financial and economic analysts. The index is constructed as the difference between the percentage share of analysts that are optimistic and the percentage of analysts that are pessimistic about the development of the economy. Therefore, the ZEW indicator measures the confidence on a scale of -100 (all analysts expect the economy to deteriorate) up to 100 (all analysts expect it to improve). A 0 value indicates neutrality.

GDP Growth Rate QoQ Flash

-0.4%

Services including tourism, financial services, and real estate are considered as the backbone of the Cyprus economy, accounting for nearly 80 percent of GDP. On the expenditure side, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 70 percent of its total use, followed by government expenditure (16 percent) and gross fixed capital formation (11 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 55 percent of GDP while imports account for 53 percent, adding 2 percent of total GDP.

GDP Growth Rate YoY Flash

2.3%

Services including tourism, financial services, and real estate are considered as the backbone of the Cyprus economy, accounting for nearly 80 percent of GDP. Industry accounts for only 10 percent and agriculture for 2 percent. On the expenditure side, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 70 percent of its total use, followed by government expenditure (16 percent) and gross fixed capital formation (11 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 55 percent of GDP while imports account for 53 percent, adding 2 percent of total GDP.

ZEW Economic Sentiment Index

-1.1

In Germany, the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index measures the level of optimism that analysts have about the expected economic developments over the next 6 months. The survey covers up to 350 financial and economic analysts. The index is constructed as the difference between the percentage share of analysts that are optimistic and the percentage of analysts that are pessimistic about the development of the economy. Therefore, the ZEW indicator measures the confidence on a scale of -100 (all analysts expect the economy to deteriorate) up to 100 (all analysts expect it to improve). A 0 value indicates neutrality.

ZEW Current Conditions

-79.9

In Germany, the ZEW Current Conditions Index measures the level of optimism that analysts have about the current economic situation. The survey covers up to 350 financial and economic analysts. The index is constructed as the difference between the percentage share of analysts that are optimistic and the percentage of analysts that are pessimistic about the economy. Therefore, the ZEW indicator measures the confidence on a scale of -100 (all analysts see deteriorating economic conditions) up to 100 (all analysts see improving economic conditions). A 0 value indicates neutrality.

GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2nd Est

0.1%

The Euro Area is an economic and monetary union of 19 European countries that adopted the euro as their currency. It is the second largest economy in the world and if it was a country it would be the third most populous with 341 million inhabitants. Germany, France, Italy and Spain are the most important economies accounting respectively for 29 percent, 20 percent, 15 percent and 10 percent of the bloc’s GDP.

3-Month Letras Auction

3.556%

9-Month Letras Auction

Unemployment Rate

32.6%

In South Africa, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Unemployed Persons

7921000

In South Africa, unemployed persons are individuals who are without a job and actively seeking to work.

IEA Oil Market Report

ECB Enria Speech

In the Euro Area, benchmark interest rate is set by the Governing Council of the European Central Bank. The primary objective of the ECB’s monetary policy is to maintain price stability which is to keep inflation below, but close to 2 percent over the medium term. In times of prolonged low inflation and low interest rates, ECB may also adopt non-standard monetary policy measures, such as asset purchase programmes. The official interest rate is the Main refinancing operations rate.

GDP Growth Rate YoY Flash

-0.2%

The Netherlands is the sixth-largest economy in the Euro Zone and important transportation hub in Europe. The Dutch economy depends heavily on foreign trade, with exports accounting for 83 percent of GDP and imports for 72 percent. Household consumption is the main component of GDP (45 percent) followed by government expenditure (26 percent), gross fixed capital formation (18 percent) and net trade (11 percent).

GDP Growth Rate QoQ Flash

-0.2%

The Netherlands is the sixth-largest economy in the Euro Zone and important transportation hub in Europe. The Dutch economy depends heavily on foreign trade, with exports accounting for 83 percent of GDP and imports for 72 percent. Household consumption is the main component of GDP (45 percent) followed by government expenditure (26 percent), gross fixed capital formation (18 percent) and net trade (11 percent).

Balance of Trade

10881000000

The Netherlands is an export-oriented economy and derives more than two-thirds of its GDP from the merchandise trade. Main exports are: machinery and transport equipment (28 percent of total exports), mineral fuels (23 percent), food (11 percent), clothing and footwear (10 percent) and pharmaceuticals (5 percent). Netherlands main imports are: fuel (29 percent of total imports), machinery (26 percent) and food and live animals (8.6 percent). Main trading partners are Germany (24 percent of total exports and 17 percent of imports) and Belgium (12 percent of exports and 10 percent imports). Others include: China, France, United Kingdom and United States.

