Budget Balance

-2100000000

The government budget balance is the difference between government revenues and expenses, excluding public debt charges. The budget is balanced when outlays equal to receipts, the country reports budget surplus when revenues are higher than expenses and deficit when expenses exceed the revenues.

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final

79.4

The Index of Consumer Expectations focuses on three areas: how consumers view prospects for their own financial situation, how they view prospects for the general economy over the near term, and their view of prospects for the economy over the long term. Each monthly survey contains approximately 50 core questions, each of which tracks a different aspect of consumer attitudes and expectations. The samples for the Surveys of Consumers are statistically designed to be representative of all American households, excluding those in Alaska and Hawaii. Each month, a minimum of 500 interviews are conducted by telephone.

Michigan Consumer Expectations Final

77.4

The Index of Consumer Expectations focuses on three areas: how consumers view prospects for their own financial situation, how they view prospects for the general economy over the near term, and their view of prospects for the economy over the long term. Each monthly survey contains approximately 50 core questions, each of which tracks a different aspect of consumer attitudes and expectations. The samples for the Surveys of Consumers are statistically designed to be representative of all American households, excluding those in Alaska and Hawaii. Each month, a minimum of 500 interviews are conducted by telephone.

Michigan Current Conditions Final

82.5

The Index of Consumer Expectations focuses on three areas: how consumers view prospects for their own financial situation, how they view prospects for the general economy over the near term, and their view of prospects for the economy over the long term. Each monthly survey contains approximately 50 core questions, each of which tracks a different aspect of consumer attitudes and expectations. The samples for the Surveys of Consumers are statistically designed to be representative of all American households, excluding those in Alaska and Hawaii. Each month, a minimum of 500 interviews are conducted by telephone.

Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations Final

2.8%

The Index of Consumer Expectations focuses on three areas: how consumers view prospects for their own financial situation, how they view prospects for the general economy over the near term, and their view of prospects for the economy over the long term. Each monthly survey contains approximately 50 core questions, each of which tracks a different aspect of consumer attitudes and expectations. The samples for the Surveys of Consumers are statistically designed to be representative of all American households, excluding those in Alaska and Hawaii. Each month, a minimum of 500 interviews are conducted by telephone.

Michigan Inflation Expectations Final

2.9%

The Index of Consumer Expectations focuses on three areas: how consumers view prospects for their own financial situation, how they view prospects for the general economy over the near term, and their view of prospects for the economy over the long term. Each monthly survey contains approximately 50 core questions, each of which tracks a different aspect of consumer attitudes and expectations. The samples for the Surveys of Consumers are statistically designed to be representative of all American households, excluding those in Alaska and Hawaii. Each month, a minimum of 500 interviews are conducted by telephone.

Manufacturing Sales MoM Prel

In Canada, Manufacturing Sales provides a current 'snapshot' of sales of goods manufactured values by the Canadian manufacturing sector, enabling analysis of the state of the Canadian economy, as well as the health of specific industries in the short- to medium-term.

Core PCE Price Index YoY

2.8%

In the United States, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index provides a measure of the prices paid by people for domestic purchases of goods and services, excluding the prices of food and energy. The core PCE is the Fed's preferred inflation measure. The central bank has a 2 percent target.

Core PCE Price Index MoM

Personal Income MoM

0.3%

Personal Income refers to the income that persons receive in return for their provision of labor, land, and capital used in current production, plus current transfer receipts less contributions for government social insurance.

Personal Spending MoM

0.8%

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is the primary measure of consumer spending on goods and services in the U.S. economy. 1 It accounts for about two-thirds of domestic final spending, and thus it is the primary engine that drives future economic growth. PCE shows how much of the income earned by households is being spent on current consumption as opposed to how much is being saved for future consumption. PCE also provides a comprehensive measure of types of goods and services that are purchased by households. Thus, for example, it shows the portion of spending that is accounted for by discretionary items, such as motor vehicles, or the adjustments that consumers make to changes in prices, such as a sharp run-up in gasoline prices.

PCE Price Index YoY

2.5%

In the United States, the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index provides a measure of the prices paid for domestic purchases of goods and services. While the Consumer Price Index assumes a fixed basket of goods and uses expenditure weights that do not change over time for several years, the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index uses a chain index and resorts on expenditure data from the current period and the preceding period (known as Fisher Price Index).

PCE Price Index MoM

0.3%

In the United States, the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index provides a measure of the prices paid for domestic purchases of goods and services. While the Consumer Price Index assumes a fixed basket of goods and uses expenditure weights that do not change over time for several years, the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index uses a chain index and resorts on expenditure data from the current period and the preceding period (known as Fisher Price Index).

IPCA mid-month CPI MoM

0.36%

IPCA mid-month CPI YoY

4.14%

Unemployment Rate

2.5%

In Mexico, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Balance of Trade

Mexico's main exports are manufactured products (88 percent of total shipments) , followed by oil and oil products (7 percent), the agricultural sector with (4 percent). Main imports are: metallic products, machinery and equipment (59 percent of total purchases), oil products (12 percent) and agricultural goods (3 percent). The country's top trading partner is the United States (72 percent of total exports and 38 percent of total imports). Others include: China, Japan and Germany. In 2022, trade between Mexico and the United States reached USD 738 billion, with Mexico posting a surplus of near USD 208 billion.

