IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism

42.9

IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index measures Americans' opinions and outlooks on the economy. The index is based on a nationwide survey of 900 adults and evaluates six-month economic outlook, personal financial outlook, confidence in federal economic policies. Reading above 50 indicates optimism, and below 50 indicates pessimism.

Wholesale Inventories MoM

0.5%

The Wholesale Inventories are the stock of unsold goods held by wholesalers. Inventories are a key component of gross domestic product changes. A high inventory points to economic slowdown in the US, while a low reading points to a stronger growth.

Fed Chair Powell Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

Redbook YoY

The Johnson Redbook Index is a sales-weighted of year-over-year same-store sales growth in a sample of large US general merchandise retailers representing about 9,000 stores. Same-store sales are sales in stores continuously open for 12 months or longer. By dollar value, the Index represents over 80% of the equivalent 'official' retail sales series collected and published by the US Department of Commerce. Redbook compiles the Index by collecting and interpreting performance estimates from retailers. The Index and its sub-groups are sales-weighted aggregates of these estimates. Weeks are retail weeks (Sunday to Saturday), and equally weighted within the month.

Interest Rate Decision

6.75%

In Romania, interest rates decisions are taken by the Board of the National Bank of Romania (Banca Nationala a Romaniei). The official interest rate is the Policy Rate.

Inflation Rate MoM

0.41%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Inflation Rate YoY

5.9%

In Brazil, the inflation rate measures a broad rise or fall in prices that consumers pay for a standard basket of goods. The most important categories of the index are: Transport (20 percent); Food and beverages (19 percent of the total weight) ; housing (15 percent); health care (13 percent); and personal expenses (11 percent). Also, Communication accounts for 4 percent; education for 6 percent; clothing for 5 percent; household goods for 4 percent. Data is collected in the Metropolitan Areas of São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, Belo Horizonte, Porto Alegre, Belém, Fortaleza, Recife, Salvador and Curitiba and in the cities of Goiânia and Brasília.

Gross Fixed Investment YoY

3.3%

The Gross Fixed Investment in Mexico measures the total value of all acquisitions of fixed assets, both tangible and intangible, obtained as a result of a production process. Those are only ones which can be repeatedly used in other production processes in a period longer than one year. The value represents a year over year change of the gross fixed investment, obtained by aggregating the constant values of machinery and equipment of both national and foreign origin and of construction. They are: buildings, machinery, equipment, transport equipment, software, literary originals and other tangible and intangible fixed assets and additions and upgrades meant to prolong the usage or increase capacity. Considering the machinery and equipment of national origin, only new products are counted. Both new and used imported machinery and equipment increase the value of assets available in the country. The construction gross fixed investment index refers to the investment cost valued at the buyers cost.

Gross Fixed Investment MoM

-0.9%

The Gross Fixed Investment in Mexico measures the total value of all acquisitions of fixed assets, both tangible and intangible, obtained as a result of a production process. Those are only ones which can be repeatedly used in other production processes in a period longer than one year. The value represents a year over year change of the gross fixed investment, obtained by aggregating the constant values of machinery and equipment of both national and foreign origin and of construction. They are: buildings, machinery, equipment, transport equipment, software, literary originals and other tangible and intangible fixed assets and additions and upgrades meant to prolong the usage or increase capacity. Considering the machinery and equipment of national origin, only new products are counted. Both new and used imported machinery and equipment increase the value of assets available in the country. The construction gross fixed investment index refers to the investment cost valued at the buyers cost.

Industrial Production YoY

55.7%

In Ireland, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and its biggest segments are: Basic pharmaceutical products and preparations (37 percent of total production); food products (18 percent); chemicals and chemical products (15 percent); computer,electronic,optical and electrical equipment (11 percent); other manufacturing, repair and installation of machinery and equipment (7 percent); and basic metals and fabricated metal products,machinery and equipment (5 percent).

Balance of Trade

-2833000000

Portugal runs regular trade deficits. Machinery and mechanical appliances are the main group of products exported and imported, and also the group with the largest trade deficit. On the other hand, the largest commercial surpluses are in the transactions of Mineral products, Cellulose pulp and paper, Clothing and Footwear. In terms of traded goods, Industrial supplies is the main traded category. Spain, France and Germany are the main external customers and suppliers of goods to Portugal, accounting for 50.9% of total exports and 52% of imports. Spain is Portugal's largest partner (weight of 26.7% in exports and 32.8% in imports). Transactions with Spain record the largest trade deficit, while the largest surplus is with France. Outside the EU, the United States is the main customer while China is the main Extra-EU supplier of goods.

