NY Fed Treasury Purchases 22.5 to 30 yrs

Interest Rate Decision

2.25%

In Poland interest rates decisions are taken by the National Bank of Poland (Narodowy Bank Polski, NBP). The official interest rate is the Reference Rate.

IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism

44.7

IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index measures Americans' opinions and outlooks on the economy. The index is based on a nationwide survey of 900 adults and evaluates six-month economic outlook, personal financial outlook, confidence in federal economic policies. Reading above 50 indicates optimism, and below 50 indicates pessimism.

Redbook YoY

The Johnson Redbook Index is a sales-weighted of year-over-year same-store sales growth in a sample of large US general merchandise retailers representing about 9,000 stores. Same-store sales are sales in stores continuously open for 12 months or longer. By dollar value, the Index represents over 80% of the equivalent 'official' retail sales series collected and published by the US Department of Commerce. Redbook compiles the Index by collecting and interpreting performance estimates from retailers. The Index and its sub-groups are sales-weighted aggregates of these estimates. Weeks are retail weeks (Sunday to Saturday), and equally weighted within the month.

Balance of Trade

3130000000

Between 1970 and 2008 Canada had been recording trade surpluses every year. From 2009 the trade balance shifted to deficit, with an exception of 2011 and 2014. In 2018, the largest trade deficits were recorded with China, Germany and Mexico, while the biggest trade surpluses were recorded with the US, the UK and Norway.

Exports

58570000000

Exports account for more than 30 percent of Canadian GDP. In 2018, Canada main exports were: energy products (19 percent); motor vehicles and parts (15 percent); consumer goods (11 percent); metal and non-metallic mineral products (11 percent); forestry products and building and packaging materials (8 percent); farm, fishing and intermediate food products (7 percent); industrial machinery, equipment and parts (7 percent) and basic and industrial chemical, plastic and rubber products (6 percent). The US is by far the largest destination for Canadian products (74 percent of total exports); followed by the EU (8 percent), of which Germany (3 percent), China (5 percent) and Japan and Mexico (2 percent each).

Imports

55440000000

In 2018, Canada imported mainly: consumer goods (20 percent of total imports); motor vehicles and parts (19 percent); electronic and electrical equipment and parts (12 percent); industrial machinery, equipment and parts (11 percent); basic and industrial chemical, plastic and rubber products (8 percent); metal and non-metallic mineral products (7 percent) and energy products (6 percent). Canada's major import partners were: the US (64 percent of total imports); the EU (10 percent), of which Germany (3 percent); China (8 percent); Mexico (3 percent) and Japan (2 percent).

Balance of Trade

The United States has been running consistent trade deficits since 1976 due to high imports of oil and consumer products. In 2018, the biggest trade deficits were recorded with China, Mexico, Germany, Japan, Ireland, Vietnam and Italy and the biggest trade surpluses with Hong Kong, Netherlands, Australia, United Arab Emirates, Belgium, Brazil and Panama. China is the top trading partner, accounting for 16 percent of total trade, followed by Canada (15 percent) and Mexico (15 percent).

Exports

224200000000

The United States is the world's third biggest exporter, yet exports account only for 13 percent of GDP. Main exports are: capital goods (22 percent of total exports) and industrial supplies (22 percent). Others include: consumer goods (8 percent) and petroleum (7 percent). In 2018, exports of petroleum reached a record high of USD 172.4 billion. In 2018, main exports partners were: Canada (18 percent of total exports), Mexico (16 percent), China (7 percent), Japan (4.5 percent), the United Kingdom (4 percent) and Germany (3.5 percent).

Imports

304400000000

The United States is the world's second biggest importer. Main imports are: capital goods (22 percent) and consumer goods (21 percent). Others include: automotive vehicles, parts and engines (12 percent) and foods, feeds and beverages (5 percent). Shipments from China represent 21 percent of the total imports followed by Mexico (14 percent), Canada (13 percent), Japan (6 percent), and Germany (5 percent).

BCB Copom Meeting Minutes

In Brazil, interest rate decisions are taken by The Central Bank of Brazil's Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM). The official interest rate is the Special System of Clearance and Custody rate (SELIC) which is the overnight lending rate.

Vehicle Sales YoY

In Russia, Total Vehicle Sales refer to total registrations of car and light commercial vehicles.

NFIB Business Optimism Index

NFIB Small Business Optimism Index is a composite of ten seasonally adjusted components calculated based on the answers of around 620 NFIB members. This questions include: plans to increase employment, plans to make capital outlays, plans to increase inventories, expect economy to improve, expect real sales higher, current inventory, current job openings, expected credit conditions, now a good time to expand, and earnings trend.

Budget Balance

-1171000000000

The government budget balance is the difference between government revenues and expenses. The budget is balanced when outlays equal to receipts, the country reports budget surplus when revenues are higher than expenses and deficit when expenses exceed the revenues.

6-Month Letras Auction

-0.574%

12-Month Letras Auction

-0.534%

Unemployment Rate

3.5%

In Czech Republic, the unemployment rate shows the share of unemployed people between the ages of 15 and 64 immediately able to start work versus all working people in the same demographic group.

