Fed Jefferson Speech

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index

-8.4

The Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index measures the performance of manufacturing sector in the state of Texas. The index is derived from a survey of around 100 business executives and tracks variables such as output, employment, orders and prices. A reading above 0 indicates an expansion of the factory activity compared to the previous month; below 0 represents a contraction; while 0 indicates no change. Texas produces around 9.5 percent of manufacturing output in US. The state ranks second behind California in factory production and first as an exporter of manufactured goods.

Pending Home Sales YoY

-33.8%

The Pending Home Sales Index, a leading indicator of housing activity, measures housing contract activity, and is based on signed real estate contracts for existing single-family homes, condos and co-ops. When a seller accepts a sales contract on a property, it is recorded into a Multiple Listing Service (MLS) as a "pending home sale." The majority of pending home sales become home sale transactions, typically one to two months later. The National Association of Realtors collects pending home sales data from MLSs and large brokers. Altogether, data from over 100 MLSs & 60 large brokers is received providing a large sample size covering 50% of the existing home sales sample. This is equal to 20 percent of all transactions.

Pending Home Sales MoM

2.5%

The Pending Home Sales Index, a leading indicator of housing activity, measures housing contract activity, and is based on signed real estate contracts for existing single-family homes, condos and co-ops. When a seller accepts a sales contract on a property, it is recorded into a Multiple Listing Service (MLS) as a "pending home sale." The majority of pending home sales become home sale transactions, typically one to two months later. The National Association of Realtors collects pending home sales data from MLSs and large brokers. Altogether, data from over 100 MLSs & 60 large brokers is received providing a large sample size covering 50% of the existing home sales sample. This is equal to 20 percent of all transactions.

3-Month BTF Auction

12-Month BTF Auction

6-Month BTF Auction

Current Account

-11100000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Durable Goods Orders MoM

5.6%

Durable Goods Orders refer to new orders placed with manufacturers for delivery of hard goods which meant to last at least three years.

Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM

-0.1%

Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation refer to new orders placed with manufacturers for delivery of hard goods in the future excluding transportation orders.

Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air

-0.2%

Durable Goods Orders ex Defense MoM

6.3%

Durable Goods Orders Excluding Defense refer to new orders placed with manufacturers for delivery of hard goods in the future excluding defense orders.

CoreLogic Dwelling Prices MoM

-1%

In Australia, the CoreLogic Home Value Index aims to measure month to month movements in the value of Australian housing markets. Rather than relying solely on transacted sale prices to provide a measure of housing market conditions, the CoreLogic Home Value Index is based on a ‘hedonic’ methodology which includes the attributes of properties that are transacting as part of the analysis. The Home Values Index provides monthly capital growth measurements across three broad housing types: detached houses, units and a combined dwellings index that includes both houses and units. The Index results are released on the last working day of each month and are available on a subscription basis.

Bank Lending MoM

1.3%

Loan Growth in Brazil refers to the monthly change in total credit outstanding, including public and private lending.

IGP-M Inflation MoM

0.21%

The IGP-M Inflation Index in Brazil is an index that measures and tracks the changes in price of goods in the stages before the retail level. Wholesale price indexes (WPIs) report monthly to show the average price changes of goods sold in bulk, and they are a group of the indicators that follow growth in the economy.

Business Confidence

-4.3

In Spain, the Industrial Confidence Indicator (ICI) measures the level of optimism of entrepreneurs for the future development of industrial activity. The ICI is conducted based on the sample of 2500 enterprises representing different sizes, regions and sectors of Spanish economy. The response rate is around 60 percent. ICI is measured on a scale of -100 (extreme lack of confidence) to +100 (extreme confidence).

Balance of Trade

984000000

Mexico's main exports are manufactured products (89 percent of total shipments) and oil and oil products (6 percent). Main imports are: metallic products, machinery and equipment (53 percent of total purchases), oil products (10 percent) and agricultural goods (3 percent). The country's top trading partner is the United States (80 percent of total exports and 46 percent of total imports). Others include: China, Japan and Germany. In 2017, trade between Mexico and the United States reached USD 522 billion, with Mexico posting a surplus of near USD 132 billion. Main exports to US include: other parts and accessories of vehicles (14 percent of total sales); trucks, buses and special purpose vehicles (10 percent); passenger cars (10 percent); computers (6 percent); telecommunication equipment (5 percent). Main imports from the United States are: other parts and accessories of vehicles (8 percent of total imports); electric apparatus (7 percent); petroleum products (6 percent) and computer accessories (6 percent). .

