Fed Logan Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

Fed Waller Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI

The Markit Mexico Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of 400 manufacturing companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

ISM Manufacturing PMI

49.1

The Manufacturing ISM Report On Business is based on data compiled from purchasing and supply executives nationwide. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month. For each of the indicators measured (New Orders, Backlog of Orders, New Export Orders, Imports, Production, Supplier Deliveries, Inventories, Customers' Inventories, Employment and Prices), the report shows the percentage reporting each response, the net difference between the number of responses in the positive economic direction and the negative economic direction, and the diffusion index. A PMI reading above 50 percent indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally declining.

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final

79

The Index of Consumer Expectations focuses on three areas: how consumers view prospects for their own financial situation, how they view prospects for the general economy over the near term, and their view of prospects for the economy over the long term. Each monthly survey contains approximately 50 core questions, each of which tracks a different aspect of consumer attitudes and expectations. The samples for the Surveys of Consumers are statistically designed to be representative of all American households, excluding those in Alaska and Hawaii. Each month, a minimum of 500 interviews are conducted by telephone.

ISM Manufacturing Employment

The Manufacturing ISM Report On Business is based on data compiled from purchasing and supply executives nationwide. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month. For each of the indicators measured (New Orders, Backlog of Orders, New Export Orders, Imports, Production, Supplier Deliveries, Inventories, Customers' Inventories, Employment and Prices), the report shows the percentage reporting each response, the net difference between the number of responses in the positive economic direction and the negative economic direction, and the diffusion index. A PMI reading above 50 percent indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally declining.

Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations Final

2.9%

The Index of Consumer Expectations focuses on three areas: how consumers view prospects for their own financial situation, how they view prospects for the general economy over the near term, and their view of prospects for the economy over the long term. Each monthly survey contains approximately 50 core questions, each of which tracks a different aspect of consumer attitudes and expectations. The samples for the Surveys of Consumers are statistically designed to be representative of all American households, excluding those in Alaska and Hawaii. Each month, a minimum of 500 interviews are conducted by telephone.

Michigan Inflation Expectations Final

2.9%

The Index of Consumer Expectations focuses on three areas: how consumers view prospects for their own financial situation, how they view prospects for the general economy over the near term, and their view of prospects for the economy over the long term. Each monthly survey contains approximately 50 core questions, each of which tracks a different aspect of consumer attitudes and expectations. The samples for the Surveys of Consumers are statistically designed to be representative of all American households, excluding those in Alaska and Hawaii. Each month, a minimum of 500 interviews are conducted by telephone.

Michigan Consumer Expectations Final

77.1

The Index of Consumer Expectations focuses on three areas: how consumers view prospects for their own financial situation, how they view prospects for the general economy over the near term, and their view of prospects for the economy over the long term. Each monthly survey contains approximately 50 core questions, each of which tracks a different aspect of consumer attitudes and expectations. The samples for the Surveys of Consumers are statistically designed to be representative of all American households, excluding those in Alaska and Hawaii. Each month, a minimum of 500 interviews are conducted by telephone.

Michigan Current Conditions Final

81.9

The Index of Consumer Expectations focuses on three areas: how consumers view prospects for their own financial situation, how they view prospects for the general economy over the near term, and their view of prospects for the economy over the long term. Each monthly survey contains approximately 50 core questions, each of which tracks a different aspect of consumer attitudes and expectations. The samples for the Surveys of Consumers are statistically designed to be representative of all American households, excluding those in Alaska and Hawaii. Each month, a minimum of 500 interviews are conducted by telephone.

ISM Manufacturing New Orders

The Manufacturing ISM Report On Business is based on data compiled from purchasing and supply executives nationwide. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month. For each of the indicators measured (New Orders, Backlog of Orders, New Export Orders, Imports, Production, Supplier Deliveries, Inventories, Customers' Inventories, Employment and Prices), the report shows the percentage reporting each response, the net difference between the number of responses in the positive economic direction and the negative economic direction, and the diffusion index. A PMI reading above 50 percent indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally declining.

