8-Week Bill Auction

4-Week Bill Auction

Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index

-1

The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Survey of Manufacturers provides information on current manufacturing activity in the Tenth District (Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Wyoming, northern New Mexico, and western Missouri). The monthly survey consists of approximately 150 manufacturing plants across the district of which about 110 respond. Survey results reveal changes in several indicators of manufacturing activity including production, shipments, new orders, and employment along with changes in prices of raw materials and finished products. The diffusion index is calculated as the difference between the percentage of total reporting increases and the percentage reporting decreases.

Kansas Fed Composite Index

12

The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Survey of Manufacturers provides information on current manufacturing activity in the Tenth District (Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Wyoming, northern New Mexico, and western Missouri). The monthly survey consists of approximately 150 manufacturing plants across the district of which about 110 respond. Survey results reveal changes in several indicators of manufacturing activity including production, shipments, new orders, and employment along with changes in prices of raw materials and finished products. The diffusion index is calculated as the difference between the percentage of total reporting increases and the percentage reporting decreases.

EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change

Natural Gas Stocks Change refers to the weekly change of the natural gas supply situation.

Bank Lending MoM

Loan Growth in Brazil refers to the monthly change in total credit outstanding, including public and private lending.

GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv

-1.6%

On the expenditure side, personal consumption expenditures accounts for 68 percent of total GDP out of which purchases of goods constitute 23 percent and services 45 percent. Private investment accounts for 16 percent of GDP and government consumption and investment for 18 percent. As the value of goods exported (13.5 percent) is lower than the value of goods imported (16.5 percent), net exports subtracts 3 percent from the total GDP value.

Initial Jobless Claims

Initial jobless claims have a big impact in financial markets because unlike continued claims data which measures the number of persons claiming unemployment benefits, Initial jobless claims measures new and emerging unemployment.

GDP Price Index QoQ Adv

8.3%

The GDP Deflator measures the change in prices of final goods and services and it is considered as a key indicator for inflationary pressures, that provides insight into the future direction of monetary policy.

Continuing Jobless Claims

Continuing Jobless Claims refer to actual number of unemployed and currently receiving unemployment benefits who filed for unemployment benefits at least two weeks ago.

Jobless Claims 4-week Average

PCE Prices QoQ Adv

7.1%

The Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Prices measure the changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers for the purpose of consumption. Prices are weighted according to total expenditure per item.

Core PCE Prices QoQ Adv

5.2%

GDP Sales QoQ Adv

-1.2%

In the United States, final sales of domestic product equals GDP less change in private inventories. It is also equal to the sum of personal consumption expenditures, gross private fixed investment, government consumption expenditures and gross investment, and net exports of goods and services.

Real Consumer Spending QoQ Adv

In the United States, personal consumption expenditure (PCE) is the primary measure of consumer spending in the U.S. economy. It is the National Income and Product Account (NIPA) final-demand component that measures the value of the goods and services purchased by, or on the behalf of, persons who reside in the United States.

PPI YoY

19.15%

Producer prices change refers to year over year change in price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market during a given period.

PPI MoM

1.83%

Inflation Rate YoY Prel

7.6%

In Germany, the most important categories in the consumer price index are Housing, water, electricity, gas & other fuels (32 percent of the total weight), Transport (13 percent), Recreation, entertainment & culture (11 percent) and Food & non-alcoholic beverages (10 percent). The index also includes Miscellaneous goods & services (7 percent), Furniture, lighting equipment, appliances & other household equipment (5 percent), Restaurant & accommodation services (5 percent), Health (5 percent) and Clothing & footwear (5 percent). The remaining 7 percent of the index is composed by Alcoholic beverages & tobacco, Communication and Education.

Inflation Rate MoM Prel

0.1%

In Germany, the most important categories in the consumer price index are Housing, water, electricity, gas & other fuels (32 percent of the total weight), Transport (13 percent), Recreation, entertainment & culture (11 percent) and Food & non-alcoholic beverages (10 percent). The index also includes Miscellaneous goods & services (7 percent), Furniture, lighting equipment, appliances & other household equipment (5 percent), Restaurant & accommodation services (5 percent), Health (5 percent) and Clothing & footwear (5 percent). The remaining 7 percent of the index is composed by Alcoholic beverages & tobacco, Communication and Education.

Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Prel

-0.1%

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Prel

8.2%

The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is an indicator of inflation and price stability for the European Central Bank (ECB). The HICP is compiled by Eurostat and the national statistical institutes in accordance with harmonised statistical methods. The ECB aims to maintain annual inflation rates as measured by the HICP below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.

Foreign Exchange Reserves

In Turkey, Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to gross foreign exchange reserves held or controlled by the country's central bank, excluding gold.

CFIB Business Barometer

59.36

CFIB’s Business Barometer tracks small business confidence, expectations and operating conditions in Canada. It was revised as of the May 2009 issue. It is based on the same survey question on 12-month future business performance expectations collected annually 1987-2000, quarterly 2001-2008 and monthly since late 2008. The index is a weighted average of response scores: 100 for stronger performance, 50 for same performance, and 0 for weaker performance. The data are not seasonally adjusted.

Business Confidence

2.4

In Spain, the Industrial Confidence Indicator (ICI) measures the level of optimism of entrepreneurs for the future development of industrial activity. The ICI is conducted based on the sample of 2500 enterprises representing different sizes, regions and sectors of Spanish economy. The response rate is around 60 percent. ICI is measured on a scale of -100 (extreme lack of confidence) to +100 (extreme confidence).

MPC Meeting Summary

In Turkey, benchmark interest rates are set by the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey Monetary Policy Committee (Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankasi - TCMB). From June 1st 2018, the main interest rate is the one-week repo rate and the overnight borrowing and lending rates will be determined at 150 bps below/above the one-week repo rate. The central bank simplified its monetary policy framework on May 28th 2018 from a different system with four main key rates, with the late liquidity window lending rate being one of the most followed.

Inflation Report

In Turkey, benchmark interest rates are set by the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey Monetary Policy Committee (Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankasi - TCMB). From June 1st 2018, the main interest rate is the one-week repo rate and the overnight borrowing and lending rates will be determined at 150 bps below/above the one-week repo rate. The central bank simplified its monetary policy framework on May 28th 2018 from a different system with four main key rates, with the late liquidity window lending rate being one of the most followed.

Retail Sales MoM

0%

In Ireland, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Ireland, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Retail Sales YoY

0.3%

In Ireland, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Inflation Rate YoY

9.65%

In Belgium, the most important category in the consumer price index is Housing and Utilities (17.6 percent of total weight). Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages accounts for 16.4 percent; Transport for 15.9 percent; Recreation and Culture for 9.3 percent; Miscellaneous Goods and Services for 9 percent and Restaurants and Hotels for 7.8 percent. Furniture, Household Goods and Maintenance; Clothing and Footwear; Communication; Health; Alcoholic beverages and Tobacco and Education account for the remaining 24 percent of total weight.

Inflation Rate MoM

0.85%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Industrial Production YoY

0.6%

In Cyprus, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 72 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: food products (32 percent of total production); other non-metallic mineral products (7 percent); basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations (6 percent); and fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment (5 percent). Mining and quarrying, and electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply account for 20 percent of total output; and water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation activities account for the remaining 8 percent.

PPI MoM

In South Africa, the Producer Price Inflation MoM measures a month-over-month change in the price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market.

PPI YoY

14.7%

In South Africa, Producer prices change refers to year over year change in price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market during a given period.

10-Year BTP Auction

3.47%

Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.

5-Year BTP Auction

2.74%

GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv

0.5%

In Belgium, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 52 percent of its total use, followed by government expenditure (25 percent) and gross fixed capital formation (23 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 84 percent of GDP while imports account for 83 percent, adding 1 percent of total GDP.

GDP Growth Rate YoY Adv

4.9%

In Belgium, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 52 percent of its total use, followed by government expenditure (25 percent) and gross fixed capital formation (23 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 84 percent of GDP while imports account for 83 percent, adding 1 percent of total GDP.

Consumer Confidence

In Cyprus, the Consumer Economic Sentiment Indicator measures the level of optimism that consumers have about the economy. The questions focus on current economic and financial situation, savings intention as well as on expected developments regarding: consumer price indexes, general economic situation and major purchases of durable goods. The Consumer ESI measures consumer confidence on a scale of -100 to 100, where -100 indicate extreme lack of confidence, 0 neutrality and 100 extreme confidence.

