IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism

40.4

IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index measures Americans' opinions and outlooks on the economy. The index is based on a nationwide survey of 900 adults and evaluates six-month economic outlook, personal financial outlook, confidence in federal economic policies. Reading above 50 indicates optimism, and below 50 indicates pessimism.

Redbook YoY

The Johnson Redbook Index is a sales-weighted of year-over-year same-store sales growth in a sample of large US general merchandise retailers representing about 9,000 stores. Same-store sales are sales in stores continuously open for 12 months or longer. By dollar value, the Index represents over 80% of the equivalent 'official' retail sales series collected and published by the US Department of Commerce. Redbook compiles the Index by collecting and interpreting performance estimates from retailers. The Index and its sub-groups are sales-weighted aggregates of these estimates. Weeks are retail weeks (Sunday to Saturday), and equally weighted within the month.

Current Account

14800000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Inflation Rate MoM

0.4%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Core Inflation Rate MoM

0.3%

In the United States, the core consumer price index tracks changes in prices that consumers pay for a basket of goods which excludes volatile food and fuel costs.

Core Inflation Rate YoY

6.3%

In the United States, the core inflation rate tracks changes in prices that consumers pay for a basket of goods which excludes volatile food and fuel costs.

Inflation Rate YoY

7.7%

In the United States, unadjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers is based on the prices of a market basket of: Food (14% of total weight); Energy (8%); Commodities Less Food & Energy Commodities (21%) and Services Less Energy Services (57%). The last category is divided by: Shelter (32%), Medical Care Services (7%) and Transportation Services (6%).

CPI

298.012

In the United States, the Consumer Price Index or CPI measures changes in the prices paid by consumers for a basket of goods and services.

BCB Copom Meeting Minutes

In Brazil, interest rate decisions are taken by The Central Bank of Brazil's Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM). The official interest rate is the Special System of Clearance and Custody rate (SELIC) which is the overnight lending rate.

NFIB Business Optimism Index

91.3

NFIB Small Business Optimism Index is a composite of ten seasonally adjusted components calculated based on the answers of around 620 NFIB members. This questions include: plans to increase employment, plans to make capital outlays, plans to increase inventories, expect economy to improve, expect real sales higher, current inventory, current job openings, expected credit conditions, now a good time to expand, and earnings trend.

Financial Stability Report

In the United Kingdom, benchmark interest rate is set by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The Bank of England official interest rate is the repo rate. This repo rate applies to open market operations of the Bank of England with a group of counterparties (banks, building societies, securities firms).

BoE FPC Meeting Minutes

In the United Kingdom, benchmark interest rate is set by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The Bank of England official interest rate is the repo rate. This repo rate applies to open market operations of the Bank of England with a group of counterparties (banks, building societies, securities firms).

15-Year BTP Auction

20-Year BTP Auction

3-Year BTP Auction

3.22%

30-Year BTP Auction

7-Year BTP Auction

3.84%

ZEW Economic Sentiment Index

-36.7

In Germany, the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index measures the level of optimism that analysts have about the expected economic developments over the next 6 months. The survey covers up to 350 financial and economic analysts. The index is constructed as the difference between the percentage share of analysts that are optimistic and the percentage of analysts that are pessimistic about the development of the economy. Therefore, the ZEW indicator measures the confidence on a scale of -100 (all analysts expect the economy to deteriorate) up to 100 (all analysts expect it to improve). A 0 value indicates neutrality.

ZEW Current Conditions

-64.5

In Germany, the ZEW Current Conditions Index measures the level of optimism that analysts have about the current economic situation. The survey covers up to 350 financial and economic analysts. The index is constructed as the difference between the percentage share of analysts that are optimistic and the percentage of analysts that are pessimistic about the economy. Therefore, the ZEW indicator measures the confidence on a scale of -100 (all analysts see deteriorating economic conditions) up to 100 (all analysts see improving economic conditions). A 0 value indicates neutrality.

ZEW Economic Sentiment Index

-38.7

In the Euro Area, the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index measures the level of optimism that analysts have about the expected economic developments over the next 6 months. The survey covers up to 350 financial and economic analysts. The index is constructed as the difference between the percentage share of analysts that are optimistic and the percentage of analysts that are pessimistic about the development of the economy. Therefore, the ZEW indicator measures the confidence on a scale of -100 (all analysts expect the economy to deteriorate) up to 100 (all analysts expect it to improve). A 0 value indicates neutrality.