ISM Manufacturing Prices

The Manufacturing ISM Report On Business is based on data compiled from purchasing and supply executives nationwide. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month. For each of the indicators measured (New Orders, Backlog of Orders, New Export Orders, Imports, Production, Supplier Deliveries, Inventories, Customers' Inventories, Employment and Prices), the report shows the percentage reporting each response, the net difference between the number of responses in the positive economic direction and the negative economic direction, and the diffusion index. A PMI reading above 50 percent indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally declining.

Construction Spending MoM

0.9%

Construction Spending refers to monthly estimates of the total dollar value of construction work done on new structures or improvements to existing structures for private and public sectors each month in the United States. In 2016, private construction spending accounted for 75 percent of total spending and public for 25 percent. Spending in non-residential construction represented 60 percent of total and residential accounted for 40 percent.

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final

The S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI is compiled by S&P Global from responses to questionnaires sent to purchasing managers in a panel of around 800 manufacturers. The headline figure is the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), which is a weighted average of the following five indices: New Orders (30%), Output (25%), Employment (20%), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15%) and Stocks of Purchases (10%). For the PMI calculation the Suppliers’ Delivery Times Index is inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction to the other indices. The index varies between 0 and 100, with a reading above 50 indicating an overall increase compared to the previous month, and below 50 an overall decrease.

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI

48.3

The IHS Markit Canada Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index™ measures the performance of the manufacturing sector. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

BoE Pill Speech

In the United Kingdom, benchmark interest rate is set by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The Bank of England official interest rate is the repo rate. This repo rate applies to open market operations of the Bank of England with a group of counterparties (banks, building societies, securities firms).

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI

52.8

In Brazil, the Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of 400 industrial companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

Total New Vehicle Sales

In South Africa, total vehicle sales measure the total number of vehicles sold including buses and heavy vehicles in the reported month.

GDP Growth Rate QoQ

0.1%

Brazil is the tenth largest economy in the world and the biggest in Latin America. The services sector is the most important and accounts for 63 percent to total GDP. The biggest segments within services are: government, defense, education and health (15 percent of total GDP); other services (15 percent); wholesale and retail trade (11 percent); real estate (8 percent); and financial services (7 percent). Also, industry contributes to 18 percent of GDP, with manufacturing (11 percent) and construction (4 percent) accounting for the largest share. The agriculture and livestock sector accounts for 5 percent of GDP. On the expenditure side, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 63 percent of its total use, followed by government expenditure (20 percent) and gross fixed capital formation (16 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 13 percent of GDP while imports account for 12 percent, adding 1 percent of total GDP.

GDP Growth Rate YoY

2%

Brazil is the tenth largest economy in the world and the biggest in Latin America. The services sector is the most important and accounts for 63 percent to total GDP. The biggest segments within services are: government, defense, education and health (15 percent of total GDP); other services (15 percent); wholesale and retail trade (11 percent); real estate (8 percent); and financial services (7 percent). Also, industry contributes to 18 percent of GDP, with manufacturing (11 percent) and construction (4 percent) accounting for the largest share. The agriculture and livestock sector accounts 5 percent of GDP. On the expenditure side, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 63 percent of its total use, followed by government expenditure (20 percent) and gross fixed capital formation (16 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 13 percent of GDP while imports account for 12 percent, adding 1 percent of total GDP.

Business Confidence

54.5

In Mexico, the Monthly Survey of Business Opinion (EMOE) measures the expectations of business executives regarding production, capacity utilization, employment and inventories, in the short, medium and long run. The survey also trials the expectations concerning the general economic environment and how it may affect business activity. The EMOE has a national coverage and it is measured on a scale of 0 to 100, where levels above 50 indicate optimism, 50 neutrality and below 50 pessimism.

Foreign Exchange Reserves

In India, Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans.

New Car Sales YoY

7.3%

In Spain, New Car Sales refers to total domestic sales of new cars.

Average Weekly Earnings YoY

4.6%

In Ireland, Average Weekly Earnings YoY measures the year-on-year change of Average Weekly Earnings, which correspond to the total earnings for the quarter divided by the average number of persons employed during the same period divided by 13 (number of weeks in a quarter).

Construction Output YoY

-9.9%

In Ireland, construction output refers to the year over year change in the volume of output in building and construction.