Foreign Exchange Reserves

172670000000

In Czech Republic, Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans.

Retail Sales MoM

-0.4%

In Italy, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Italy, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Retail Sales YoY

12.5%

In Italy, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Household Consumption YoY

8.3%

From 2013 onwards Statistics Sweden produces new monthly statistics over household consumption. The statistics are an important indicator for the business cycle because household consumption accounts for 47 percent of the total Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

Retail Sales MoM

-1%

In Czech Republic, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Czech Republic, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Retail Sales YoY

13.2%

In Czech Republic, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Industrial Production YoY

4.8%

In Spain, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 82 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Food products (12 percent of total production); fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment (9 percent); motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (6 percent); chemicals and chemical products (6 percent); other non-metallic mineral products (5 percent); rubber and plastic products (4 percent); machinery and equipment (4 percent); basic metals (4 percent); and beverages (4 percent). Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning account for 14 percent of total output; Water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation account for 3 percent; and Mining and quarrying account for 1 percent.

Balance of Trade Prel

Hungary's main exports are machinery and transport equipment, consumer goods, agricultural products, chemicals, apparel, textiles, iron and steel, and wine. Hungary's major imports are machinery and equipment, other manufactures and fuels and electricity. European Union is by far its largest trading partner, accounting for about 79% of exports and 76% of imports.

Balance of Trade

-9730000000

Since 2004, France has been recording trade deficits due the gradual erosion of the export-oriented industry, the appreciation of the euro and the increasing dependency on imports of energy and manufactured products. In 2017, the biggest trade deficits were recorded with: China & Hong Kong, Germany, the Netherlands, Italy and Belgium; while the biggest trade surpluses were recorded with: the Middle East, the UK, Africa and Switzerland.

Current Account

-3600000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Exports

44000000000

France exports mainly transport equipment (23 percent of total exports), of which aeronautics (12 percent) and automobile industry (10 percent). The country also exports mechanical equipment, electronic and computer equipment (19 percent); chemicals, perfumes, cosmetics (12 percent); agro-food industry products (10 percent); metallurgical and metal products (7 percent); pharmaceuticals (6 percent); textiles, leather (5 percent); rubber and plastic products, miscellaneous mineral products (4 percent); jewelry, toys, furniture (3 percent); and agricultural, forestry, fishery and aquaculture products (3 percent). Main export partners are: Germany (15 percent of total exports), Spain and Italy (8 percent each), the UK, the US and Belgium (7 percent each), China and the Netherlands (4 percent each).

Imports

53700000000

France imports mainly mechanical equipment, electronic and computer equipment (21 percent of total imports); transport equipment (19 percent), of which aeronautics (11 percent) and automobile industry (7 percent); chemicals, perfumes, cosmetics (8 percent); agro-food industry products (8 percent); metallurgical and metal products (7 percent); natural hydrocarbons, other mining products, electricity (7 percent); textiles, leather (7 percent); jewelry, toys, furniture (5 percent); pharmaceuticals (5 percent); and rubber and plastic products, miscellaneous mineral products (5 percent). Main import partners are: Germany (16 percent of total imports), China (9 percent), Italy (8 percent), Belgium (7 percent), the US and Spain (6 percent each), the UK and the Netherlands (5 percent each).

Industrial Production MoM

3.3%

In Denmark, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 96 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: food products, beverages and tobacco (23 percent of total production); machinery (19 percent); pharmaceuticals (12 percent); chemicals and oil refineries (10 percent); furniture and other manufacturing (8 percent); basic metals and fabricated metal products (7 percent); and plastic, glass and concrete (5 percent). Mining and quarrying account for 4 percent of total output.

Industrial Production YoY

11.9%

In Denmark, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 96 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: food products, beverages and tobacco (23 percent of total production); machinery (19 percent); pharmaceuticals (12 percent); chemicals and oil refineries (10 percent); furniture and other manufacturing (8 percent); basic metals and fabricated metal products (7 percent); and plastic, glass and concrete (5 percent). Mining and quarrying account for 4 percent of total output.

Current Account

21400000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Balance of Trade

17600000000

Denmark has been reporting consistent trade surpluses since 1988. Denmark is self-sufficient in energy producing oil, natural gas, wind and bio energy. Its principal exports are machinery, chemicals and food products. Denmark imports mainly machinery and equipment, raw materials and semi manufactures for industry, foodstuffs and chemicals. In 2017, the largest trade surpluses were recorded with the US, the UK, Norway, France and Russia, while the biggest trade deficits were recorded with Germany, the Netherlands, China and Sweden.

New Orders YoY

3%

In Sweden, because new orders heavily affect business confidence they are a leading indicator for growth in gross domestic product. The statistics is sample- and register-based and aims to measure short-term changes in new orders and turnover in industry on a monthly basis, in total and by industry, as well as domestic and export market. The survey is coordinated with other economy-based surveys.

Industrial Production YoY

4.2%

In Sweden, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy such as manufacturing and mining.

