IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism

45.5

IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index measures Americans' opinions and outlooks on the economy. The index is based on a nationwide survey of 900 adults and evaluates six-month economic outlook, personal financial outlook, confidence in federal economic policies. Reading above 50 indicates optimism, and below 50 indicates pessimism.

BoE Saunders Speech

In the United Kingdom, benchmark interest rate is set by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The Bank of England official interest rate is the repo rate. This repo rate applies to open market operations of the Bank of England with a group of counterparties (banks, building societies, securities firms).

Redbook YoY

The Johnson Redbook Index is a sales-weighted of year-over-year same-store sales growth in a sample of large US general merchandise retailers representing about 9,000 stores. Same-store sales are sales in stores continuously open for 12 months or longer. By dollar value, the Index represents over 80% of the equivalent 'official' retail sales series collected and published by the US Department of Commerce. Redbook compiles the Index by collecting and interpreting performance estimates from retailers. The Index and its sub-groups are sales-weighted aggregates of these estimates. Weeks are retail weeks (Sunday to Saturday), and equally weighted within the month.

Fed Bostic Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

Interest Rate Decision

3%

In Romania, interest rates decisions are taken by the Board of the National Bank of Romania (Banca Nationala a Romaniei). The official interest rate is the Policy Rate.

Fed Williams Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

BCB Copom Meeting Minutes

In Brazil, interest rate decisions are taken by The Central Bank of Brazil's Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM). The official interest rate is the Special System of Clearance and Custody rate (SELIC) which is the overnight lending rate.

Queen's Speech 2022

Inflation Rate MoM

2.7%

In Greece, the most important categories in the consumer price index are: food and non-alcoholic beverages (17 percent of total weight); transport (13 percent); housing (12 percent) and hotels, cafés and restaurants (11 percent). The index also includes: clothing and footwear (9 percent); health (7 percent); furnishing and household equipment (7 percent); recreation and culture (5 percent); communication (5 percent). Education, alcoholic beverages, tobacco and other goods and services account for the remaining 14 percent of total weight.

Balance of Trade

In 2017, the Portuguese trade deficit widened sharply by 23.4 percent from the previous year to EUR 13.8 billion, the largest trade gap since 2011. Imports rose by 12.5 percent, the most since 2010, while exports increased at a slower 10.1 percent, the biggest gain since 2011. The largest trade deficits were recorded with Spain, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Russia and China, while the biggest trade surpluses were recorded with the United States, the United Kingdom and France.

NFIB Business Optimism Index

93.2

NFIB Small Business Optimism Index is a composite of ten seasonally adjusted components calculated based on the answers of around 620 NFIB members. This questions include: plans to increase employment, plans to make capital outlays, plans to increase inventories, expect economy to improve, expect real sales higher, current inventory, current job openings, expected credit conditions, now a good time to expand, and earnings trend.

5-Year Bobl Auction

0.64%

Industrial Production MoM

In Belgium, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: chemical products (19 percent of total production); food products and beverages (16 percent); basic metals (11 percent); motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (10 percent); pharmaceuticals (8 percent); machinery and equipment (5 percent); and fabricated metal products (5 percent).

Industrial Production YoY

In Belgium, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: chemical products (19 percent of total production); food products and beverages (16 percent); basic metals (11 percent); motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (10 percent); pharmaceuticals (8 percent); machinery and equipment (5 percent); and fabricated metal products (5 percent).

Balance of Trade

-407900000

Trade is an integral part of the recent economic success of Cyprus, as the island nation falls short of being self-sufficient for food and fuel. As such, Cyprus is a net importer of fuels, raw materials, heavy machinery and transportation equipment. Cyprus mostly exports citrus fruits, cement, potatoes, clothing and pharmaceuticals. Cyprus' largest, and most important, trading partner is the European Union, which accounts for 50% of all Cypriot trade flows, followed by the Middle East, destination for 20% of exports from Cyprus. In the European Union, the UK and Greece account for the largest share of trade due to historical connections. Recent discoveries of offshore gas will likely diminish Cyprus' need for importing energy and lead to a shift in the composition of its exports.

