Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

In Poland interest rates decisions are taken by the National Bank of Poland (Narodowy Bank Polski, NBP). The official interest rate is the Reference Rate.

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel

56.8

The Index of Consumer Expectations focuses on three areas: how consumers view prospects for their own financial situation, how they view prospects for the general economy over the near term, and their view of prospects for the economy over the long term. Each monthly survey contains approximately 50 core questions, each of which tracks a different aspect of consumer attitudes and expectations. The samples for the Surveys of Consumers are statistically designed to be representative of all American households, excluding those in Alaska and Hawaii. Each month, a minimum of 500 interviews are conducted by telephone.

Wholesale Inventories MoM

0.6%

The Wholesale Inventories are the stock of unsold goods held by wholesalers. Inventories are a key component of gross domestic product changes. A high inventory points to economic slowdown in the US, while a low reading points to a stronger growth.

Michigan Inflation Expectations Prel

4.9%

The Index of Consumer Expectations focuses on three areas: how consumers view prospects for their own financial situation, how they view prospects for the general economy over the near term, and their view of prospects for the economy over the long term. Each monthly survey contains approximately 50 core questions, each of which tracks a different aspect of consumer attitudes and expectations. The samples for the Surveys of Consumers are statistically designed to be representative of all American households, excluding those in Alaska and Hawaii. Each month, a minimum of 500 interviews are conducted by telephone.

Michigan Current Conditions Prel

58.8

The Index of Consumer Expectations focuses on three areas: how consumers view prospects for their own financial situation, how they view prospects for the general economy over the near term, and their view of prospects for the economy over the long term. Each monthly survey contains approximately 50 core questions, each of which tracks a different aspect of consumer attitudes and expectations. The samples for the Surveys of Consumers are statistically designed to be representative of all American households, excluding those in Alaska and Hawaii. Each month, a minimum of 500 interviews are conducted by telephone.

Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations Prel

3%

The Index of Consumer Expectations focuses on three areas: how consumers view prospects for their own financial situation, how they view prospects for the general economy over the near term, and their view of prospects for the economy over the long term. Each monthly survey contains approximately 50 core questions, each of which tracks a different aspect of consumer attitudes and expectations. The samples for the Surveys of Consumers are statistically designed to be representative of all American households, excluding those in Alaska and Hawaii. Each month, a minimum of 500 interviews are conducted by telephone.

Michigan Consumer Expectations Prel

55.6

The Index of Consumer Expectations focuses on three areas: how consumers view prospects for their own financial situation, how they view prospects for the general economy over the near term, and their view of prospects for the economy over the long term. Each monthly survey contains approximately 50 core questions, each of which tracks a different aspect of consumer attitudes and expectations. The samples for the Surveys of Consumers are statistically designed to be representative of all American households, excluding those in Alaska and Hawaii. Each month, a minimum of 500 interviews are conducted by telephone.

Business Confidence

51.7

In Brazil, the Industrial Entrepreneur Confidence Index (ICEI) measures the current situation of businesses and their future prospects. The survey covers about 2,500 companies in the construction, mining, and manufacturing industries. The questionnaire is made by phone and focuses on: production trends in recent months, order books, export order books, stocks and production expectations. The indicator varies on a scale of 0 to 100 where 50 indicates neutrality, 0 indicates extreme lack of confidence and 100 extreme confidence.

Capacity Utilization

83.8%

The rates of capacity utilization are measures of the intensity with which industries use their production capacity. Capacity utilization is the percentage of actual to potential output.

PPI YoY

8%

In the United States, the Producer Price Index for final demand measures price change for commodities sold for personal consumption, capital investment, government, and export. It is composed of six main price indexes: final demand goods (33 percent of the total weight), which includes food and energy; final demand trade services (20 percent); final demand transportation and warehousing services (4 percent); final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing (41 percent); final demand construction (2 percent); and overall final demand.

PPI MoM

0.2%

In the United States, the Producer Price Inflation MoM for final demand measures month-over-month changes in the price for commodities sold for personal consumption, capital investment, government, and export. It is composed of six main price indexes: final demand goods (33 percent of the total weight), which includes food and energy; final demand trade services (20 percent); final demand transportation and warehousing services (4 percent); final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing (41 percent); final demand construction (2 percent); and overall final demand.