NFIB Business Optimism Index

91.9

NFIB Small Business Optimism Index is a composite of ten seasonally adjusted components calculated based on the answers of around 620 NFIB members. This questions include: plans to increase employment, plans to make capital outlays, plans to increase inventories, expect economy to improve, expect real sales higher, current inventory, current job openings, expected credit conditions, now a good time to expand, and earnings trend.

Manufacturing Production YoY

1%

In South Africa, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in the manufacturing sector of the economy.

Manufacturing Production MoM

-6.3%

In South Africa, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in the manufacturing sector of the economy.

Household Saving Ratio

19.9%

In Ireland, the derived gross saving ratio expresses saving as a percentage of gross disposable income. Seasonally adjusted estimates of Household Saving are compiled using the indirect seasonal adjustment approach. Under this approach the two main aggregates, Household Disposable Income and Final Consumption Expenditure of Households, are independently adjusted. The derived saving is the difference between the two adjusted series of Household Disposable Income and Final Expenditure of Households. This method for estimating the seasonally adjusted value for a small net residual of two large aggregates, such as Household Saving, is considered to be a more appropriate estimation procedure, according to the CSO.

Industrial Production MoM

In Belgium, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: chemical products (19 percent of total production); food products and beverages (16 percent); basic metals (11 percent); motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (10 percent); pharmaceuticals (8 percent); machinery and equipment (5 percent); and fabricated metal products (5 percent).

Industrial Production YoY

-2.8%

In Belgium, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: chemical products (19 percent of total production); food products and beverages (16 percent); basic metals (11 percent); motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (10 percent); pharmaceuticals (8 percent); machinery and equipment (5 percent); and fabricated metal products (5 percent).

10-Year Bund/€i Auction

BoC Gov Macklem Speech

In Canada, benchmark interest rate is set by the Bank of Canada's (BoC) Governing Council. The official interest rate is the Overnight Rate. Since 1996 the Bank Rate is set at the upper limit of an operating band for the money market overnight rate. Previously, from March 1980 until February 1996 the Bank Rate was set at 25 basis points above the weekly average tender rate for 3-month Treasury bills.

ECB Schnabel Speech

In the Euro Area, benchmark interest rate is set by the Governing Council of the European Central Bank. The primary objective of the ECB’s monetary policy is to maintain price stability which is to keep inflation below, but close to 2 percent over the medium term. In times of prolonged low inflation and low interest rates, ECB may also adopt non-standard monetary policy measures, such as asset purchase programmes. The official interest rate is the Main refinancing operations rate.

BoJ Kuroda Speech

In Japan, interest rates are set by the Bank of Japan's Policy Board in its Monetary Policy Meetings. The BoJ's official interest rate is the discount rate. Monetary Policy Meetings produce a guideline for money market operations in inter-meeting periods and this guideline is written in terms of a target for the uncollateralized overnight call rate.

Unemployment Rate

In Cyprus, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Industrial Production YoY

-2.5%

In Greece, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy such as manufacturing, mining, and utilities.

Unemployment Rate

11.6%

In Greece, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

10-Year Treasury Gilt Auction

3.333%

Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.

Bundesbank Buch Speech

Germany is a member of the European Union which has adopted the euro. Germany's benchmark interest rate is set by the European Central Bank. The official designation for the rate is main refinancing operation.

6-Month Letras Auction

2.041%

12-Month Letras Auction

2.449%

SACCI Business Confidence

110.9

In South Africa, the SACCI Business Confidence Index reflects the neutral sentiment in the market place, as it captures the prevailing business climate and what businesses are experiencing. The index is composed by thirteen sub-indices, including energy supply, manufacturing, exports, imports, vehicle and retail sales, construction, inflation, share prices, private sector borrowing, financing cost, precious metal prices and exchange rate.

Unemployment Rate

7.8%

In Italy, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Construction Output YoY

The production index in construction measures the evolution of output within the construction sector, including building construction and civil engineering.

Industrial Production MoM

0.1%

In Sweden, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy such as manufacturing and mining.

Industrial Production YoY

3.1%

In Sweden, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy such as manufacturing and mining.

New Orders YoY

-7.1%

In Sweden, because new orders heavily affect business confidence they are a leading indicator for growth in gross domestic product. The statistics is sample- and register-based and aims to measure short-term changes in new orders and turnover in industry on a monthly basis, in total and by industry, as well as domestic and export market. The survey is coordinated with other economy-based surveys.