ZEW Economic Sentiment Index

-41

In Germany, the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index measures the level of optimism that analysts have about the expected economic developments over the next 6 months. The survey covers up to 350 financial and economic analysts. The index is constructed as the difference between the percentage share of analysts that are optimistic and the percentage of analysts that are pessimistic about the development of the economy. Therefore, the ZEW indicator measures the confidence on a scale of -100 (all analysts expect the economy to deteriorate) up to 100 (all analysts expect it to improve). A 0 value indicates neutrality.

ZEW Current Conditions

-30.8

In Germany, the ZEW Current Conditions Index measures the level of optimism that analysts have about the current economic situation. The survey covers up to 350 financial and economic analysts. The index is constructed as the difference between the percentage share of analysts that are optimistic and the percentage of analysts that are pessimistic about the economy. Therefore, the ZEW indicator measures the confidence on a scale of -100 (all analysts see deteriorating economic conditions) up to 100 (all analysts see improving economic conditions). A 0 value indicates neutrality.

ZEW Economic Sentiment Index

-43

In the Euro Area, the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index measures the level of optimism that analysts have about the expected economic developments over the next 6 months. The survey covers up to 350 financial and economic analysts. The index is constructed as the difference between the percentage share of analysts that are optimistic and the percentage of analysts that are pessimistic about the development of the economy. Therefore, the ZEW indicator measures the confidence on a scale of -100 (all analysts expect the economy to deteriorate) up to 100 (all analysts expect it to improve). A 0 value indicates neutrality.

Industrial Production YoY

4.8%

In Greece, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy such as manufacturing, mining, and utilities.

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY

8%

The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is an indicator of inflation and price stability for the European Central Bank (ECB). The HICP is compiled by Eurostat and the national statistical institutes in accordance with harmonised statistical methods. The ECB aims to maintain annual inflation rates as measured by the HICP below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.

Inflation Rate YoY

8.9%

In Greece, the most important categories in the consumer price index are: food and non-alcoholic beverages (17 percent of total weight); transport (13 percent); housing (12 percent) and hotels, cafés and restaurants (11 percent). The index also includes: clothing and footwear (9 percent); health (7 percent); furnishing and household equipment (7 percent); recreation and culture (5 percent); communication (5 percent). Education, alcoholic beverages, tobacco and other goods and services account for the remaining 14 percent of total weight.

3-Month Letras Auction

-0.657%

Industrial Production MoM

4%

In Italy, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 88 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Metallurgy and fabricated metal products (14 percent of total production); machinery and equipment (12 percent); food, drink and tobacco (10 percent); rubber and plastics products and non-metallic mineral products (9 percent); textile, clothing and leather (8 percent); transport equipment (7 percent); and other manufacturing, repair and installation of machinery and equipment (7 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning account for 10 percent of total output and Mining and quarrying account for 1 percent.

Industrial Production YoY

3.3%

In Italy, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 88 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Metallurgy and fabricated metal products (14 percent of total production); machinery and equipment (12 percent); food, drink and tobacco (10 percent); rubber and plastics products and non-metallic mineral products (9 percent); textile, clothing and leather (8 percent); transport equipment (7 percent); and other manufacturing, repair and installation of machinery and equipment (7 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning account for 10 percent of total output and Mining and quarrying account for 1 percent.

Industrial Production YoY

12.2%

In Austria, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector (69 percent of total production) including: machinery and equipment (9 percent); basic metals (6 percent); food products (6 percent); motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (6 percent); fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment (6 percent); and electrical equipment (5 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply account for 15 percent of total output followed by construction (13 percent), water supply, sewerage and waste management (2 percent) and mining and quarrying (1 percent).

Retail Sales YoY

4.6%

In Czech Republic, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Retail Sales MoM

0%

In Czech Republic, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Czech Republic, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Inflation Rate YoY

12.7%

In Czech Republic, the most important category in the consumer price index is Housing and Utilities (26.6 percent of total weight). Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages accounts for 17.1 percent; Transport for 10.1 percent; Alcoholic beverages and Tobacco for 9.5 percent; Recreation and Culture for 8.8 percent and Miscellaneous Goods and Services for 6.8 percent. Furniture, Household Goods and Maintenance; Restaurants and Hotels; Clothing and Footwear; Communication; Health and Education account for the remaining 21.1 percent of total weight.