Industrial Production MoM

0.5%

In Sweden, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy such as manufacturing and mining.

Household Consumption MoM

1%

From 2013 onwards Statistics Sweden produces new monthly statistics over household consumption. The statistics are an important indicator for the business cycle because household consumption accounts for 47 percent of the total Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

Construction Output YoY

1.1%

The production index in construction measures the evolution of output within the construction sector, including building construction and civil engineering.

Consumer Confidence

118.3

In Indonesia, the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) measures consumer’s expectations about current income and job availability against those 6 months ago, appropriate time to buy durable goods, and general economic conditions and job availability expectations in the next 6 months. The index is based on a survey of around 4600 middle up class households in major cities (those cities cover about 78 percent of GDP). Data is collected through phone interviews and direct visits. The two main components of the Index are the current economic condition index and the consumer expectation index. The CCI is computed as a net balance obtained from the difference between percentage on ’increase’ answer and percentage on ’decrease’ answer. An index above 100 indicates an improving outlook and below 100 a deteriorating outlook.

Eco Watchers Survey Outlook

49.4

The Economy Watchers Survey Outlook measures the expected mood of businesses that directly service consumers, such as barbers, taxi drivers, and waiters. The survey covers eleven regions across the country including Hokkaido, Tohoku, Northern Kanto, Southern Kanto, Tokai, Hokuriku, Kinki, Chugoku, Shikoku, Kyushu, and Okinawa. There were 2,050 people selected among those engaged in jobs in industries. This enabled them to observe any developments that accurately reflect economic activities such as household activity, corporate activity, and employment. A reading above 50.0 indicates optimism; below indicates pessimism.

Eco Watchers Survey Current

56.4

The Economy Watchers Current Index measures the current mood of businesses that directly service consumers, such as barbers, taxi drivers, and waiters. The survey covers eleven regions across the country including Hokkaido, Tohoku, Northern Kanto, Southern Kanto, Tokai, Hokuriku, Kinki, Chugoku, Shikoku, Kyushu, and Okinawa. There were 2,050 people selected among those engaged in jobs in industries. This enabled them to observe any developments that accurately reflect economic activities such as household activity, corporate activity, and employment. A reading above 50.0 indicates optimism; below indicates pessimism.

Markit PMI

50.8

The Nikkei Hong Kong Purchasing Managers’ Index measures the performance of the private sector and is derived from a survey of 300 companies. The Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the private sector activity compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change.

BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY

The BRC-KPMG Retail Sales Monitor measures changes in the actual value of retail sales from a sample of retailers. The Monitor measures the value of spending and hence does not adjust for price changes. If prices are rising, sales volumes will increase by less than sales values. In times of price deflation, sales volumes will increase by more than sales values. Retailers report the value of their sales and sales in the equivalent week a year ago. These figures are reported both in total and on a ‘like-for-like’ basis. The percentage increase in the value of sales on a ‘like-for-like’ basis removes the effect of the expansion of retail floor space by the retailers concerned on their sales total. Due to the sample being biased towards large retailers, the ‘like-for-like’ increase usually provides a more accurate guide to general spending patterns, though it will be biased downwards as an estimate of the growth rate for retail as a whole.

Current Account

897300000000

Current Account is the sum of the balance of trade (exports minus imports of goods and services), net factor income (such as interest and dividends) and net transfer payments (such as foreign aid).

Foreign Exchange Reserves

In Japan, Foreign Exchange Reserves are the foreign assets held or controlled by the country central bank. The reserves are made of gold or a specific currency. They can also be special drawing rights and marketable securities denominated in foreign currencies like treasury bills, government bonds, corporate bonds and equities and foreign currency loans.

Bank Lending YoY

In Japan, bank lending refers to the year-on-year change of all outstanding loans and discounts with banks and shinkin banks. Lending increases with increased business confidence and investment and it is an important indicator for the Japanese economy because of the weakness that has plagued the Japanese banking sector.

Household Spending MoM

-1.2%

In Japan, Household Spending MoM refers to the monthly change of consumption expenditures (on food, housing, utilities, furniture, clothing, health, education, transport, communication, leisure activities, etc.) in real terms for two-or-more-person households including agricultural, forestry and fisheries households.

Household Spending YoY

-1.3%

In Japan, Household Spending YoY refers to the annual change of consumption expenditures (on food, housing, utilities, furniture, clothing, health, education, transport, communication, leisure activities, etc.) in real terms for two-or-more-person households including agricultural, forestry and fisheries households.

Average Cash Earnings YoY

In Japan, wage growth refers to changes in average cash earnings, including contractual and special cash earnings, in companies with five or more employees.

Overtime Pay YoY

In Japan, non-scheduled cash earnings are the wages paid for work performed outside scheduled working hours, and on days off or night work, that is allowances for working outside work hours, night work, early morning work, and overnight duty.

Consumer Credit Change

In the United States, Consumer Credit refers to outstanding credit flows extended to individuals for household, family, and other personal expenditures, excluding loans secured by real estate.

3-Month Bill Auction

6-Month Bill Auction