Core PPI MoM

0%

In the United States, the core Producer Price Index (PPI) measures average changes in prices received by domestic producers for their output excluding volatile items such food and energy.

Core PPI YoY

6.7%

In the United States, the core Producer Price Index (PPI) measures average changes in prices received by domestic producers for their output excluding volatile items such food and energy.

Inflation Rate MoM

0.59%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Inflation Rate YoY

6.47%

In Brazil, the inflation rate measures a broad rise or fall in prices that consumers pay for a standard basket of goods. The most important categories of the index are: Transport (20 percent); Food and beverages (19 percent of the total weight) ; housing (15 percent); health care (13 percent); and personal expenses (11 percent). Also, Communication accounts for 4 percent; education for 6 percent; clothing for 5 percent; household goods for 4 percent. Data is collected in the Metropolitan Areas of São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, Belo Horizonte, Porto Alegre, Belém, Fortaleza, Recife, Salvador and Curitiba and in the cities of Goiânia and Brasília.

Inflation Rate MoM

0.8%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Inflation Rate YoY

6.77%

In India, the most important category in the consumer price index is Food and beverages (45.86 percent of total weight), of which Cereals and products (9.67 percent), Milk and products (6.61 percent), Vegetables (6.04 percent), Prepared meals, snacks, sweets, etc. (5.55 percent), Meat and fish (3.61 percent), and Oils and fats (3.56 percent). Miscellaneous accounts for 28.32 percent, of which Transport and communication (8.59 percent), health (5.89 percent), and education (4.46 percent). Housing accounts for 10.07 percent; Fuel and light for 6.84 percent; Clothing and footwear for 6.53 percent; and Pan, tobacco and intoxicants for 2.38 percent. Consumer price changes in India can be very volatile due to dependence on energy imports, the uncertain impact of monsoon rains on its large farm sector, difficulties transporting food items to market because of its poor roads and infrastructure and high fiscal deficit. In 2013, the consumer price index replaced the wholesale price index (WPI) as a main measure of inflation.

Foreign Exchange Reserves

In India, Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans.

Inflation Rate MoM

1.5%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY

The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is an indicator of inflation and price stability for the European Central Bank (ECB). The HICP is compiled by Eurostat and the national statistical institutes in accordance with harmonised statistical methods. The ECB aims to maintain annual inflation rates as measured by the HICP below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.

Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM

Inflation Rate YoY

9.2%

In Ireland, the most important categories in the consumer price index are: housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels (16 percent of total weight); restaurants and hotels (15 percent); transport (14 percent); miscellaneous goods and services (12 percent); and food and non-alcoholic beverages (11 percent). The index also includes: recreation and culture (7 percent); alcoholic beverages and tobacco (6 percent); furnishings, household equipment and maintenance (5 percent). Clothing and footwear; health; communications; and education account for the remaining 13 percent of total weight.

Industrial Production YoY

28.8%

In Ireland, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and its biggest segments are: Basic pharmaceutical products and preparations (37 percent of total production); food products (18 percent); chemicals and chemical products (15 percent); computer,electronic,optical and electrical equipment (11 percent); other manufacturing, repair and installation of machinery and equipment (7 percent); and basic metals and fabricated metal products,machinery and equipment (5 percent).

CPI

115.6

Balance of Trade

-2699000000

Portugal runs regular trade deficits. Machinery and mechanical appliances are the main group of products exported and imported, and also the group with the largest trade deficit. On the other hand, the largest commercial surpluses are in the transactions of Mineral products, Cellulose pulp and paper, Clothing and Footwear. In terms of traded goods, Industrial supplies is the main traded category. Spain, France and Germany are the main external customers and suppliers of goods to Portugal, accounting for 50.9% of total exports and 52% of imports. Spain is Portugal's largest partner (weight of 26.7% in exports and 32.8% in imports). Transactions with Spain record the largest trade deficit, while the largest surplus is with France. Outside the EU, the United States is the main customer while China is the main Extra-EU supplier of goods.