Current Account

20800000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Government Budget

-8%

Government Budget is an itemized accounting of the payments received by government (taxes and other fees) and the payments made by government (purchases and transfer payments). A budget deficit occurs when an government spends more money than it takes in. The opposite of a budget deficit is a budget surplus.

Foreign Exchange Reserves

214000000000

In Mexico, Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans.

Retail Sales YoY

1%

In Portugal, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Retail Sales MoM

0.7%

In Portugal, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Portugal, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Industrial Production MoM

-0.8%

In Portugal, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 93.9 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: food products (13 percent of total production); coke, refined petroleum products and fuels (10 percent); motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (9 percent); metal products, except machinery and equipment (7 percent); chemicals and synthetic or artificial fibers, except pharmaceuticals (5 percent); rubber and plastic products (5 percent); and paper products (5 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply account for 5 percent of total output and water supply, sewerage and waste management account for 1 percent.

Industrial Production YoY

-5%

In Portugal, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 93.9 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: food products (13 percent of total production); coke, refined petroleum products and fuels (10 percent); motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (9 percent); metal products, except machinery and equipment (7 percent); chemicals and synthetic or artificial fibers, except pharmaceuticals (5 percent); rubber and plastic products (5 percent); and paper products (5 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply account for 5 percent of total output and water supply, sewerage and waste management account for 1 percent.

Inflation Rate MoM Flash

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Inflation Rate YoY Flash

In Euro Area, the inflation rate is calculated using the weighted average of the Harmonised Index of Consumer Price (HICP) aggregates. The main components of the HICP are: food, alcohol and tobacco (21 percent of the total weight), energy (11 percent), non-energy industrial goods (27 percent) and services (42 percent). The HICP aggregates are computed as the weighted average of each country’s HICP components. The weight of a country is its share of household final monetary consumption expenditure in the total of the country’s group. The local HICPs are supplied to the Eurostat by the National Statistical Institutes.

Unemployment Rate

6.4%

In Euro Area, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

CPI Flash

Unemployment Rate

9.2%

In Greece, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Inflation Rate MoM Prel

In Italy, the most important categories in the Consumer Price Index are: food and non-alcoholic beverages (16 percent of total weight); transport (15 percent); restaurants and hotels (12 percent); housing, water, electricity and other fuels (10 percent); and miscellaneous goods and services (10 percent). The index also includes: health (9 percent); recreation and culture (8 percent); clothing and footwear (7 percent); and furnishing and household equipment (7 percent). Alcoholic beverages, tobacco, communication and education contribute with the remaining 6 percent.

Inflation Rate YoY Prel

In Italy, the most important categories in the Consumer Price Index are: food and non-alcoholic beverages (18 percent of total weight); transport (14 percent); and housing, water, electricity and other fuels (11 percent). The index also includes: miscellaneous goods and services (9 percent); restaurants and hotels (9 percent); health (9 percent); furnishings, household equipment and maintenance (8 percent); recreation and culture (7 percent); and clothing and footwear (6 percent). Alcoholic beverages and tobacco, communication, and education contribute to the remaining 7 percent of total weight.

Full Year GDP Growth

3.7%

Italy is the second largest manufacturing economy in Europe and the third largest economy in the Euro Area. Composition of the GDP on the expenditure side: household consumption (61 percent), government expenditure (19 percent) and gross fixed capital formation (17 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 30 percent of GDP while imports for 27 percent, adding 3 percent to total GDP.

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Prel

The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is an indicator of inflation and price stability for the European Central Bank (ECB). The HICP is compiled by Eurostat and the national statistical institutes in accordance with harmonised statistical methods. The ECB aims to maintain annual inflation rates as measured by the HICP below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.

Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Prel

Unemployment Rate

6.1%

In Cyprus, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Retail Sales YoY

In Cyprus, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final

1.1%

Services including tourism, financial services, and real estate are considered as the backbone of the Cyprus economy, accounting for nearly 80 percent of GDP. On the expenditure side, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 70 percent of its total use, followed by government expenditure (16 percent) and gross fixed capital formation (11 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 55 percent of GDP while imports account for 53 percent, adding 2 percent of total GDP.