Household Consumption YoY

0.5%

In the Netherlands, Household Consumption YoY measures the year-on-year change of consumption expenditure by households. Consumption expenditure includes all voluntary expenditure on goods and services by private individuals and households. It does not include compulsory expenditure such as taxes. Services is the most important sector and accounts for 58 percent of total consumption. The biggest segments within Services are housing; financial and business services; transport, communication services; and medical services and welfare. Consumption of goods account for the remaining 42 percent, in particular durable consumer goods (15 percent) and food, beverages and tobacco (15 percent).

ECB Lane Speech

In the Euro Area, benchmark interest rate is set by the Governing Council of the European Central Bank. The primary objective of the ECB’s monetary policy is to maintain price stability which is to keep inflation below, but close to 2 percent over the medium term. In times of prolonged low inflation and low interest rates, ECB may also adopt non-standard monetary policy measures, such as asset purchase programmes. The official interest rate is the Main refinancing operations rate.

Inflation Rate MoM Final

0.2%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Core Inflation Rate YoY Final

5.8%

In Spain, the core inflation rate tracks changes in prices that consumers pay for a basket of goods which excludes some volatile price items.

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Final

3.3%

The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is an indicator of inflation and price stability for the European Central Bank (ECB). The HICP is compiled by Eurostat and the national statistical institutes in accordance with harmonised statistical methods. The ECB aims to maintain annual inflation rates as measured by the HICP below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.

Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Final

0.6%

Inflation Rate YoY Final

3.5%

In Spain, the most important categories in the Consumer Price Index are: Foods & Non-alcoholic Beverages (23% of the total weight), Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels (14%), Restaurants & Hotels (13%) and Transport (13%). The index also includes: Recreation & Culture (6%), Miscellaneous Goods & Services (6%), Clothing & Footwear (6%), Furnishings, Household Equipment & Routine Maintenance (6%), Health (4%), Communications (4%), Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (3%), and Education (2%).

CPI

113.3

In Spain, the most important categories in the consumer price index are food and non-alcoholic beverages (20 percent of the total weight), transport (15 percent), housing and utilities (13 percent) and hotels, cafés and restaurants (12 percent). The index also includes: Recreation and culture (9 percent); miscellaneous goods and services (7 percent); and clothing and footwear (7 percent). Furnishings, household equipment and routine maintenance of the house; health; communications; alcoholic beverages and tobacco; and education account for the remaining 18 percent of total weight.

Auto Production YoY

1.3%

In Turkey, Total Motor Vehicles Production refers to the production of total motor vehicles, excluding tractors.

Producer & Import Prices YoY

-1%

In Switzerland, the Producer Price Index (PPI) is officially named “Producer and Import Price Index”. Producer price index measures the price development of goods that are produced and sold by enterprises operating within the country and the import price index measures the price development of imported goods. Only domestic sales are considered for the producer price index when combining the indices.

Producer & Import Prices MoM

-0.1%

In Switzerland, the producer price index (which measures the price development of goods that are produced and sold by enterprises operating within the country) and the import price index (which measures the price development of imported goods) are combined into the price index for the whole range of goods. Only domestic sales are considered for the producer price index when combining the indices.

GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel

-0.3%

In Hungary, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 50 percent of its total use, followed by gross fixed capital formation (22 percent) and government expenditure (20 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 89 percent of GDP while imports account for 82 percent, adding 7 percent of total GDP.

GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel

-2.4%

Electronics manufacturing and research are among the main drivers of innovation and economic growth in Hungary. The country has also grown into a major center for mobile technology, information security, and related hardware research. On the expenditure side, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 50 percent of its total use, followed by gross fixed capital formation (22 percent) and government expenditure (20 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 89 percent of GDP while imports account for 82 percent, adding 7 percent of total GDP.

Unemployment Rate

In the United Kingdom, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Employment Change

In the United Kingdom, employment change refers to the 3-month moving average compared to the previous period in the number of people in employment aged 16 and over.

Average Earnings incl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr)

8.1%

In the United Kingdom, wage growth refers to changes in average weekly earnings, before tax and other deductions and including bonuses.

Average Earnings excl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr)

7.8%

In the United Kingdom, Average Earnings Excluding Bonuses refers to changes in average weekly earnings, before tax and other deductions and excluding bonuses.

Claimant Count Change

Claimant count in the United Kingdom measures the change in the number of people claiming unemployment related benefits.