Vehicle Sales YoY

-62.8%

In Russia, Total Vehicle Sales refer to total registrations of car and light commercial vehicles.

12-Month BOT Auction

Inflation Rate MoM

-1.2%

In Greece, the most important categories in the consumer price index are: food and non-alcoholic beverages (17 percent of total weight); transport (13 percent); housing (12 percent) and hotels, cafés and restaurants (11 percent). The index also includes: clothing and footwear (9 percent); health (7 percent); furnishing and household equipment (7 percent); recreation and culture (5 percent); communication (5 percent). Education, alcoholic beverages, tobacco and other goods and services account for the remaining 14 percent of total weight.

Industrial Production YoY

-1.1%

In Greece, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy such as manufacturing, mining, and utilities.

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY

9.5%

The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is an indicator of inflation and price stability for the European Central Bank (ECB). The HICP is compiled by Eurostat and the national statistical institutes in accordance with harmonised statistical methods. The ECB aims to maintain annual inflation rates as measured by the HICP below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.

Inflation Rate YoY

9.1%

In Greece, the most important categories in the consumer price index are: food and non-alcoholic beverages (21 percent of total weight); housing (16 percent); and transport (14 percent). The index also includes: hotels, cafés and restaurants (10 percent); health (8 percent); miscellaneous goods and services (7 percent); and clothing and footwear (6 percent). Household equipment, alcoholic beverages, tobacco, communication, recreation and culture, and education account for the remaining 19 percent of total weight.

Industrial Production YoY

6.9%

In Austria, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector (69 percent of total production) including: machinery and equipment (9 percent); basic metals (6 percent); food products (6 percent); motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (6 percent); fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment (6 percent); and electrical equipment (5 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply account for 15 percent of total output followed by construction (13 percent), water supply, sewerage and waste management (2 percent) and mining and quarrying (1 percent).

Industrial Production YoY

3.6%

In Spain, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 82 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Food products (12 percent of total production); fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment (9 percent); motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (6 percent); chemicals and chemical products (6 percent); other non-metallic mineral products (5 percent); rubber and plastic products (4 percent); machinery and equipment (4 percent); basic metals (4 percent); and beverages (4 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning account for 14 percent of total output; Water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation account for 3 percent; and Mining and quarrying account for 1 percent.

ECB Enria Speech

In the Euro Area, benchmark interest rate is set by the Governing Council of the European Central Bank. The primary objective of the ECB’s monetary policy is to maintain price stability which is to keep inflation below, but close to 2 percent over the medium term. In times of prolonged low inflation and low interest rates, ECB may also adopt non-standard monetary policy measures, such as asset purchase programmes. The official interest rate is the Main refinancing operations rate.

Current Account

38300000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Balance of Trade

32100000000

Denmark has been reporting consistent trade surpluses since 1988. Denmark is self-sufficient in energy producing oil, natural gas, wind and bio energy. Its principal exports are machinery, chemicals and food products. Denmark imports mainly machinery and equipment, raw materials and semi manufactures for industry, foodstuffs and chemicals. In 2017, the largest trade surpluses were recorded with the US, the UK, Norway, France and Russia, while the biggest trade deficits were recorded with Germany, the Netherlands, China and Sweden.

Core Inflation Rate MoM

In Norway, the core consumer price index, which is adjusted for taxes and energy prices, is the measure used by the central bank in setting interest rates. It targets annual inflation at around 2 percent over the long term.

Inflation Rate MoM

0.3%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

PPI YoY

19.8%

In Norway, the Producer Price Index measures the price development of first hand sales of products to the Norwegian market, from Norwegian production and export. Manufacturing prices account for 54 percent of the total index. The biggest segments within Manufacturing prices are: Food, beverages and tobacco (12 percent), refined petroleum products (8 percent) machinery and equipment (6 percent) and basic metals (5 percent). Extraction and related services account for 41 percent, Electricity, gas and steam account for 4 percent and Mining and quarrying account for 1 percent.

Core Inflation Rate YoY

5.9%

In Norway, the core inflation, which is adjusted for taxes and energy prices, is the measure used by the central bank in setting interest rates. It targets inflation at around 2 percent over the long term.