Household Consumption MoM

-0.3%

From 2013 onwards Statistics Sweden produces new monthly statistics over household consumption. The statistics are an important indicator for the business cycle because household consumption accounts for 47 percent of the total Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

Industrial Production YoY

3.9%

In Austria, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector (69 percent of total production) including: machinery and equipment (9 percent); basic metals (6 percent); food products (6 percent); motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (6 percent); fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment (6 percent); and electrical equipment (5 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply account for 15 percent of total output followed by construction (13 percent), water supply, sewerage and waste management (2 percent) and mining and quarrying (1 percent).

Industrial Production Mom

-0.627

In Austria, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 69 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: machinery and equipment (9 percent of total production); basic metals (6 percent); food products (6 percent); motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (6 percent); fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment (6 percent); and electrical equipment (5 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply account for 15 percent of total output; and construction accounts for 13 percent, of which building construction accounts for 4 percent and civil engineering accounts for 3 percent. Water supply, sewerage and waste management account for 2 percent of production, and mining and quarrying account for only 1 percent.

Unemployment Rate

3.5%

In Czech Republic, the unemployment rate shows the share of unemployed people between the ages of 15 and 64 immediately able to start work versus all working people in the same demographic group.

Industrial Production MoM

-2.6%

In France, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 86 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Food products and beverages (13 percent of total production); machinery and equipment goods (13 percent), of which computer, electronic and optical products (5 percent); basic metals and fabricated metal products (12 percent); other manufacturing, repair and installation of machinery and equipment (12 percent); transport equipment (10 percent); rubber and plastics products, and other non-metallic mineral products (8 percent); and chemicals and chemical products (6 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning account for 11 percent of total output, Water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation account for 1 percent and Mining and quarrying account also for 1 percent.

Inflation Rate MoM

-0.9%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Inflation Rate YoY

8.9%

In Denmark, the most important category in the consumer price index is Housing and Utilities (30 percent of total weight). Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages accounts for 13 percent; Transport for 12 percent; Recreation and Culture for 11 percent; Miscellaneous Goods and Services for 9 percent; and Furnishings and Household Services for 6 percent. Restaurants and Hotels; Clothing and Footwear; Alcoholic beverages and Tobacco; Health; Communication; and Education account for the remaining 20 percent of total weight.

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY

9.7%

The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is an indicator of inflation and price stability for the European Central Bank (ECB). The HICP is compiled by Eurostat and the national statistical institutes in accordance with harmonised statistical methods. The ECB aims to maintain annual inflation rates as measured by the HICP below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.

Industrial Production YoY

11.1%

In Denmark, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 96 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: pharmaceuticals (20 percent of total manufacturing); food products, beverages and tobacco (14 percent); machinery (14 percent); furniture and other manufacturing (13 percent); metals (9 percent); chemicals and oil refineries (7 percent); and plastic, glass and concrete (7 percent). Mining and quarrying account for 4 percent of total output.

Industrial Production MoM

In Denmark, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 96 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: pharmaceuticals (20 percent of total manufacturing); food products, beverages and tobacco (14 percent); machinery (14 percent); furniture and other manufacturing (13 percent); metals (9 percent); chemicals and oil refineries (7 percent); and plastic, glass and concrete (7 percent). Mining and quarrying account for 4 percent of total output.

CPI

In Denmark, the Consumer Price Index or CPI measures changes in the prices paid by consumers for a basket of goods and services.

Manufacturing Production MoM

-2.3%

In Denmark, manufacturing accounts for 96 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: pharmaceuticals (20 percent of total manufacturing); food products, beverages and tobacco (14 percent); machinery (14 percent); furniture and other manufacturing (13 percent); metals (9 percent); chemicals and oil refineries (7 percent); and plastic, glass and concrete (7 percent).

Inflation Rate MoM

-0.2%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Core Inflation Rate MoM

-0.1%

In Norway, the core consumer price index, which is adjusted for taxes and energy prices, is the measure used by the central bank in setting interest rates. It targets annual inflation at around 2 percent over the long term.

PPI YoY

22.3%

In Norway, the Producer Price Index measures the price development of first hand sales of products to the Norwegian market, from Norwegian production and export. Manufacturing prices account for 54 percent of the total index. The biggest segments within Manufacturing prices are: Food, beverages and tobacco (12 percent), refined petroleum products (8 percent) machinery and equipment (6 percent) and basic metals (5 percent). Extraction and related services account for 41 percent, Electricity, gas and steam account for 4 percent and Mining and quarrying account for 1 percent.