HMRC Payrolls Change

-11000

In the UK, the number of payrolled employees is defined as the number of people receiving paid remuneration included in PAYE RTI within the reference period, including people who have not done work but are an employee - such as those on paid leave.

Industrial Production MoM

-0.4%

In Romania, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy such as manufacturing, mining, and utilities.

Industrial Production YoY

-5.6%

In Romania, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy such as manufacturing, mining, and utilities.

GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel

On the expenditure side, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 63 percent of its total use, followed by gross fixed capital formation (22 percent) and government expenditure (14 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 41 percent of GDP and imports account for 41 percent.

GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel

Romania is an upper-middle income economy and has been part of the European Union since 2007. The main industries in Romania are: electric machinery and equipment, textiles and footwear, light machinery and auto assembly, software, mining, timber, construction materials, metallurgy, chemicals, food processing and petroleum refining. On the expenditure side, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 63 percent of its total use, followed by gross fixed capital formation (22 percent) and government expenditure (14 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 41 percent of GDP and imports account for 41 percent.

Inflation Rate YoY

6.5%

In Sweden, the most important categories in the Consumer Price Index is Housing & Utilities (24% of the total weight). Food & Non-alcoholic Beverages account for 14%; Transport for 13%; Recreation & Culture for 13%; Miscellaneous Goods & Services for 8%; and Furniture, Household Goods & Maintenance (7%). Others also includes: Restaurant & Hotels (6%), Clothing & Footwear (4%), Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (4%), Health (4%), Communications (3%), and Education (0.30%).

Inflation Rate MoM

0.5%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

CPIF MoM

0.4%

As of September 2017, the Riksbank uses the CPIF, the consumer price index with a fixed interest rate, as target variable for the inflation target. According to the central bank, "From a monetary policy perspective, one disadvantage of the CPI is that it is directly affected by changes in the policy rate. These adjustments have, through their impact on mortgage rates, large and direct effects on the CPI which are not connected to underlying inflationary pressures".

CPIF YoY

4%

As of September 2017, the Riksbank uses the CPIF, the consumer price index with a fixed interest rate, as target variable for the inflation target. According to the central bank, "From a monetary policy perspective, one disadvantage of the CPI is that it is directly affected by changes in the policy rate. These adjustments have, through their impact on mortgage rates, large and direct effects on the CPI which are not connected to underlying inflationary pressures".

CPI

408.05

In Sweden, the Consumer Price Index or CPI measures changes in the prices paid by consumers for a basket of goods and services.

WPI Manufacturing YoY

-1.34%

In India, the wholesale price index (WPI) is the main measure of inflation. The WPI measures the price of a representative basket of wholesale goods. In India, wholesale price index is divided into three groups: Primary Articles (22.6 percent of total weight); Fuel and Power (13.2 percent); and Manufactured Products (64.2 percent). The Food Index from the Primary Articles and Manufactured Products groups accounts for 24.4 percent of the total weight. The most important components of the Manufactured Products group are Basic Metals (9.7 percent of total weight); Food products (9.1 percent); Chemicals and Chemical products (6.5 percent) and Textiles (4.9 percent). Within the Primary Articles group, the most important component is Food Articles (15.3 percent), while within Fuel and Power, the most important category is HSD (3.1 percent).

WPI Fuel YoY

-3.35%

In India, the wholesale price index (WPI) is the main measure of inflation. The WPI measures the price of a representative basket of wholesale goods. In India, wholesale price index is divided into three groups: Primary Articles (22.6 percent of total weight); Fuel and Power (13.2 percent); and Manufactured Products (64.2 percent). The Food Index from the Primary Articles and Manufactured Products groups accounts for 24.4 percent of the total weight. The most important components of the Manufactured Products group are Basic Metals (9.7 percent of total weight); Food products (9.1 percent); Chemicals and Chemical products (6.5 percent) and Textiles (4.9 percent). Within the Primary Articles group, the most important component is Food Articles (15.3 percent), while within Fuel and Power, the most important category is HSD (3.1 percent).

WPI Inflation YoY

-0.26%

In India, the wholesale price index (WPI) is the main measure of inflation. The WPI measures the price of a representative basket of wholesale goods. In India, wholesale price index is divided into three groups: Primary Articles (22.6 percent of total weight); Fuel and Power (13.2 percent); and Manufactured Products (64.2 percent). The Food Index from the Primary Articles and Manufactured Products groups accounts for 24.4 percent of the total weight. The most important components of the Manufactured Products group are Basic Metals (9.7 percent of total weight); Food products (9.1 percent); Chemicals and Chemical products (6.5 percent) and Textiles (4.9 percent). Within the Primary Articles group, the most important component is Food Articles (15.3 percent), while within Fuel and Power, the most important category is HSD (3.1 percent).