GDP Growth Rate YoY Final

2.2%

Services including tourism, financial services, and real estate are considered as the backbone of the Cyprus economy, accounting for nearly 80 percent of GDP. Industry accounts for only 10 percent and agriculture for 2 percent. On the expenditure side, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 70 percent of its total use, followed by government expenditure (16 percent) and gross fixed capital formation (11 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 55 percent of GDP while imports account for 53 percent, adding 2 percent of total GDP.

Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash

In Euro Area, the core inflation rate is calculated using the weighted average of the Harmonised Index of Consumer Price (HICP) aggregates, excluding energy, food, alcohol & tobacco that face volatile price movements.

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final

Markit/CIPS UK Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of 600 industrial companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final

The HCOB Eurozone Manufacturing PMI is compiled by S&P Global from responses to monthly questionnaires sent to survey panels of manufacturers in Germany, France, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands, Austria, Ireland and Greece, totaling around 3,000 private sector companies. The headline figure is the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), which is a weighted average of the following five indices: New Orders (30%), Output (25%), Employment (20%), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15%) and Stocks of Purchases (10%). For the PMI calculation the Suppliers’ Delivery Times Index is inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction to the other indices. The index varies between 0 and 100, with a reading above 50 indicating an overall increase compared to the previous month, and below 50 an overall decrease.

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI

54.7

The Markit Greece Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of 350 industrial companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

Unemployment Rate

7.2%

In Italy, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

DNB Manufacturing PMI

50.7

In Norway, the NIMA Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of 300 companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

Unemployed Persons

69800

In Norway, unemployed persons are individuals who are without a job and actively seeking to work.

Registered Jobless Rate

2.1%

ABSA Manufacturing PMI

43.6

The Absa Manufacturing PMI is a monthly survey of purchasing managers in South Africa's manufacturing sector. The index provides leading indications of business conditions in the sector. A reading above 50 percent indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally declining.

HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final

45.5

The HCOB Germany Manufacturing PMI is compiled by S&P Global from responses to monthly questionnaires sent to purchasing managers in a panel of around 420 manufacturers. The headline figure is the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), which is a weighted average of the following five indices: New Orders (30%), Output (25%), Employment (20%), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15%) and Stocks of Purchases (10%). For the PMI calculation the Suppliers’ Delivery Times Index is inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction to the other indices. The index varies between 0 and 100, with a reading above 50 indicating an overall increase compared to the previous month, and below 50 an overall decrease.

New Car Registrations YoY

17.1%

HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final

43.1

The HCOB France Manufacturing PMI is compiled by S&P Global from responses to monthly questionnaires sent to purchasing managers in a panel of around 400 manufacturers. The headline figure is the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), which is a weighted average of the following five indices: New Orders (30%), Output (25%), Employment (20%), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15%) and Stocks of Purchases (10%). For the PMI calculation the Suppliers’ Delivery Times Index is inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction to the other indices. The index varies between 0 and 100, with a reading above 50 indicating an overall increase compared to the previous month, and below 50 an overall decrease.

HCOB Manufacturing PMI

48.5

In Italy, the Markit Italy Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of 400 industrial companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

procure.ch Manufacturing PMI

43.1

In Switzerland, the procure.ch Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey to executives on their procurement expectations for the following month. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI

In Czech Republic, the Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of 250 industrial companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

Retail Sales YoY

4.8%

In Hong Kong, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

HCOB Manufacturing PMI

The S&P Global Spain Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of 400 industrial companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

Inflation Rate MoM Prel

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Unemployment Rate

In Austria, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Inflation Rate YoY Prel

In Austria, the most important category in the consumer price index is Housing and Utilities (19 percent of total weight). Transport accounts for 14 percent; Restaurants and Hotels for 13 percent; Recreation and Culture for 11 percent; Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages for 11 percent and Miscellaneous Goods and Services for 9 percent. Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco; Clothing and Footwear; Household Goods; Health; Communication and Education account for the remaining 23 percent of total weight.

Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Prel

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Prel

The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is an indicator of inflation and price stability for the European Central Bank (ECB). The HICP is compiled by Eurostat and the national statistical institutes in accordance with harmonised statistical methods. The ECB aims to maintain annual inflation rates as measured by the HICP below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.