CBR Press Conference

In Russia, interest rate decisions are taken by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation. From September 16th of 2013, the official interest rate is the one-week auction repo rate. Until September 15th of 2013, the official interest rate was the refinancing rate, which was seen as a ceiling for borrowing money and a benchmark for calculating tax payments.

Bank Lending MoM

0.2%

Loan Growth in Brazil refers to the monthly change in total credit outstanding, including public and private lending.

Foreign Exchange Reserves

In India, Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans.

CFIB Business Barometer

52.7

CFIB’s Business Barometer tracks small business confidence, expectations and operating conditions in Canada. It was revised as of the May 2009 issue. It is based on the same survey question on 12-month future business performance expectations collected annually 1987-2000, quarterly 2001-2008 and monthly since late 2008. The index is a weighted average of response scores: 100 for stronger performance, 50 for same performance, and 0 for weaker performance. The data are not seasonally adjusted.

Interest Rate Decision

16%

In Russia, interest rate decisions are taken by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation. From September 16th of 2013, the official interest rate is the one-week auction repo rate. Until September 15th of 2013, the official interest rate was the refinancing rate, which was seen as a ceiling for borrowing money and a benchmark for calculating tax payments.

Unemployment Benefit Claims

-15800

In France, unemployment benefit claims refer to the change in number of people claiming unemployment benefits in mainland France.

Total Credit YoY

3.1%

Total credit expansion to domestic non-monetary financial institutions by domestic monetary financial institutions.

Bank Austria Manufacturing PMI

42.2

In Austria, the Bank Austria Manufacturing PMI measures the performance of the manufacturing sector. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

Loans to Companies YoY

0.4%

In the Euro Area, Loans to Private Sector refers to adjusted loans to Euro Area non-financial corporations.

M3 Money Supply YoY

0.4%

Euro Area Money Supply M3 is the sum of M2, repurchase agreements, money market fund shares/units and debt securities with a maturity of up to two years.

Loans to Households YoY

0.3%

In the Euro Area, loan growth refers to year over year change in loans to households adjusted for sales and securitisation.

SNB Jordan Speech

In Switzerland, interest rate decisions are taken by the Swiss National Bank. The official interest rate is the SNB policy rate. The SNB seeks to keep the secured short-term Swiss franc money market rates close to the SNB policy rate. SARON is the most representative of these rates today. As of 13 June 2019, the SNB policy rate replaced the target range for the three-month Swiss franc Libor (London Interbank Offered Rate) previously used in the SNB's monetary policy strategy. The reason for this adjustment was that the Libor was becoming less relevant as the most important reference rate owing to the absence of the underlying money market transactions. From 6 September 2011 to 15 January 2015, the main focus of implementation was on the minimum exchange rate of CHF 1.20 per euro, which the SNB enforced during this period. On 18 December 2014, the SNB decided to impose an interest rate of -0.25% on sight deposit account balances. With the announcement of a negative interest rate, the Libor target range used then was taken into negative territory for the first time, and extended to its usual width of 1 percentage point. On 15 January 2015, the SNB lowered the interest rate on sight deposits to -0.75% and moved the target range downwards to between -1.25% and -0.25%. Negative interest has applied since 22 January 2015 and currently corresponds to the SNB policy rate.

ECB Guindos Speech

In the Euro Area, benchmark interest rate is set by the Governing Council of the European Central Bank. The primary objective of the ECB’s monetary policy is to maintain price stability which is to keep inflation below, but close to 2 percent over the medium term. In times of prolonged low inflation and low interest rates, ECB may also adopt non-standard monetary policy measures, such as asset purchase programmes. The official interest rate is the Main refinancing operations rate.

Unemployment Rate

11.76%

In Spain, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Retail Sales MoM

0.5%

In Spain, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Spain, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Retail Sales YoY

1.9%

In Spain, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Consumer Confidence

91

In France, the consumer confidence index is based on a survey of about 2 000 households. The questionnaire focuses on: past and future economic situation in France, past and future personal financial situation, unemployment, intention to make major purchases, current savings capacity and expected savings capacity. The indicator is calculated using factor analysis technique. The index is then calculated in a way to measure the current sentiment in relation to the historic index values of the period 1987-2011. A value over 110 indicates unusually high optimism and a value under 90 indicates unusually high pessimism. The value 100 indicates neutrality.

Unemployment Rate

4.7%

In Hungary, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Retail Sales YoY

-0.3%

In Norway, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Retail Sales MoM

0.1%

In Norway, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Norway, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Household Consumption MoM

0.9%

In Norway, the index of household consumption of goods measures the development in household consumption of goods (durable and non-durable). The statistics are calculated as an index and are based on the index of retail sales, first-time registered motor vehicles, sales of alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages and electricity, petrol and fuel statistics. The index does not cover household consumption of goods abroad.