10-Year Treasury Gilt Auction

Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.

3-Month Letras Auction

Mining Production MoM

0.1%

In South Africa, the index of the volume of mining production is a statistical measure of the change in the volume of production. Coal is the most important sector and accounts for 24 percent of total mining production, followed by PGMs (23 percent); gold (16 percent); iron ore (12 percent); other non-metallic minerals (6 percent); diamonds (4 percent); manganese ore and chromium ore (3 percent each); other metallic minerals, building materials and nickel (2 percent each), and copper (1 percent).

Mining Production YoY

-4.5%

In South Africa, the index of the volume of mining production is a statistical measure of the change in the volume of production. Coal is the most important sector and accounts for 24 percent of total mining production, followed by PGMs (23 percent); gold (16 percent); iron ore (12 percent); other non-metallic minerals (6 percent); diamonds (4 percent); manganese ore and chromium ore (3 percent each); other metallic minerals, building materials and nickel (2 percent each), and copper (1 percent).

Gold Production YoY

-12.4%

In South Africa, gold production accounts for 16 percent of total mining production.

Industrial Production MoM

-1.8%

In Italy, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 88 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Metallurgy and fabricated metal products (14 percent of total production); machinery and equipment (12 percent); food, drink and tobacco (10 percent); rubber and plastics products and non-metallic mineral products (9 percent); textile, clothing and leather (8 percent); transport equipment (7 percent); and other manufacturing, repair and installation of machinery and equipment (7 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning account for 10 percent of total output and Mining and quarrying account for 1 percent.

Industrial Production YoY

-0.5%

In Italy, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 88 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Metallurgy and fabricated metal products (14 percent of total production); machinery and equipment (12 percent); food, drink and tobacco (10 percent); rubber and plastics products and non-metallic mineral products (9 percent); textile, clothing and leather (8 percent); transport equipment (7 percent); and other manufacturing, repair and installation of machinery and equipment (7 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning account for 10 percent of total output and Mining and quarrying account for 1 percent.

Industrial Production YoY

2.7%

In Hong Kong, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in manufacturing sector of the economy.

SECO Economic Forecasts

Total Social Financing

907900000000

In China, loans to private sector refer to total social financing, that is, the volume of financing provided by the financial system to the real economy (domestic non-financial enterprises and households) during a certain period of time. Total social financing is a broad measure of credit and liquidity in the economy as it includes off-balance sheet forms of financing such as initial public offerings, loans from trust companies and bond sales.

M2 Money Supply YoY

11.8%

China Money Supply M2 includes M1 plus short-term time deposits in banks.

Outstanding Loan Growth YoY

11.1%

In China, outstanding loan growth refers to year over year change in total amount of loans in domestic currency provided by the financial institutions. It includes off-balance sheet forms of financing that exist outside the conventional bank lending system, such as initial public offerings, loans from trust companies and bond sales.

New Yuan Loans

615200000000

In China, new yuan loans refer to financial institutions Renminbi credit funds balance sheet. They represent more than four-fifths of all loans.

Inflation Rate MoM Final

0.9%

In Germany, the most important categories in the consumer price index are Housing, water, electricity, gas & other fuels (32 percent of the total weight), Transport (13 percent), Recreation, entertainment & culture (11 percent) and Food & non-alcoholic beverages (10 percent). The index also includes Miscellaneous goods & services (7 percent), Furniture, lighting equipment, appliances & other household equipment (5 percent), Restaurant & accommodation services (5 percent), Health (5 percent) and Clothing & footwear (5 percent). The remaining 7 percent of the index is composed by Alcoholic beverages & tobacco, Communication and Education.

Inflation Rate YoY Final

10.4%

In Germany, the most important categories in the consumer price index are Housing, water, electricity, gas & other fuels (32 percent of the total weight), Transport (13 percent), Recreation, entertainment & culture (11 percent) and Food & non-alcoholic beverages (10 percent). The index also includes Miscellaneous goods & services (7 percent), Furniture, lighting equipment, appliances & other household equipment (5 percent), Restaurant & accommodation services (5 percent), Health (5 percent) and Clothing & footwear (5 percent). The remaining 7 percent of the index is composed of Alcoholic beverages & tobacco, Communication and Education.