Unemployed Persons

In Austria, unemployed persons are individuals who are without a job and actively seeking to work.

IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM

In Brazil, the IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM measures month-on-month inflation within the boundaries of the city of Sao Paulo and does not include prices in the wider metropolitan area. Economists see the FIPE index as an early gauge of Brazil's benchmark IPCA inflation index, which the central bank targets when setting interest rates. The Consumer Prices Index for the City of São Paulo is the most traditional indicator of the evolution of the cost of living of families in São Paulo city and one of the oldest indicators in Brazil. It was first calculated on January 1939 by the Statistics and Documentation Division of the São Paulo City Government. In 1968, the duty of calculating the index was transferred to the Institute of Economic Research linked to the Economics Department of USP and later on to Fipe, after its creation in 1973.

GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2nd Est

-0.6%

In Czech Republic, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 49 percent of its total use, followed by gross fixed capital formation (25 percent) and government expenditure (19 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 84 percent of GDP while imports account for 77 percent, adding 7 percent of total GDP.

GDP Growth Rate YoY 2nd Est

-0.8%

In Czech Republic, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 49 percent of its total use, followed by gross fixed capital formation (25 percent) and government expenditure (19 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 84 percent of GDP while imports account for 77 percent, adding 7 percent of total GDP.

HALPIM Manufacturing PMI

49.9

In Hungary, the HALPIM (Hungarian Association of Logistics, Purchasing and Inventory Management) Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of executive managers in charge of purchasing at manufacturing enterprises. The Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Production (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Inventories (10 percent). A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI

47.1

The S&P Global Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of 200 manufacturing companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

Retail Sales MoM

-0.6%

In Switzerland, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Switzerland, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Retail Sales YoY

-0.8%

In Switzerland, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

GDP Growth Rate YoY Final

-0.4%

Electronics manufacturing and research are among the main drivers of innovation and economic growth in Hungary. The country has also grown into a major center for mobile technology, information security, and related hardware research. On the expenditure side, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 50 percent of its total use, followed by gross fixed capital formation (22 percent) and government expenditure (20 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 89 percent of GDP while imports account for 82 percent, adding 7 percent of total GDP.

Balance of Trade Final

1580000000

Hungary's main exports are machinery and transport equipment, consumer goods, agricultural products, chemicals, apparel, textiles, iron and steel, and wine. Hungary's major imports are machinery and equipment, other manufactures and fuels and electricity. European Union is by far its largest trading partner, accounting for about 79% of exports and 76% of imports.

Swedbank Manufacturing PMI

47.1

In Sweden, the Swedbank Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of 200 purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

Nationwide Housing Prices YoY

-0.2%

The Nationwide house price index is an indicator of trends in UK house prices. The index is calculated based on owner occupier house purchase transactions involving a mortgage. Buy to let and cash purchases are not included.

Nationwide Housing Prices MoM

0.7%

The Nationwide house price index is an indicator of trends in UK house prices. The index is calculated based on owner occupier house purchase transactions involving a mortgage. Buy to let and cash purchases are not included.

Istanbul Chamber of Industry Manufacturing PMI

49.2

The Istanbul Chamber of Industry Turkey PMI Manufacturing Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of 400 manufacturing companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

NEVI Manufacturing PMI

48.9

The NEVI Netherlands Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of 400 companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI

52.4

The S&P Global Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of 300 manufacturing companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

Commodity Prices YoY

-10.4%

Commodity Prices YoY measures the yearly change in the selling price of exported commodities. Commodity exports have on average accounted for more than half of Australia's export income. Because changes in export prices explain approximately three-quarters of the fluctuations in the growth of export values since 1990, developments in export prices can have a significant impact on export earnings and economic activity in Australia. The most important commodities in the RBA Index of Commodity Prices are iron ore (27.1 percent of the total weight), metallurgical coal (16 percent), LNG (15.8 percent), thermal coal (9.5 percent), gold (7.5 percent) and alumina (4.1 percent).