BCB Focus Market Readout

In Brazil, interest rate decisions are taken by The Central Bank of Brazil's Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM). The official interest rate is the Special System of Clearance and Custody rate (SELIC) which is the overnight lending rate.

Unemployment Benefit Claims

6200

In France, unemployment benefit claims refer to the change in number of people claiming unemployment benefits in mainland France.

Jobseekers Total

2817000

The jobseekers total in France refers to the registered number of unemployed at the end of the month at employment center which are obliged to actively seek a job.

Retail Sales MoM

0%

In Ireland, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Ireland, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Retail Sales YoY

0.5%

In Ireland, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Inflation Rate YoY

8.05%

In Belgium, the most important category in the consumer price index is Housing and Utilities (18 percent of total weight). Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages account for 17 percent; Transport for 16 percent; Recreation and Culture for 9 percent; Miscellaneous Goods and Services for 9 percent and Restaurants and Hotels for 8 percent. Furniture, Household Goods and Maintenance; Clothing and Footwear; Communication; Health; Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco and Education account for the remaining 23 percent of total weight.

Inflation Rate MoM

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Economic Sentiment

99.9

In the Euro Area, the Economic sentiment indicator is a composite measure (average=100) that calculates the confidence level among: manufacturers (40 percent of the index); service providers (30 percent); consumers (20 percent); retailers (5 percent) and constructors (5 percent).

Consumer Confidence Final

-20.9

In Euro Area, the Consumer Economic Sentiment Indicator measures the level of optimism that consumers have about the economy. The survey is made by phone and covers 23 000 households in the Euro Area. The number of households sample varies across the zone. The questions focus on current economic and financial situation, savings intention as well as on expected developments regarding: consumer price indexes, general economic situation and major purchases of durable goods. The Consumer ESI measures consumer confidence on a scale of -100 to 100, where -100 indicate extreme lack of confidence, 0 neutrality and 100 extreme confidence.

Services Sentiment

10.7

In the Euro Area, Services Sentiment measures the confidence level among service providers and accounts for 30 percent of the Economic Sentiment Indicator.

Industrial Sentiment

1.3

In the Euro Area, Industrial Sentiment measures the confidence level among manufacturers and accounts for 40 percent of the Economic Sentiment Indicator.

Consumer Inflation Expectations

17.7

In the Euro Area, Consumer Confidence Price Trends is shown as the balance between positive and negative answering options, measured as percentage points of total answers.

Selling Price Expectations

31.9

Consumer Confidence

-37

In Portugal, the consumer confidence index on three terms moving averages is based on interviews with consumers about their perceptions of the country's current and future economic situation and their tendencies to purchase. It is estimated using the difference between the share of positive evaluation responses and negative evaluation responses, but do not include the share of neutral responses. The use of moving averages smooths out the series by removing the irregular movements, allowing the detection of the short-term trends.

Business confidence

1.4

In Portugal, the National Statistics Institute (INE) economic climate indicator on three terms moving averages is calculated in order to receive a timely composite indicator for the several sectors of economic activity. It is estimated using balances of questions from the Manufacturing Industry (1179 companies), Trade (1102 companies), Construction and Public Works (822 companies) and Services (1427 companies) surveys. The calculation is based on the factor analysis and the estimated series (the common component) is calibrated using the GDP change rates. The use of moving averages smooths out the series by removing the irregular movements, allowing the detection of the short-term trends.

Loans to Companies YoY

6.3%

In the Euro Area, Loans to Private Sector refers to adjusted loans to Euro Area non-financial corporations.

M3 Money Supply YoY

4.1%

Euro Area Money Supply M3 is the sum of M2, repurchase agreements, money market fund shares/units and debt securities with a maturity of up to two years.

Loans to Households YoY

3.8%

In the Euro Area, loan growth refers to year over year change in loans to households adjusted for sales and securitisation.

Consumer Confidence

100.9

In Italy, the Confidence Climate Index covers 2,000 Italian consumers. The survey is done by phone and assesses households’ economic conditions, employment and saving prospects and expected purchases of durable goods. The consumer confidence index is adjusted for seasonal effects and fixed to a base year of 2005. The value 100 indicates no evolution in consumer sentiment, a value over 100 shows increasing confidence and a value under 100 indicates low expectations.