WPI Food Index YoY

1.54%

In India, the wholesale price index (WPI) is the main measure of inflation. The WPI measures the price of a representative basket of wholesale goods. In India, wholesale price index is divided into three groups: Primary Articles (22.6 percent of total weight); Fuel and Power (13.2 percent); and Manufactured Products (64.2 percent). The Food Index from the Primary Articles and Manufactured Products groups accounts for 24.4 percent of the total weight. The most important components of the Manufactured Products group are Basic Metals (9.7 percent of total weight); Food products (9.1 percent); Chemicals and Chemical products (6.5 percent) and Textiles (4.9 percent). Within the Primary Articles group, the most important component is Food Articles (15.3 percent), while within Fuel and Power, the most important category is HSD (3.1 percent).

Inflation Rate YoY

5.5%

In Finland, the most important category in the consumer price index is housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels (25 percent of total weight). Food and non-alcoholic beverages accounts for 14 percent; transport for 13 percent and recreation and culture for 12 percent. Consumer price index in Finland also includes miscellaneous goods and services (7 percent); restaurants and hotels (7 percent) and furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance (5 percent). Health; alcoholic beverages and tobacco; clothing and footwear; communication and education account for remaining 17 percent of total weight.

Inflation Rate MoM

0.7%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

CPI

121.3

In Finland, the Consumer Price Index or CPI measures changes in the prices paid by consumers for a basket of goods and services.

GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel

0.6%

Although services account for 65 percent of Finnish economy, key sector is manufacturing, mainly wood, metals, engineering, telecommunications, and electronics industries. On the expenditure side, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 55 percent of its total use, followed by government expenditure (25 percent) and gross fixed capital formation (20 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 38 percent of GDP while imports account for 39 percent, subtracting 1 percent of total GDP. .

GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel

-0.4%

The largest sector of the Finnish economy is services at 65 percent, followed by manufacturing and refining at 31 percent. Primary production is at 3 percent. Finland’s main industrial products are paper and board, electronics and metal products. Engineering and high technology industries are the leading branches of manufacturing. On the expenditure side, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 55 percent of its total use, followed by government expenditure (25 percent) and gross fixed capital formation (20 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 38 percent of GDP while imports account for 39 percent, subtracting 1 percent of total GDP.

GDP YoY

0.3%

In Finland, Monthly GDP YoY measures the change in the value of the goods and services produced by the country economy compared to the corresponding month in the previous year.

Motorbike Sales YoY

-0.9%

5-Year JGB Auction

0.33%

Property Price Index YoY

1.92%

In Indonesia, housing index refers to the Residential Property Price Index that measures house prices in 18 cities, including small, medium and large houses.

Car Sales YoY

-20.1%

In Indonesia, Total Car Sales refers to total domestic sales of new passenger cars.

NAB Business Confidence

1

The NAB monthly survey of business confidence is based on a telephone survey of around 600 small, medium and large size non-agricultural companies. The Survey measures the expectations of business conditions for the upcoming month and is a simple average of trading, profitability and employment indices, reported by respondents for their company. The indices are calculated by taking the difference between the percentage of respondents nominating good or very good, or a rise and those nominating poor or very poor, or a fall.

Diwali Balipratipada

Food Inflation YoY

8%

In New Zealand, the food price index (FPI) measures the changes in prices that households pay for food.

Export Prices YoY

In South Korea, Export Prices correspond to the rate of change in the prices of goods and services sold by residents of that country to foreign buyers. Export Prices are heavily affected by exchange rates.

Import Prices YoY

-9.6%

In South Korea, Import Prices correspond to the rate of change in the prices of goods and services purchased by residents of that country from, and supplied by, foreign sellers. Import Prices are heavily affected by exchange rates.

Monthly Budget Statement

Federal Government budget balance is the difference between budget receipts (income) and budget outlays (spending). A budget surplus is expressed as a positive value. A budget deficit is expressed as a negative value.

3-Month Bill Auction

6-Month Bill Auction

BoE L Mann Speech

In the United Kingdom, benchmark interest rate is set by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The Bank of England official interest rate is the repo rate. This repo rate applies to open market operations of the Bank of England with a group of counterparties (banks, building societies, securities firms).