Inflation Rate YoY Prel

3.2%

In Netherlands, the most important categories in the consumer price index are: housing, water, electricity and gas (24.5 percent of the total weight); transport (11.6 percent) and food and non-alcoholic beverages (11.3 percent). The index also includes: recreation and culture (10.3 percent); furnishing and household equipment (6 percent); clothing and footwear (4.9 percent); hotels and restaurants (4.2 percent); communication (3.3 percent) and alcoholic beverages and tobacco (3.1 percent). Health, education and other goods and services account for the remaining 20.8 percent of total weight.

Tourist Arrivals YoY

20.17%

In Indonesia, Tourist Arrivals refers to the number of foreign tourists visiting the country.

HSBC Manufacturing PMI Final

56.5

The S&P Global India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of 500 manufacturing companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

Consumer Confidence

38

In Japan, the Monthly Consumer Confidence survey data is collected by direct visit and covers about 4,700 households consisting of more than two persons. The questionnaire covers four subjects: consumer perceptions of overall livelihood, income growth, employment and willingness to buy durable goods. For each subject an index based on the respondents’ evaluation of what they consider the prospects to be over the next six months is created. The Consumer Confidence Index is the simple average of the four consumer perception indexes. A score above 50 indicates optimism, below 50 shows lack of confidence and 50 indicates neutrality.

Inflation Rate MoM

0.04%

In Indonesia, the consumer price index (CPI) is a measure of change over a specified period of time in the general level of prices of goods and services that a given population acquires, uses or pays for consumption. The CPI covers the urban population in the 44 provincial capital cities and regency capital cities in the country. The most important categories in Indonesia's CPI are Food, drinks and tobacco (25 percent of the total weight), Housing, water, electricity and household fuel (20.4 percent), Transportation (12.4 percent), and Food and beverage providers/Restaurant (8.7 percent). The index also includes: Household equipment, tools and routine maintenance (6 percent); Personal care and other services (5.9 percent); Information, communication and financial services (5.8 percent); Education (5.6 percent); and Clothing and footwear (5.4 percent). Health and Recreation, sports and culture account for the remaining 4.7 percent.

Inflation Rate YoY

2.57%

In Indonesia, the consumer price index (CPI) is a measure of change over a specified period of time in the general level of prices of goods and services that a given population acquires, uses or pays for consumption. The CPI covers the urban population in the 44 provincial capital cities and regency capital cities in the country. The most important categories in Indonesia's CPI are Food, drinks and tobacco (25 percent of the total weight), Housing, water, electricity and household fuel (20.4 percent), Transportation (12.4 percent), and Food and beverage providers/Restaurant (8.7 percent). The index also includes: Household equipment, tools and routine maintenance (6 percent); Personal care and other services (5.9 percent); Information, communication and financial services (5.8 percent); Education (5.6 percent); and Clothing and footwear (5.4 percent). Health and Recreation, sports and culture account for the remaining 4.7 percent.

Core Inflation Rate YoY

1.68%

In Indonesia, the core inflation rate tracks changes in prices that consumers pay for a basket of goods which excludes some volatile price items.

Caixin Manufacturing PMI

50.8

In China, the Caixin Manufacturing PMI Purchasing Managers' Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of private 430 industrial companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

NBS Manufacturing PMI

49.2

In China, the NBS Manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of more large-scale, state-owned companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change. .

NBS Non Manufacturing PMI

50.7

In China, the Non-Manufacturing purchasing managers index survey is based on data collected from a representative panel of 1200 enterprises from the non-manufacturing sector. The survey includes ten questions on business activity, new orders, new export orders, in hand orders index, stock, intermediate input price, subscription price, employment, supplier delivery time, and business activities expectation. For each question, the diffusion index is calculated. As there’s no integrated PMI, the business activity index is usually used to reflect the overall changes in non-manufacturing sector. A PMI reading above 50 percent indicates expansion from the previous month, while below 50 indicates contraction.

NBS General PMI

50.9

In China, the NBS Comprehensive Purchasing Manager Index measures the performance of the manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the overall economic trend compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

AIB Manufacturing PMI

49.5

The AIB Ireland Manufacturing PMI Ireland measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of 258 industrial companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI

52.9

The S&P Global Indonesia Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of 400 manufacturing companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI Final

The au Jibun Bank Japan Manufacturing PMI is compiled by S&P Global from responses to monthly questionnaires sent to purchasing managers in a panel of around 400 manufacturers. The headline figure is the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), which is a weighted average of the following five indices: New Orders (30%), Output (25%), Employment (20%), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15%) and Stocks of Purchases (10%). For the PMI calculation the Suppliers’ Delivery Times Index is inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction to the other indices. The index varies between 0 and 100, with a reading above 50 indicating an overall increase compared to the previous month, and below 50 an overall decrease.