Business Confidence

102.7

In Italy, the Manufacturing Confidence Index covers 4,000 Italian companies. The questionnaire focuses on the current trend of order books, production and inventories, short-term forecasts on order books, production, prices and the general economic situation. The business confidence index is adjusted for seasonal effects and fixed to a base year of 2005. The value 100 indicates no evolution in business sentiment, a value over 100 shows increasing confidence and a value under 100 indicates low expectations.

Exports YoY

-28.9%

Hong Kong has an export oriented economy with 99 percent of shipments coming from re-exports. Major exports are electrical machinery, apparatus and appliances which accounts for 36 percent of total shipments. Other exports include: telecommunications and sound equipment (20 percent); office and automatic data processing machines (10 percent); miscellaneous manufactured articles (5 percent) and non-metallic mineral manufactures (5 percent). Main export partners are China (40 percent), the United States (8 percent), Vietnam (6 percent), Singapore (5 percent), Taiwan and Macau.

Imports YoY

-23.5%

Hong Kong imports mainly machinery and transport equipment (66 percent of total imports); miscellaneous manufactured articles (14 percent); manufactured goods (9 percent) and food and live animals (4 percent). Main import partners are: China (47 percent), Taiwan (8 percent) and Singapore (7 percent). Others include: Japan, South Korea and the United States.

Balance of Trade

-51600000000

Since the late 1990’s Hong Kong has been recording trade deficits, as imports grew at a faster pace than exports. Hong Kong major exports are electrical machinery, apparatus and appliances; telecommunications and sound equipment and automatic data processing machines. The country imports mainly machinery and transport equipment; miscellaneous manufactured articles; manufactured goods and food and live animals. Main trading partner is China (40 percent of total exports and 47 percent of total imports). Others include: Japan, Singapore, Taiwan and the United States.

Retail Sales MoM

-3.6%

In Norway, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Norway, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Retail Sales YoY

-7.7%

In Norway, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Household Consumption MoM

12.8%

In Norway, the index of household consumption of goods measures the development in household consumption of goods (durable and non-durable). The statistics are calculated as an index and are based on the index of retail sales, first-time registered motor vehicles, sales of alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages and electricity, petrol and fuel statistics. The index does not cover household consumption of goods abroad.

Household Lending Growth YoY

3.5%

In Sweden, Household Lending Growth refers to the year-on-year change in credit extended to households by domestic MFIs. Lending to households is divided into three categories: housing loans, consumer credit, and other lending. The purpose of a loan is not directly measured, but is approximated by categorizing lending by type of collateral. Housing loans are defined as loans to private individuals or entrepreneurial households with housing as collateral. Consumer credit refers to lending to private individuals, generally without collateral. Other lending includes all other lending, for example lending to non-profit institutions serving households.

Retail Sales YoY

-8%

In Sweden, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Retail Sales MoM

-1.8%

In Sweden, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Sweden, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Economic Confidence Index

99.3

In Turkey, economic confidence index is a composite index that encapsulates consumers’ and producers’ evaluations, expectations and tendencies about general economic situation. The index is combined by means of a weighted aggregation of normalized sub-indices of consumer confidence, seasonally adjusted real sector (manufacturing industry), services, retail trade and construction confidence indices. The economic confidence index indicates an optimistic outlook about the general economic situation when the index is above 100, on contrary it indicates a pessimistic outlook when it is below 100.

Balance of Trade Final

-9700000000

The Turkish trade balance has been in deficit since 1947. Turkey major exports are road vehicles, textiles, iron and steel, clothing and food, while imports were machinery and transport equipment, manufactured goods, mineral fuels and lubricants and chemicals. The biggest trade deficits were recorded with China, Russia, Germany, South Korea, Switzerland, India, Iran and Japan; and the largest surpluses were recorded with Iraq, the UAE, the UK, Israel, Syria, Northern Cyprus and Azerbaijan.

Exports Final

22900000000

Turkey's major exports are: machinery and transport equipment (31 percent of total exports), of which road vehicles (15 percent) and electrical machinery, apparatus and appliances (6 percent); manufactured goods (25 percent), of which textile yarn, fabrics, made-up articles (7 percent), iron and steel (6 percent) and manufactures of metals (4 percent); miscellaneous manufactured articles (18 percent), of which articles of apparel and clothing accessories (10 percent); food and live animals (9 percent), of which fruits and vegetables (4 percent); chemicals and related products (6 percent); and gold,non-monetary (4 percent). Turkey's main export partners were: Germany (10 percent of total exports); the UK, the UAE, Iraq and the US (6 percent each); Italy (5 percent); France and Spain (4 percent each).