Business Confidence

96.6

In Cyprus, the Business Climate Indicator measures the current situation of the businesses and its future prospects. The questionnaire focuses on: production trends in recent months, order books, export order books, stocks and production expectations. The indicator is computed through the estimation of a factor-model and summarizes the common information contained in the surveys. A rise in the indicator will point to an upswing in activity and an improvement in the business climate.

Economic Sentiment

104

In the Euro Area, the Economic sentiment indicator is a composite measure (average=100) that calculates the confidence level among: manufacturers (40 percent of the index); service providers (30 percent); consumers (20 percent); retailers (5 percent) and constructors (5 percent).

Consumer Inflation Expectations

42.6

In the Euro Area, Consumer Confidence Price Trends is shown as the balance between positive and negative answering options, measured as percentage points of total answers.

Consumer Confidence Final

In Euro Area, the Consumer Economic Sentiment Indicator measures the level of optimism that consumers have about the economy. The survey is made by phone and covers 23 000 households in the Euro Area. The number of households sample varies across the zone. The questions focus on current economic and financial situation, savings intention as well as on expected developments regarding: consumer price indexes, general economic situation and major purchases of durable goods. The Consumer ESI measures consumer confidence on a scale of -100 to 100, where -100 indicate extreme lack of confidence, 0 neutrality and 100 extreme confidence.

Industrial Sentiment

7.4

In the Euro Area, Industrial Sentiment measures the confidence level among manufacturers and accounts for 40 percent of the Economic Sentiment Indicator.

Services Sentiment

14.8

In the Euro Area, Services Sentiment measures the confidence level among service providers and accounts for 30 percent of the Economic Sentiment Indicator.

Selling Price Expectations

50.4

Business Confidence

10

Industrial Confidence Indicator is a survey measuring the confidence among executives in the manufacturing sector.

Business Confidence

100.3

In Luxembourg, the Business Climate Indicator measures the current situation of the businesses and its future prospects. The questionnaire focuses on: production trends in recent months, order books, export order books, stocks and production expectations. The indicator is computed through the estimation of a factor-model and summarizes the common information contained in the surveys. A rise in the indicator will point to an upswing in activity and an improvement in the business climate.

Consumer Confidence

-22.8

In Luxembourg, the consumer confidence survey measures the level of optimism that consumers have about the performance of the economy. Generally consumer confidence is high when the unemployment rate is low and GDP growth is high. Measures of average consumer confidence can be useful indicators of how much consumers are likely to spend.

Business Confidence

Industrial Confidence Indicator is a survey measuring the confidence among executives in the manufacturing sector.

Industrial Sales MoM

2.7%

In Italy, industrial turnover index measures the monthly changes of industrial sales at current prices.

Industrial Sales YoY

22%

In Italy, industrial turnover index measures the monthly changes of industrial sales at current prices.

Unemployment Rate

13.65%

In Spain, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Retail Sales MoM

In Spain, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Spain, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Retail Sales YoY

1.4%

In Spain, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Unemployment Rate

3.4%

In Hungary, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Business Confidence

111.6

In Sweden, the confidence indicator for the business sector is intended to provide a quick qualitative indication of actual outcomes, current situation and future expectations of Swedish companies. The variables in the survey include new orders, output, and employment. The survey covers 6,000 firms in the business sector.

Consumer Confidence

65.5

In Sweden, the Consumer Confidence indicator is based on a survey of 1500 households that are interviewed each month. The questions cover consumers’ assessment of their personal finances and the Swedish economy, expectations for interest rates and inflation, and plans for major purchases and savings.

Consumer Inflation Expectations

10.6%

In Sweden, inflation expectations refer to median one year ahead expected inflation rate.

Consumer Confidence

82

In France, the consumer confidence index is based on a survey of about 2 000 households. The questionnaire focuses on: past and future economic situation in France, past and future personal financial situation, unemployment, intention to make major purchases, current savings capacity and expected savings capacity. The indicator is calculated using factor analysis technique. The index is then calculated in a way to measure the current sentiment in relation to the historic index values of the period 1987-2011. A value over 110 indicates unusually high optimism and a value under 90 indicates unusually high pessimism. The value 100 indicates neutrality.