RBNZ Gov Orr Speech

In New Zealand, interest rates decisions are taken by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. The official interest rate is the Official Cash Rate (OCR). The OCR was introduced in March 1999 and is reviewed eight times a year by the Bank. The OCR influences the price of borrowing money in New Zealand and provides the Reserve Bank with a means of influencing the level of economic activity and inflation.

Imports YoY

-7.8%

Exports YoY

18%

Liberation Day

Balance of Trade

300000000

South Korea is heavily dependent on international trade with the biggest trading partners including China, the US and Japan. The country has been recording consistent trade surpluses since 2008 with the exception of 2022 when the war in Ukraine increased substantially the bill for imports of oil and food.

Unemployment Rate

In Japan, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Jobs/applications ratio

The series refers to the ratio of active job openings to applicants is a rate of the number of job offers (sum of the carried forward ones from the previous month and new ones) to the number of job seekers registered at public employment security offices ("Hello Work") all over the country. It indicates the number of job offers per one job seeker. The ratio is obtained by dividing monthly active job openings by monthly active applications.

Fed Goolsbee Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

Judo Bank Manufacturing PMI Final

The Judo Bank Australia Manufacturing PMI is compiled by S&P Global from responses to monthly questionnaires sent to purchasing managers in a panel of around 400 manufacturers. The headline figure is the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), which is a weighted average of the following five indices: New Orders (30%), Output (25%), Employment (20%), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15%) and Stocks of Purchases (10%). For the PMI calculation the Suppliers’ Delivery Times Index is inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction to the other indices. The index varies between 0 and 100, with a reading above 50 indicating an overall increase compared to the previous month, and below 50 an overall decrease.

Building Permits MoM

3.7%

In New Zealand, the Building Consents Issued release summarizes information on all building consents issued, for more than $4,999, within New Zealand during the reference month. A dwelling is a construction that is built for habitation. Within an apartment building, each separate apartment is considered a dwelling. Number of new dwelling units authorized includes government dwellings.

ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence

In New Zealand, ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence is a monthly measure of consumer confidence across New Zealand households and how this affects their spending behavior.

Fed Mester Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

2-Year Bond Auction

M2 Money Supply YoY

19.4%

Russia Money Supply M2 includes M1 plus short-term time deposits in banks.

15-Year Mortgage Rate

30-Year Mortgage Rate

The Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) is focused on conventional, conforming, fully amortizing home purchase loans for borrowers who put 20 percent down and have excellent credit. Average commitment rates should be reported along with average fees and points to reflect the total upfront cost of obtaining the mortgage. The interest rate a lender would charge to lend mortgage money to a qualified borrower exclusive of the fees and points required by the lender. This commitment rate applies only to conventional financing on conforming mortgages with loan-to-value rates of 80 percent or less.

4-Week Bill Auction

8-Week Bill Auction

Kansas Fed Composite Index

-9

The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Survey of Manufacturers provides information on current manufacturing activity in the Tenth District (Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Wyoming, northern New Mexico, and western Missouri). The monthly survey consists of approximately 150 manufacturing plants across the district of which about 110 respond. Survey results reveal changes in several indicators of manufacturing activity including production, shipments, new orders, and employment along with changes in prices of raw materials and finished products. The diffusion index is calculated as the difference between the percentage of total reporting increases and the percentage reporting decreases.

Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index

-17

The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Survey of Manufacturers provides information on current manufacturing activity in the Tenth District (Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Wyoming, northern New Mexico, and western Missouri). The monthly survey consists of approximately 150 manufacturing plants across the district of which about 110 respond. Survey results reveal changes in several indicators of manufacturing activity including production, shipments, new orders, and employment along with changes in prices of raw materials and finished products. The diffusion index is calculated as the difference between the percentage of total reporting increases and the percentage reporting decreases.