Imports Final

32600000000

Turkey's main imports are machinery and transport equipment (31 percent of total imports), of which road vehicles (7 percent) and electrical machinery, apparatus and appliances (6 percent); manufactured goods (16 percent), of which iron and steel (5 percent); mineral fuels, lubricants and related materials (16 percent), of which petroleum and petroleum products (4 percent); chemicals and related products (13 percent), of which plastics (4 percent); gold, non-monetary (7 percent); crude materials, inedible, except fuels (7 percent); miscellaneous manufactured articles (6 percent); and food and live animals (4 percent). The country's main imports' sources were: China (10 percent of total imports); Germany (9 percent); Russia (8 percent); the US and Italy (5 percent each); France, Iran, Switzerland, South Korea, the UK, Spain and India (3 percent each).

PPI YoY

14.5%

In Finland, producer price index for manufactured products measures development in the producer prices of goods manufactured in the country. The index includes both goods sold at home and exported goods. The price for domestic goods is the factory price exclusive of taxes and the price for export goods is the f.o.b. price. The index covers commodities of industry categories B to E.

Consumer Confidence

-12.7

In Finland, the Statistics of Finland consumer survey expresses consumers’ views and intentions relating to economic matters. The data system of Statistics Finland’s consumer survey is comprised of respondent-specific original data from phones interviews, which may not be disclosed, and published data concerning reply distributions and time series. Generally consumer confidence is high when the unemployment rate is low and GDP growth is high. Measures of average consumer confidence can be useful indicators of how much consumers are likely to spend.

Business Confidence

-4

The industrial confidence indicator measures the confidence among executives in the manufacturing sector. It is calculated from the answers to three questions: production expectations in the coming months, order backlog and finished product inventories compared to normal (in reverse).

Import Prices YoY

15.8%

In Finland, Import Prices correspond to the rate of change in the prices of goods and services purchased by residents of that country from, and supplied by, foreign sellers. Import Prices are heavily affected by exchange rates.

Export Prices YoY

13.2%

In Finland, Export Prices correspond to the rate of change in the prices of goods and services sold by residents of that country to foreign buyers. Export Prices are heavily affected by exchange rates.

Business confidence

3.6

In Netherlands, the producer confidence survey covers 1,700 manufacturing companies and gathers up-to-date information on economic developments for all activities of the manufacturing industry. The survey covers three components: how companies evaluate their order positions, their stocks of finished products in the month under review and the anticipated economic activity for the next three months. The index is calculated as the percentage of positive answers minus the percentage of negative answers. Therefore, the indicator varies from -100 (all participants evaluate their situation as poor and expect it to become worse) to 100 (all companies are happy with current situation and expect it to improve); 0 indicates neutrality.

Leading Economic Index Final

97.7

In Japan, the Leading Composite Index consists of 12 indexes such as account inventory ratios, machinery orders, stock prices and other leading economic indicators. The index anticipates changes in the direction of the Japanese economy in the coming months. In general, increase in the index reflects that the economy is in an expansion phase, and decreasing coincident index reflects that the economy is in a contraction phase. The index is used to make official judgement on when the business cycle begins and ends.

Coincident Index Final

99.3

Coincident Index correlates with the business cycle, and is used to identify the current state of the economy. In general, increasing coincident index shows that the economy is in an expansion phase, and decreasing coincident index reflects that the economy is in a contraction phase. The index is calculated using month-over-month percentage changes in 11 leading indicators, 11 coincident indicators, and 6 lagging indicators.

Company Gross Profits QoQ

-12.4%

In Australia, corporate profits refers to the net operating profit or loss before income tax and extraordinary items and is net of capital profits or losses arising from the sale of businesses' own capital goods and dividends received.

Business Inventories QoQ

1.7%

Business Inventories in Australia measure the quarterly percentage changes in inventories from manufacturers, retailers, and wholesalers. Inventories are a key component of gross domestic product. .

Green Monday

Clean Monday

Retail Sales YoY

4.9%

In New Zealand, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Retail Sales QoQ

0.4%

In New Zealand, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In New Zealand, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.