Inflation Rate YoY

6.5%

In Norway, the most important category in the Consumer Price Index is Housing & Utilities (24.62% of the total weight). Transport accounts for 14.97%, Food & Non-alcoholic Beverages for 12.86%, Recreation & Culture for 10.79%, and Miscellaneous Goods & Services for 8.72%. The index also includes: Furnishings, Household Equipment & Routine Maintenance (6.89%), Clothing & Footwear (5.09%), Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (4.2%), Health (3.39%), Communication (2.37%), and Education (0.49%).

Core Inflation Rate YoY

5.7%

In Norway, the core inflation, which is adjusted for taxes and energy prices, is the measure used by the central bank in setting interest rates. It targets inflation at around 2 percent over the long term.

CPI

125.8

In Norway, the most important category in the consumer price index is Housing and Utilities (23 percent of total weight). Transport accounts for 16 percent; Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages for 13 percent; Recreation and Culture for 12 percent; Miscellaneous Goods and Services for 9 percent and Furniture, Household Goods and Maintenance for 7 percent. Restaurants and Hotels; Clothing and Footwear; Alcoholic beverages and Tobacco; Health; Communication and Education account for the remaining 21 percent of total weight.

Unemployment Rate

5.5%

In Romania, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Balance of Trade

-3404000000

Romania exports mostly machinery and transport equipment, raw materials, and miscellaneous manufactured articles like textiles and footwear. Romania imports machinery and transport equipment, raw materials, chemicals and fuels. More than 70% of exports and imports are with other European Union members with Italy, Germany and France being the most important.

Unemployment Rate

10.2%

In Turkey, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Labor Participation Rate

53.5%

The labour force participation rates is the number of persons who are employed and unemployed but looking for a job divided by the total working-age population.

GDP MoM

0.7%

Household Consumption YoY

0%

From 2013 onwards Statistics Sweden produces new monthly statistics over household consumption. The statistics are an important indicator for the business cycle because household consumption accounts for 47 percent of the total Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

Industrial Production YoY

-0.6%

In Finland, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 87 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: chemicals (16 percent); electrical and electronics (13 percent); machinery and equipment (11 percent); paper and paper products (9 percent); fabricated metal products (8 percent); and food products (7 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply accounts for 11 percent of total output; and Mining and quarrying account for 2 percent.

Manufacturing Production MoM

-0.4%

Inflation Rate MoM Final

-3%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

CPI Final

124.35

In Netherlands, the Consumer Price Index or CPI measures changes in the prices paid by consumers for a basket of goods and services.

Inflation Rate YoY Final

9.9%

In Netherlands, the most important categories in the consumer price index are: housing, water, electricity and gas (24.5 percent of the total weight); transport (11.6 percent) and food and non-alcoholic beverages (11.3 percent). The index also includes: recreation and culture (10.3 percent); furnishing and household equipment (6 percent); clothing and footwear (4.9 percent); hotels and restaurants (4.2 percent); communication (3.3 percent) and alcoholic beverages and tobacco (3.1 percent). Health, education and other goods and services account for the remaining 20.8 percent of total weight.

Household Consumption YoY

0.6%

In the Netherlands, Household Consumption YoY measures the year-on-year change of consumption expenditure by households. Consumption expenditure includes all voluntary expenditure on goods and services by private individuals and households. It does not include compulsory expenditure such as taxes. Services is the most important sector and accounts for 58 percent of total consumption. The biggest segments within Services are housing; financial and business services; transport, communication services; and medical services and welfare. Consumption of goods account for the remaining 42 percent, in particular durable consumer goods (15 percent) and food, beverages and tobacco (15 percent).

Consumer Confidence

119.1

In Indonesia, the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) measures consumer’s expectations about current income and job availability against those 6 months ago, appropriate time to buy durable goods, and general economic conditions and job availability expectations in the next 6 months. The index is based on a survey of around 4600 middle up class households in major cities (those cities cover about 78 percent of GDP). Data is collected through phone interviews and direct visits. The two main components of the Index are the current economic condition index and the consumer expectation index. The CCI is computed as a net balance obtained from the difference between percentage on ’increase’ answer and percentage on ’decrease’ answer. An index above 100 indicates an improving outlook and below 100 a deteriorating outlook.

Consumer Credit Change

27080000000

In the United States, Consumer Credit refers to outstanding credit flows extended to individuals for household, family, and other personal expenditures, excluding loans secured by real estate.

3-Month Bill Auction

6-Month Bill Auction

Consumer Inflation Expectations

5.2%

In the US, inflation expectations refer to median one year ahead expected inflation rate and are part of the Survey of Consumer Expectations. The expectations are based on the nationally representative, internet-based survey of a rotating panel of approximately 1,300 heads of households.