Inflation Rate MoM

1.7%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Inflation Rate MoM

0.6%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Core Inflation Rate YoY

In Hungary, the core inflation rate tracks changes in prices that consumers pay for a basket of goods which excludes some volatile price items.

Inflation Rate YoY

8.5%

In Hungary, the most important category in the consumer price index is Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages (21.3 percent of total weight). Transport accounts for 16.2 percent; Housing and Utilities for 13.2 percent; Alcoholic beverages and Tobacco for 8.3 percent; Recreation and Culture for 7.7 percent and Miscellaneous Goods and Services for 7.3 percent. Restaurants and Hotels; Health; Furniture, Household Goods and Maintenance; Communication; Clothing and Footwear and Education account for the remaining 26 percent of total weight.

Inflation Rate MoM

1%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Unemployment Rate

10.7%

In Turkey, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Participation Rate

52.2%

The labour force participation rates is the number of persons who are employed and unemployed but looking for a job divided by the total working-age population.

Inflation Rate YoY

5.4%

In Denmark, the most important category in the consumer price index is Housing and Utilities (29.4 percent of total weight). Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages accounts for 12.2 percent; Transport for 11.8 percent; Recreation and Culture for 10.9 percent; Miscellaneous Goods and Services for 9.6 percent and Restaurants and Hotels for 6.2 percent. Furniture, Household Goods and Maintenance; Clothing and Footwear; Alcoholic beverages and Tobacco; Health; Communication and Education account for the remaining 19.9 percent of total weight.

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY

6%

The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is an indicator of inflation and price stability for the European Central Bank (ECB). The HICP is compiled by Eurostat and the national statistical institutes in accordance with harmonised statistical methods. The ECB aims to maintain annual inflation rates as measured by the HICP below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.

Core Inflation Rate MoM

0.3%

In Norway, the core consumer price index, which is adjusted for taxes and energy prices, is the measure used by the central bank in setting interest rates. It targets annual inflation at around 2 percent over the long term.

Core Inflation Rate YoY

2.1%

In Norway, the core inflation, which is adjusted for taxes and energy prices, is the measure used by the central bank in setting interest rates. It targets inflation at around 2 percent over the long term.

PPI YoY

79.4%

In Norway, the Producer Price Index measures the price development of first hand sales of products to the Norwegian market, from Norwegian production and export. Manufacturing prices account for 54 percent of the total index. The biggest segments within Manufacturing prices are: Food, beverages and tobacco (12 percent), refined petroleum products (8 percent) machinery and equipment (6 percent) and basic metals (5 percent). Extraction and related services account for 41 percent, Electricity, gas and steam account for 4 percent and Mining and quarrying account for 1 percent.

Inflation Rate YoY

4.5%

In Norway, the most important category in the consumer price index is Housing and Utilities (23 percent of total weight). Transport accounts for 16 percent; Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages for 13 percent; Recreation and Culture for 12 percent; Miscellaneous Goods and Services for 9 percent and Furniture, Household Goods and Maintenance for 7 percent. Restaurants and Hotels; Clothing and Footwear; Alcoholic beverages and Tobacco; Health; Communication and Education account for the remaining 21 percent of total weight.

Inflation Rate MoM

0.6%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Balance of Trade

-2460000000

Romania exports mostly machinery and transport equipment, raw materials, and miscellaneous manufactured articles like textiles and footwear. Romania imports machinery and transport equipment, raw materials, chemicals and fuels. More than 70% of exports and imports are with other European Union members with Italy, Germany and France being the most important.

Industrial Production YoY

3.8%

In Finland, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 87 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: chemicals (16 percent); electrical and electronics (13 percent); machinery and equipment (11 percent); paper and paper products (9 percent); fabricated metal products (8 percent); and food products (7 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply accounts for 11 percent of total output; and Mining and quarrying account for 2 percent.