Inflation Rate YoY

7.5%

In Norway, the most important category in the Consumer Price Index is Housing & Utilities (24.62% of the total weight). Transport accounts for 14.97%, Food & Non-alcoholic Beverages for 12.86%, Recreation & Culture for 10.79%, and Miscellaneous Goods & Services for 8.72%. The index also includes: Furnishings, Household Equipment & Routine Maintenance (6.89%), Clothing & Footwear (5.09%), Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco (4.2%), Health (3.39%), Communication (2.37%), and Education (0.49%).

CPI

126

In Norway, the most important category in the consumer price index is Housing and Utilities (23 percent of total weight). Transport accounts for 16 percent; Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages for 13 percent; Recreation and Culture for 12 percent; Miscellaneous Goods and Services for 9 percent and Furniture, Household Goods and Maintenance for 7 percent. Restaurants and Hotels; Clothing and Footwear; Alcoholic beverages and Tobacco; Health; Communication and Education account for the remaining 21 percent of total weight.

Inflation Rate YoY

15.32%

In Romania, the main components of the Consumer Price Index are: Non-food Products (49% of the total weight), Food Products (33%), and Services (18%).

Balance of Trade

-3040000000

Romania exports mostly machinery and transport equipment, raw materials, and miscellaneous manufactured articles like textiles and footwear. Romania imports machinery and transport equipment, raw materials, chemicals and fuels. More than 70% of exports and imports are with other European Union members with Italy, Germany and France being the most important.

Industrial Production YoY

4%

In Finland, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 87 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: chemicals (16 percent); electrical and electronics (13 percent); machinery and equipment (11 percent); paper and paper products (9 percent); fabricated metal products (8 percent); and food products (7 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply accounts for 11 percent of total output; and Mining and quarrying account for 2 percent.

Current Account

400000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Manufacturing Production MoM

0.5%

3-Month Bill Auction

-0.166%

Retail Sales YoY

4.6%

In Indonesia, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Inflation Rate MoM

0.1%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

PPI YoY

-1.3%

In China, producer prices change measures the average annual change in price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market during a given period.

Inflation Rate YoY

2.1%

In China, the most important components of the CPI basket are Food (31.8 percent of total weight) and Residence (17.2 percent). Recreation, Education and Culture Articles account for 13.8 percent; Transportation and Communication for 10 percent, Healthcare and Personal Articles for 9.6 percent, Clothing for 8.5 percent; Households Facilities, Articles and Services for 5.6 percent; Tobacco, Liquor and Articles for the remaining 3.5 percent. The CPI basket is reviewed every five years on the basis of household surveys. Revisions reflect new spending patterns and economic development, according to the National Bureau of Statistics. Last revision took place in 2011.

Current Account

1610000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Manufacturing Sales YoY

-7.4%

In New Zealand, manufacturing sales refer to the year-on-year change in the volume of sales in the manufacturing sector of the economy. The survey includes 13 industries: meat and dairy product; seafood processing; fruit, oil, cereal, and other food; beverages and tobacco; textile, leather, clothing, and footwear; wood and paper products; printing; petroleum and coal product; chemical, polymer, and rubber products; non-metallic mineral products; metal products; transport equipment, machinery, and equipment; and furniture.

ECB President Lagarde Speech

In the Euro Area, benchmark interest rate is set by the Governing Council of the European Central Bank. The primary objective of the ECB’s monetary policy is to maintain price stability which is to keep inflation below, but close to 2 percent over the medium term. In times of prolonged low inflation and low interest rates, ECB may also adopt non-standard monetary policy measures, such as asset purchase programmes. The official interest rate is the Main refinancing operations rate.

BoC Kozicki Speech

In Canada, benchmark interest rate is set by the Bank of Canada's (BoC) Governing Council. The official interest rate is the Overnight Rate. Since 1996 the Bank Rate is set at the upper limit of an operating band for the money market overnight rate. Previously, from March 1980 until February 1996 the Bank Rate was set at 25 basis points above the weekly average tender rate for 3-month Treasury bills.

8-Week Bill Auction

4-Week Bill Auction