Business Confidence

-10

In Denmark, the tendency survey in manufacturing provides information on the current situation as well as expectations for the coming three months for the manufacturing industries. The most important variables used in the survey are production, employment, new orders, sales prices, investment plans and limits to production.

Household Consumption MoM

-1.1%

In Norway, the index of household consumption of goods measures the development in household consumption of goods (durable and non-durable). The statistics are calculated as an index and are based on the index of retail sales, first-time registered motor vehicles, sales of alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages and electricity, petrol and fuel statistics. The index does not cover household consumption of goods abroad.

Unemployment Rate

3.3%

In Norway, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

GDP Growth Rate YoY Flash

Sweden has an economy heavily oriented toward foreign trade with timber, hydro-power, and iron ore constituting its resource base. Engineering sector accounts for about 50 percent of output and exports. On the expenditure side, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 46 percent of its total use, followed by government consumption (26 percent) and gross fixed capital formation (23 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 45 percent of GDP while imports account for 41 percent, adding 4 percent of total GDP.

GDP Growth Rate QoQ Flash

On the expenditure side, household consumption is the main component of Swedish GDP and accounts for 46 percent of its total use, followed by government consumption (26 percent) and gross fixed capital formation (23 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 45 percent of GDP while imports account for 41 percent, adding 4 percent of total GDP.

Retail Sales MoM

-0.6%

In Sweden, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Sweden, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Retail Sales YoY

In Sweden, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Business Confidence

8.1

In Netherlands, the producer confidence survey covers 1,700 manufacturing companies and gathers up-to-date information on economic developments for all activities of the manufacturing industry. The survey covers three components: how companies evaluate their order positions, their stocks of finished products in the month under review and the anticipated economic activity for the next three months. The index is calculated as the percentage of positive answers minus the percentage of negative answers. Therefore, the indicator varies from -100 (all participants evaluate their situation as poor and expect it to become worse) to 100 (all companies are happy with current situation and expect it to improve); 0 indicates neutrality.

2-Year JGB Auction

-0.049%

Interest Rate Decision

2%

In Hong Kong the interest rates decisions are taken by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA). The main interest rate is Base rate, adjusted with accordance to the Hong Kong dollar’s demand or supply.

Retail Sales MoM Prel

0.9%

In Australia, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Australia, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Export Prices QoQ

18%

In Australia, Export Prices correspond to the rate of change in the prices of goods and services sold by residents of that country to foreign buyers. Export Prices are heavily affected by exchange rates.

Import Prices QoQ

5.1%

In Australia, Import Prices correspond to the rate of change in the prices of goods and services purchased by residents of that country from, and supplied by, foreign sellers. Import Prices are heavily affected by exchange rates.

ANZ Business Confidence

-62.6

In New Zealand, the business confidence index is designed to provide a snapshot of business opinions regarding the expected future state of their business and economy overall. The survey covers around 700 respondents. The Net index is calculated by subtracting the percentage number of businesses that expect that the economic situation improves from the number that expect decline.

Foreign Bond Investment

The net data shows the difference between acquisition and disposition of long-term debt securities: a plus sign indicates net purchases of foreign securities by Japanese investors; a minus sign indicates net selling and inflows of funds into Japan. It excludes Bank of Japan.

Stock Investment by Foreigners

Foreign Investments in Japanese Stocks refers to the net difference between inflow and outflow of investments in Japanese stock market by foreigners.

Car Production YoY

13.3%

Business Confidence

In South Korea, the Business Survey Index (BSI) in the manufacturing sector measures the level of optimism that business leaders have about the performance of the economy in the current month and their outlook for the following month. The Index is based on the survey of around 2800 companies in fifteen areas including sales, inventories, production facilities, prices, labor force and profitability. For each of the indicators measured, the net difference between the number of positive responses and the number of negative responses is computed. The BSI above 100 indicates an improving outlook and below 100 a deteriorating outlook.

Fed Press Conference

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

Fed Interest Rate Decision

1.75%

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

Unemployment Rate

3.9%

In Russia, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Real Wage Growth YoY

-7.2%

In Russia, Real Wage Growth measures the year-on-year change in average monthly wages adjusted for inflation.

Retail Sales YoY

-10.1%

In Russia, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.