CPI Final

122.2

In Germany, the most important categories in the consumer price index are Housing, water, electricity, gas & other fuels (32 percent of the total weight), Transport (13 percent), Recreation, entertainment & culture (11 percent) and Food & non-alcoholic beverages (10 percent). The index also includes Miscellaneous goods & services (7 percent), Furniture, lighting equipment, appliances & other household equipment (5 percent), Restaurant & accommodation services (5 percent), Health (5 percent) and Clothing & footwear (5 percent). The remaining 7 percent of the index is composed by Alcoholic beverages & tobacco, Communication and Education. .

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Final

11.6%

The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is an indicator of inflation and price stability for the European Central Bank (ECB). The HICP is compiled by Eurostat and the national statistical institutes in accordance with harmonised statistical methods. The ECB aims to maintain annual inflation rates as measured by the HICP below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.

Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Final

1.1%

Unemployment Rate

3.6%

In the United Kingdom, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Claimant Count Change

3300

Claimant count in the United Kingdom measures the change in the number of people claiming unemployment related benefits.

Employment Change

-52000

In the United Kingdom, employment change refers to the 3-month moving average compared to the previous period in the number of people in employment aged 16 and over.

Average Earnings incl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr)

6%

In the United Kingdom, wage growth refers to changes in average weekly earnings, before tax and other deductions and including bonuses.

Average Earnings excl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr)

5.7%

In the United Kingdom, wage growth refers to changes in average weekly earnings, before tax and other deductions and including bonuses.

HMRC Payrolls Change

74000

In the UK, the number of payrolled employees is defined as the number of people receiving paid remuneration included in PAYE RTI within the reference period, including people who have not done work but are an employee - such as those on paid leave.

GDP Mainland MoM

0.4%

GDP MoM

0.5%

Norway is one of the wealthiest countries in the world. Its wealth was build on the back of natural resources including oil and gas, hydropower and fish and supported by developed shipping industry. Components of the GDP on the expenditure side: household consumption (41 percent), gross fixed capital formation (24 percent) and government expenditure (22 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 38 percent of GDP while imports account for 30 percent, adding 8 percent of total GDP.

Industrial Production YoY

0.4%

In Turkey, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 84 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Food products (16 percent of total production); basic metals (11 percent); motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (9 percent); textile (8 percent); other non-metallic mineral products (6 percent); rubber and plastic products (5 percent); chemicals and chemical products (5 percent); electrical equipment (5 percent); wearing apparel (5 percent); and fabricated metal products (5 percent).

Industrial Production MoM

-1.6%

In Turkey, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 84 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Food products (16 percent of total production); basic metals (11 percent); motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (9 percent); textile (8 percent); other non-metallic mineral products (6 percent); rubber and plastic products (5 percent); chemicals and chemical products (5 percent); electrical equipment (5 percent); wearing apparel (5 percent); and fabricated metal products (5 percent).

Retail Sales YoY

9.7%

In Turkey, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Retail Sales MoM

1.8%

In Turkey, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Turkey, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

BoC Gov Macklem Speech

In Canada, benchmark interest rate is set by the Bank of Canada's (BoC) Governing Council. The official interest rate is the Overnight Rate. Since 1996 the Bank Rate is set at the upper limit of an operating band for the money market overnight rate. Previously, from March 1980 until February 1996 the Bank Rate was set at 25 basis points above the weekly average tender rate for 3-month Treasury bills.

Monthly Budget Statement

-88000000000

Federal Government budget balance is the difference between budget receipts (income) and budget outlays (spending). A budget surplus is expressed as a positive value. A budget deficit is expressed as a negative value.

3-Year Note Auction

10-Year Note Auction

4.14%

Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.

3-Month Bill Auction

6-Month Bill Auction

Consumer Inflation Expectations

5.9%

In the US, inflation expectations refer to median one year ahead expected inflation rate and are part of the Survey of Consumer Expectations. The expectations are based on the nationally representative, internet-based survey of a rotating panel of approximately 1,300 heads of households.