Unemployment Rate

8.5%

In Sweden, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Balance of Trade

9300000000

Sweden exports mostly machinery, motor vehicles, paper products, pulp and wood, iron, steel products, chemicals. The country imports machinery, petroleum and petroleum products, chemicals, motor vehicles, iron and steel; foodstuffs and clothing. European Union is by far its largest trading partner accounting for about 61% of exports and 72% of imports. Norway, Russia, The United States and China play also an important role.

Imports

162500000000

Sweden imports mainly machinery, petroleum and petroleum products, chemicals, motor vehicles, iron and steel; foodstuffs and clothing. Its principal import partners are European Union countries (Germany, Denmark, Netherlands, Finland), Norway and China.

Exports

171800000000

Sweden is an export-oriented market economy. Timber, hydropower, and iron ore constitute the resource base of an economy heavily oriented toward foreign trade. Sweden's engineering sector accounts for 50% of output and exports. Telecommunications, the automotive industry and the pharmaceutical industries are also of great importance. Main export partners are Germany, United States and Norway.

Employed Persons

5174000

In Sweden, employed persons are individuals with a minimum required age who work during a certain time for a business.

Household Lending Growth YoY

0.4%

In Sweden, Household Lending Growth refers to the year-on-year change in credit extended to households by domestic MFIs. Lending to households is divided into three categories: housing loans, consumer credit, and other lending. The purpose of a loan is not directly measured, but is approximated by categorizing lending by type of collateral. Housing loans are defined as loans to private individuals or entrepreneurial households with housing as collateral. Consumer credit refers to lending to private individuals, generally without collateral. Other lending includes all other lending, for example lending to non-profit institutions serving households.

Business Confidence

-13

The industrial confidence indicator measures the confidence among executives in the manufacturing sector. It is calculated from the answers to three questions: production expectations in the coming months, order backlog and finished product inventories compared to normal (in reverse).

Coincident Index Final

112.1

Coincident Index correlates with the business cycle, and is used to identify the current state of the economy. In general, increasing coincident index shows that the economy is in an expansion phase, and decreasing coincident index reflects that the economy is in a contraction phase. The index is calculated using month-over-month percentage changes in 11 leading indicators, 11 coincident indicators, and 6 lagging indicators.

Leading Economic Index Final

109.5

In Japan, the Leading Composite Index consists of 12 indexes such as account inventory ratios, machinery orders, stock prices and other leading economic indicators. The index anticipates changes in the direction of the Japanese economy in the coming months. In general, increase in the index reflects that the economy is in an expansion phase, and decreasing coincident index reflects that the economy is in a contraction phase. The index is used to make official judgement on when the business cycle begins and ends.

Industrial Production MoM

14.2%

In Singapore, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in the manufacturing sector of the economy.

Industrial Production YoY

3.8%

In Singapore, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in the manufacturing sector of the economy.

10-Year Bond Auction

3.05%

Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.

BoJ Interest Rate Decision

0%

In Japan, interest rates are set by the Bank of Japan's Policy Board in its Monetary Policy Meetings. The BoJ's official interest rate is the discount rate. Monetary Policy Meetings produce a guideline for money market operations in inter-meeting periods and this guideline is written in terms of a target for the uncollateralized overnight call rate.

BoJ Quarterly Outlook Report

In Japan, interest rates are set by the Bank of Japan's Policy Board in its Monetary Policy Meetings. The BoJ's official interest rate is the discount rate. Monetary Policy Meetings produce a guideline for money market operations in inter-meeting periods and this guideline is written in terms of a target for the uncollateralized overnight call rate.

PPI YoY

4.1%

In Australia, Producer Prices Change measures the average change in price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market during a given period.

PPI QoQ

0.9%

In Australia, the Producer Price Inflation QoQ measures a quarter-over-quarter change in the price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market.

Import Prices QoQ

1.1%

In Australia, Import Prices correspond to the rate of change in the prices of goods and services purchased by residents of that country from, and supplied by, foreign sellers. Import Prices are heavily affected by exchange rates.

Export Prices QoQ

5.6%

In Australia, Export Prices correspond to the rate of change in the prices of goods and services sold by residents of that country to foreign buyers. Export Prices are heavily affected by exchange rates.

Great Prayer Day

ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence

86.4

In New Zealand, ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence is a monthly measure of consumer confidence across New Zealand households and how this affects their spending behavior.

7-Year Note Auction

4.185%

30-Year Bond Auction

3.246%

15-Year Mortgage Rate

30-Year Mortgage Rate

The Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) is focused on conventional, conforming, fully amortizing home purchase loans for borrowers who put 20 percent down and have excellent credit. Average commitment rates should be reported along with average fees and points to reflect the total upfront cost of obtaining the mortgage. The interest rate a lender would charge to lend mortgage money to a qualified borrower exclusive of the fees and points required by the lender. This commitment rate applies only to conventional financing on conforming mortgages with loan-to-value rates of 80 percent or less.