Inflation Rate YoY

9.7%

In Netherlands, the most important categories in the consumer price index are: housing, water, electricity and gas (24.5 percent of the total weight); transport (11.6 percent) and food and non-alcoholic beverages (11.3 percent). The index also includes: recreation and culture (10.3 percent); furnishing and household equipment (6 percent); clothing and footwear (4.9 percent); hotels and restaurants (4.2 percent); communication (3.3 percent) and alcoholic beverages and tobacco (3.1 percent). Health, education and other goods and services account for the remaining 20.8 percent of total weight.

Manufacturing Production YoY

10.2%

In the Netherlands, the biggest segments within Manufacturing are: refineries and chemistry (23 percent of total production); electronics, machinery (22 percent); food and beverages (20 percent); basic metals and products (12 percent); transport equipment (5 percent); paper and printing (5 percent); wooden and building material (4 percent); and textile, leather products (2 percent).

Inflation Rate MoM

3.6%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Consumer Confidence

111

In Indonesia, the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) measures consumer’s expectations about current income and job availability against those 6 months ago, appropriate time to buy durable goods, and general economic conditions and job availability expectations in the next 6 months. The index is based on a survey of around 4600 middle up class households in major cities (those cities cover about 78 percent of GDP). Data is collected through phone interviews and direct visits. The two main components of the Index are the current economic condition index and the consumer expectation index. The CCI is computed as a net balance obtained from the difference between percentage on ’increase’ answer and percentage on ’decrease’ answer. An index above 100 indicates an improving outlook and below 100 a deteriorating outlook.

Foreign Exchange Reserves

139100000000

In Indonesia, Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans.

10-Year JGB Auction

0.201%

Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.

NAB Business Confidence

16

The NAB monthly survey of business confidence is based on a telephone survey of around 600 small, medium and large size non-agricultural companies. The Survey measures the expectations of business conditions for the upcoming month and is a simple average of trading, profitability and employment indices, reported by respondents for their company. The indices are calculated by taking the difference between the percentage of respondents nominating good or very good, or a rise and those nominating poor or very poor, or a fall.

Retail Sales MoM Final

1.8%

In Australia, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Australia, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Household Spending MoM

-2.8%

In Japan, Household Spending MoM refers to the monthly change of consumption expenditures (on food, housing, utilities, furniture, clothing, health, education, transport, communication, leisure activities, etc.) in real terms for two-or-more-person households including agricultural, forestry and fisheries households.

Household Spending YoY

1.1%

In Japan, Household Spending YoY refers to the annual change of consumption expenditures (on food, housing, utilities, furniture, clothing, health, education, transport, communication, leisure activities, etc.) in real terms for two-or-more-person households including agricultural, forestry and fisheries households.

BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY

The BRC-KPMG Retail Sales Monitor measures changes in the actual value of retail sales from a sample of retailers. The Monitor measures the value of spending and hence does not adjust for price changes. If prices are rising, sales volumes will increase by less than sales values. In times of price deflation, sales volumes will increase by more than sales values. Retailers report the value of their sales and sales in the equivalent week a year ago. These figures are reported both in total and on a ‘like-for-like’ basis. The percentage increase in the value of sales on a ‘like-for-like’ basis removes the effect of the expansion of retail floor space by the retailers concerned on their sales total. Due to the sample being biased towards large retailers, the ‘like-for-like’ increase usually provides a more accurate guide to general spending patterns, though it will be biased downwards as an estimate of the growth rate for retail as a whole.

Current Account

6420000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Electronic Retail Card Spending MoM

-1.3%

In New Zealand, Electronic Retail Card Spending measures the credit card spending by individuals on consumables, durables, hospitality, apparel industry, motor vehicles and fuel. The electronic card transactions series covers all debit, credit, and charge card transactions with New Zealand-based merchants. It can be used to indicate changes in consumer spending and economic activity.

Electronic Retail Card Spending YoY

-0.5%

In New Zealand, Electronic Retail Card Spending measures the credit card spending by individuals on consumables, durables, hospitality, apparel industry, motor vehicles and fuel. The electronic card transactions series covers all debit, credit, and charge card transactions with New Zealand-based merchants. It can be used to indicate changes in consumer spending and economic activity.

2-Year Bond Auction

2.455%